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Title: Will the Democrats gain 9 net seats in the House? Post by: Dereich on August 01, 2012, 01:06:13 PM The forum seems agreed that the Democrats won't gain 25 seats, but will they gain 9? 9 would lead to a nice even 200 seats and seems about what they might get.
Title: Re: Will the Democrats gain 9 net seats in the House? Post by: Torie on August 01, 2012, 08:33:45 PM The forum seems agreed that the Democrats won't gain 25 seats, but will they gain 9? 9 would lead to a nice even 200 seats and seems about what they might get. I looked into my crystal ball, and saw that the Dems have about a 40% chance of hitting the number 9 that you pose. The top of the bell curve is around 2-4 seats. Above a 10 seat gain, the percentage odds fall off rapidly. The Pubs have built a rather formidable wall. |