Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2012 Elections => Topic started by: Eraserhead on August 06, 2012, 12:32:25 AM



Title: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Eraserhead on August 06, 2012, 12:32:25 AM
???


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: World politics is up Schmitt creek on August 06, 2012, 12:46:01 AM
The latter. I feel personally invested at this point (partially thanks to Atlas Forum, actually) and I'm of delicate health.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Grumpier Than Thou on August 06, 2012, 12:54:57 AM
I think at this point, I'd much prefer a Romney victory.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY on August 06, 2012, 12:57:07 AM
Easy Obama win, so he can have a mandate.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Comrade Funk on August 06, 2012, 12:58:04 AM
Comfortable Obama victory, so I can laugh at the pissed off Tea Baggers.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on August 06, 2012, 01:00:18 AM
A close election (as long as Obama wins :P)


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: tmthforu94 on August 06, 2012, 01:00:31 AM
A comfortable Romney win so I don't have a heart attack on election night. If I knew for certain Romney will lose, I think I'd rather have it be a moderate win than a close one for the sake of my nerves.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: HagridOfTheDeep on August 06, 2012, 01:11:49 AM
Sorry, I gotta go for close and exciting.

I'm not in this for the policy and the legislation. I'm in this because American elections are the only sport I truly enjoy watching.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Eraserhead on August 06, 2012, 02:32:08 AM
As for me? I used to care about this stuff pretty deeply. Not so much now. So I'd rather it be amusingly close, I think, for maximum entertainment value.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Sbane on August 06, 2012, 03:29:05 AM
Can't bring myself to care that much about the results so I'll go with the close race. Should be fun to try to predict close states based on county results.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: anvi on August 06, 2012, 05:06:36 AM
My current running theory is that Obama and Romney are actually the same person.  That one person is the same trickster god Joseph Campbell used to tell stories about.  The god wore a hat that was colored differently on different sides, and walked back and forth through the village and had everybody confused about who he was, and when the villagers came to blows over his real identity and were brought before the judge, the trickster god showed up, laughed at everyone, and confessed, saying: "spreading strife is my greatest joy."  So, I'm hoping for a razor-thin election night, lasting until the wee hours of the morning, leaving everybody mad and exhausted and accusing one another of high treason, and when a winner is finally declared, the concession speech and acceptance speech will actually be the same one event, and the one guy who has played the part of both Romney and Obama, wearing a hat with a corporate logo on one side and a community organizer logo on the other, will saunter up to the podium, point at the audience smartly, and say: "made ya look!"


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: 7,052,770 on August 06, 2012, 06:40:56 AM
Obama landslide, so we can maximize Congressional wins


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: sentinel on August 06, 2012, 09:22:28 AM
Landslide so I can post mocking comments on Facebook


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Yelnoc on August 06, 2012, 09:35:38 AM
We need a "like" button.

My current running theory is that Obama and Romney are actually the same person.  That one person is the same trickster god Joseph Campbell used to tell stories about.  The god wore a hat that was colored differently on different sides, and walked back and forth through the village and had everybody confused about who he was, and when the villagers came to blows over his real identity and were brought before the judge, the trickster god showed up, laughed at everyone, and confessed, saying: "spreading strife is my greatest joy."  So, I'm hoping for a razor-thin election night, lasting until the wee hours of the morning, leaving everybody mad and exhausted and accusing one another of high treason, and when a winner is finally declared, the concession speech and acceptance speech will actually be the same one event, and the one guy who has played the part of both Romney and Obama, wearing a hat with a corporate logo on one side and a community organizer logo on the other, will saunter up to the podium, point at the audience smartly, and say: "made ya look!"


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Lincoln Republican on August 06, 2012, 10:06:38 AM
A comfortable Romney win, so he will have a mandate, and so the nation will be saved from disaster.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Donerail on August 06, 2012, 10:09:20 AM
Any Johnson win would be a close one, so that's really the only option.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Person Man on August 06, 2012, 12:04:45 PM
A comfortable Romney win, so he will have a mandate, and so the nation will be saved from disaster.
With whom?


