Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2012 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Tender Branson on August 04, 2012, 12:23:38 AM



Title: WA-SurveyUSA: Inslee (D) by 3 now among Likely Voters
Post by: Tender Branson on August 04, 2012, 12:23:38 AM
48-45 Inslee/McKenna

http://www.king5.com/news/up-front/polls/KING-5-poll-Inslee-gains-ground-164955946.html


Title: Re: WA-SurveyUSA: Inslee (D) by 3 now among Likely Voters
Post by: bgwah on August 04, 2012, 12:30:04 AM
Encouraging, but I'll wait until Tuesday to believe it.

Just as a semi-related note, I do think minor candidates will hurt McKenna in the primary more than they hurt Inslee. That alone could give Inslee a first place finish in the primary. The only difference between 1st and 2nd in a top two, of course, is the media buzz. Which Inslee could definitely use.


Title: Re: WA-SurveyUSA: Inslee (D) by 3 now among Likely Voters
Post by: greenforest32 on August 04, 2012, 06:26:36 PM
What percentage of the vote was done by mail in Washington's 2008 (gubernatorial) election? Is total turnout going to be higher this time now that it's 100% vote-by-mail?


Title: Re: WA-SurveyUSA: Inslee (D) by 3 now among Likely Voters
Post by: bgwah on August 04, 2012, 08:09:34 PM
What percentage of the vote was done by mail in Washington's 2008 (gubernatorial) election? Is total turnout going to be higher this time now that it's 100% vote-by-mail?

I think every county except Piece was all-mail in 2008, so I doubt it would make much of a difference.


Title: Re: WA-SurveyUSA: Inslee (D) by 3 now among Likely Voters
Post by: Alcon on August 06, 2012, 03:47:44 PM
What percentage of the vote was done by mail in Washington's 2008 (gubernatorial) election? Is total turnout going to be higher this time now that it's 100% vote-by-mail?

I think every county except Piece was all-mail in 2008, so I doubt it would make much of a difference.

I may be wrong, but I thought that King also still had polling places in 2008.


Title: Re: WA-SurveyUSA: Inslee (D) by 3 now among Likely Voters
Post by: Dereich on August 06, 2012, 04:07:06 PM
Encouraging, but I'll wait until Tuesday to believe it.

Just as a semi-related note, I do think minor candidates will hurt McKenna in the primary more than they hurt Inslee. That alone could give Inslee a first place finish in the primary. The only difference between 1st and 2nd in a top two, of course, is the media buzz. Which Inslee could definitely use.

I don't know why you're acting like this is still a race. We all know that Democrats will come home to roost and give Inslee the win. Fools gold for Republicans.


Title: Re: WA-SurveyUSA: Inslee (D) by 3 now among Likely Voters
Post by: bgwah on August 06, 2012, 08:33:51 PM
I wish I shared your optimism. ;D


Title: Re: WA-SurveyUSA: Inslee (D) by 3 now among Likely Voters
Post by: krazen1211 on August 08, 2012, 08:16:00 AM
Lean D, at the least. Sorry McKenna.


Title: Re: WA-SurveyUSA: Inslee (D) by 3 now among Likely Voters
Post by: AndrewTX on August 08, 2012, 08:50:43 AM
Is SurveyUSA still a credible source? I haven't seen them do much of anything good since 2005 or so.


Title: Re: WA-SurveyUSA: Inslee (D) by 3 now among Likely Voters
Post by: bgwah on August 12, 2012, 07:11:22 PM
This ended up pretty close to the primary result.


Title: Re: WA-SurveyUSA: Inslee (D) by 3 now among Likely Voters
Post by: Small Business Owner of Any Repute on August 15, 2012, 11:34:53 AM
Looks like the blue tendencies of the Washington electorate are finally starting to suffocate McKenna.


Title: Re: WA-SurveyUSA: Inslee (D) by 3 now among Likely Voters
Post by: Meeker on August 15, 2012, 03:40:50 PM
McKenna had a number of campaign stumbles in July as well. Inslee's ad campaign was easily the biggest factor though.


Title: Re: WA-SurveyUSA: Inslee (D) by 3 now among Likely Voters
Post by: sg0508 on August 31, 2012, 03:42:14 PM
7-8 pt democratic win in Nov. Same as always here.  GOP leads over summer, but can't get above 45% and then they either run a bad campaign and/or the democrats come home in the end and that's it.  The fact that WA state elects it's governors in presidential years doesn't help the republicans here at all.


Title: Re: WA-SurveyUSA: Inslee (D) by 3 now among Likely Voters
Post by: 5280 on August 31, 2012, 04:10:52 PM
I bet if McKenna was running as Republican in CO 2010, he would of probably beat Hickenlooper. I lived in north Seattle for a few years and knew how the 2004 govenor election turned out.


Title: Re: WA-SurveyUSA: Inslee (D) by 3 now among Likely Voters
Post by: 後援会 on August 31, 2012, 10:47:06 PM
Yeah. McKenna is a goner.


Title: Re: WA-SurveyUSA: Inslee (D) by 3 now among Likely Voters
Post by: Seattle on September 01, 2012, 01:00:05 PM

You guys are all writing this off way too soon. Sure, Mckenna made some silly blunders in July and early August... but once the money starts to pump in, this wont be more than a 4 point race either way.


Title: Re: WA-SurveyUSA: Inslee (D) by 3 now among Likely Voters
Post by: Oldiesfreak1854 on September 06, 2012, 08:24:59 PM
No he's not.  It's one poll that's a month old and there's still enough time for something to happen.


Title: Re: WA-SurveyUSA: Inslee (D) by 3 now among Likely Voters
Post by: sg0508 on September 09, 2012, 02:25:58 PM
Encouraging, but I'll wait until Tuesday to believe it.

Just as a semi-related note, I do think minor candidates will hurt McKenna in the primary more than they hurt Inslee. That alone could give Inslee a first place finish in the primary. The only difference between 1st and 2nd in a top two, of course, is the media buzz. Which Inslee could definitely use.
The presidential year election really hurts the GOP in this state, but they have blown some races with some really bad candidates and/or platforms that are just too conservative for King County and the surrounding burbs, which are becoming bluer every year.

They need a moderate/conservative in there to win. The Nethercutt's, Rossi days won't fly.