Talk Elections

General Politics => U.S. General Discussion => Topic started by: © tweed on July 27, 2012, 10:40:50 PM



Title: which is more likely to happen?
Post by: © tweed on July 27, 2012, 10:40:50 PM
attempt to answer the question in a vacuum, not assessing current concrete possibilities among potential candidates


Title: Re: which is more likely to happen?
Post by: H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY on July 27, 2012, 11:00:10 PM
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_Buchanan (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_Buchanan)


Title: Re: which is more likely to happen?
Post by: © tweed on July 27, 2012, 11:05:23 PM
caveat t = greater than or equal to now


Title: Re: which is more likely to happen?
Post by: H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY on July 27, 2012, 11:52:09 PM

Ah. Now it's tough.


Title: Re: which is more likely to happen?
Post by: WhyteRain on July 28, 2012, 08:26:54 AM
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_Buchanan (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_Buchanan)

This.  We already had a never-married President (1857-61).


Title: Re: which is more likely to happen?
Post by: Vosem on July 28, 2012, 08:45:42 AM
Well, he's referring to the immediate future (although, yes, scenario 2 actually occurred in the 19th century). I would say scenario 2 is still likelier.


Title: Re: which is more likely to happen?
Post by: courts on July 28, 2012, 08:59:05 AM
scenario 2 will probably not happen until scenario 1 is possible.


Title: Re: which is more likely to happen?
Post by: Mr. Morden on July 28, 2012, 07:48:33 PM
Who are some prominent currently living American politicians over 40 who are in the second category?

Off the top of my head, I can think of:

Lindsey Graham
Herb Kohl
Janet Napolitano
Condoleezza Rice

Any others?  I'm sure there must be quite a few.


Title: Re: which is more likely to happen?
Post by: Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook on July 28, 2012, 09:37:40 PM
Who are some prominent currently living American politicians over 40 who are in the second category?

Off the top of my head, I can think of:

Lindsey Graham
Herb Kohl
Janet Napolitano
Condoleezza Rice

Any others?  I'm sure there must be quite a few.


None of those have come out though, right?


Title: Re: which is more likely to happen?
Post by: Mr. Morden on July 29, 2012, 01:07:11 AM
Who are some prominent currently living American politicians over 40 who are in the second category?

Off the top of my head, I can think of:

Lindsey Graham
Herb Kohl
Janet Napolitano
Condoleezza Rice

Any others?  I'm sure there must be quite a few.


None of those have come out though, right?

Correct, that's why they're in Category #2.


Title: Re: which is more likely to happen?
Post by: Grumpier Than Thou on July 29, 2012, 09:23:14 AM
I still think option 2 is more likely, even today.


Title: Re: which is more likely to happen?
Post by: stegosaurus on July 29, 2012, 06:43:13 PM
Who are some prominent currently living American politicians over 40 who are in the second category?

Off the top of my head, I can think of:

Lindsey Graham
Herb Kohl
Janet Napolitano
Condoleezza Rice

Any others?  I'm sure there must be quite a few.


Russ Feingold, I believe.


Title: Re: which is more likely to happen?
Post by: True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자) on July 29, 2012, 06:54:13 PM
Option 1.  Those in Option 2 will lose too many votes from those who suspect they are secretly gay.  Some votes will be lost for being gay, other votes will be lost for not having the courage to come out.


Title: Re: which is more likely to happen?
Post by: Mr. Morden on July 30, 2012, 12:08:44 AM
Who are some prominent currently living American politicians over 40 who are in the second category?

Off the top of my head, I can think of:

Lindsey Graham
Herb Kohl
Janet Napolitano
Condoleezza Rice

Any others?  I'm sure there must be quite a few.


Russ Feingold, I believe.

Feingold is twice divorced.  We're only talking about people who've never been married.


Title: Re: which is more likely to happen?
Post by: afleitch on July 30, 2012, 01:39:12 PM
Option 1 once the baby boomers are dead.