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자) on August 06, 2012, 01:13:47 PM
A comfortable Romney win, so he will have a mandate, and so the nation will be saved from disaster.

I thought the GOP was opposed to man dates, and anyway isn't Mitt in love with his wife?


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: NVGonzalez on August 06, 2012, 01:34:20 PM
Comfortable Obama victory, so I can laugh at the pissed off Tea Baggers.

and

Landslide so I can post mocking comments on Facebook


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: pbrower2a on August 06, 2012, 02:20:21 PM
A comfortable Romney win, so he will have a mandate, and so the nation will be saved from disaster.

We already have had a toady of Karl Rogue, and he was a gigantic disaster.   


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Maxwell on August 06, 2012, 02:26:48 PM
Any Johnson win would be a close one, so that's really the only option.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Oldiesfreak1854 on August 06, 2012, 02:38:45 PM
Either one, but since Romney has little chance of winning by a very comfortable margin (thanks to the EVs from CA, IL, and NY being almost sure bets for Obama and the nature of the campaign), I expect it to be close.  But of course, just because one candidate wins easily doesn't mean that it isn't close in the end.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Joe Biden 2020 on August 06, 2012, 03:16:38 PM
Razor-thin margin lasting until just a few hours before sunrise Wednesday with a close Romney victory as the result.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: ShadowRocket on August 06, 2012, 03:56:19 PM
Comfortable Obama win.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Dereich on August 06, 2012, 03:59:28 PM
Close margin. I'm in it for fun and I'll have bragging rights as long as Mitt wins. Even if its a close win I expect the moaners and gripers to be more or less the same.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: opebo on August 06, 2012, 04:00:40 PM
Since I can't post what I would really prefer, I'll just say the Obama landslide thing.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Dumbo on August 06, 2012, 05:11:13 PM
About Wed 03.00 CET (= Tue 09.00 p.m. E.T.) I will be very tired
so I hope that the election is decided at this time
and I can go to bed. If it comes to Nevada I will see ...



Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: zorkpolitics on August 06, 2012, 05:19:44 PM
A close election where recounts in OH, VA, IA determine Romney wins


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Paul Kemp on August 06, 2012, 06:17:39 PM
2008-esq.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Joe Biden 2020 on August 06, 2012, 06:35:23 PM
I want an election similar to that of 2004, where we were here until early Wednesday morning.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Thomas D on August 06, 2012, 06:55:20 PM
I want an election like the Super Bowls I grew up with. Over early. With Obama playing the role of the NFC team that destroys Mitt Bronco Bill Romney.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Oldiesfreak1854 on August 06, 2012, 07:58:00 PM
I want an election like the Super Bowls I grew up with. Over early. With Obama playing the role of the NFC team that destroys Mitt Bronco Bill Romney.
I see you must have grown up in the 90s, eh?  I'm supporting Romney, but I can understand that mentality.  But close elections (ala 1960 or 2000, though there have been plenty of more recent presidential elections that have either been close of decided by a modest margin) are always the most exciting, even if your candidate loses (but it's still WAY more exciting when they win).  I don't care that much how close the election is, just as long as my candidate (Romney) wins.  I know you support Obama, but I think you get my point.  But, just for the sake of it, I would LOVE an election like Super Bowl XIV in 1980 (Steelers vs. Rams), where the lead changed places seven times before the Steelers finally won.  If Romney could win an election like that, I would stay up until he got to 270 EVs.  Then again, I'm planning on staying up until a winner on either side is declared.  Ironically enough, the Super Bowl and Election Night are the two TV nights I never want to miss.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Joe Biden 2020 on August 06, 2012, 07:59:59 PM
I want an election like the Super Bowls I grew up with. Over early. With Obama playing the role of the NFC team that destroys Mitt Bronco Bill Romney.

Those are no fun, though.  I don't want to go to bed before midnight.  That is midnight, MST, mind you (2:00 EST).  I'm a political junkie and I need at least 6-9 solid hours of nail biting coverage. :)


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: patrick1 on August 06, 2012, 08:11:41 PM
The one where I set sail for the Bahamas that day.  I'll have to remember to get my absentee but will be quite happy to pretend this election season doesn't exist otherwise. I'm sure I'll still watch the debates and conventions but the daily mud slinging from campaigns and supporters has grown tiresome for me.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Thomas D on August 06, 2012, 08:19:24 PM
Look, I've watched election nights since 1992. So I only know from 2 things, Dems win big or GOP wins close. If Obama is called the winner at 3 AM by a margin of 272-266, great. But I'd rather know early. We can stay up late for the US senate races. Let Tammy Baldwin win by 5000 votes.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Oldiesfreak1854 on August 08, 2012, 10:21:14 AM
Look, I've watched election nights since 1992. So I only know from 2 things, Dems win big or GOP wins close. If Obama is called the winner at 3 AM by a margin of 272-266, great. But I'd rather know early. We can stay up late for the US senate races. Let Tammy Baldwin win by 5000 votes.
Unfortunately, that is true from what I've seen. 


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Politico on August 08, 2012, 10:23:28 AM
I want the only questions being whether Michigan and Connecticut, states like that, are going to Romney. In other words, I want this over as soon as the polls close in the Midwest. I want it to be such a landslide that enough Democrats in California go home before the polls close there that Romney pulls off the upset.

Of course, Election Night and the Super Bowl are the only real must-see TV events.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Talleyrand on August 08, 2012, 10:27:16 AM
Look, I've watched election nights since 1992. So I only know from 2 things, Dems win big or GOP wins close. If Obama is called the winner at 3 AM by a margin of 272-266, great. But I'd rather know early. We can stay up late for the US senate races. Let Tammy Baldwin win by 5000 votes.

Well, it was the other way around for the five elections between 1972 to 1988, so that might not be the case this year.
But I'd be pessimistic about Obama's chances if the race is too close to call. I think it's more fun to stay up late to watch down-ballot races anyway.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Donerail on August 08, 2012, 10:36:03 AM
I want the only questions being whether Michigan and Connecticut, states like that, are going to Romney.

I can tell you right now and spare you the trouble.

Guess what? They're not. Especially not CT and CA.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: HagridOfTheDeep on August 08, 2012, 11:31:08 AM
Wow, that's really cool. How's the weather on November 6th?


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Sbane on August 08, 2012, 01:22:23 PM
Wow, that's really cool. How's the weather on November 6th?

Not going to be a 100 degrees in Iowa, just like Romney is not going to be winning California or Connecticut.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: HagridOfTheDeep on August 08, 2012, 01:43:53 PM
The key difference being, it's never been 100 degrees in Iowa in November, but Republicans have one in a landslide plenty of times.

Scenarios exist that could put Romney at 300+ electoral votes. And yes--he could be close in CT and CA. On the flipside, Obama could win in a landslide too. The fact is, it's too early to discount anything.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Eraserhead on August 08, 2012, 01:56:01 PM
I want the only questions being whether Michigan and Connecticut, states like that, are going to Romney.

Yeah, and I want a fifty state sweep for Rocky Anderson!


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: RedPrometheus on August 08, 2012, 02:13:32 PM
I'm undecided.

A close and exciting election night would be fun (as long as Obama wins), but a large Obama win would be probably more satisfying in the long run ;-)


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Adam Griffin on August 08, 2012, 03:29:10 PM
A relatively quick night where Obama pops off 180+ EVs east of the Mississippi before 11PM, so I can get my drink on and go relieve myself outside the local Republican HQ.

That and the bragging and rubbing it in on Facebook.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Eraserhead on August 08, 2012, 03:33:51 PM
A relatively quick night where Obama pops off 180+ EVs east of the Mississippi before 11PM, so I can get my drink on and go relieve myself outside the local Republican HQ.

That and the bragging and rubbing it in on Facebook.

Remember the parties going on everywhere when he won last time? I can't imagine it'll be anything like that this time.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Sbane on August 08, 2012, 04:36:32 PM
The key difference being, it's never been 100 degrees in Iowa in November, but Republicans have one in a landslide plenty of times.

Scenarios exist that could put Romney at 300+ electoral votes. And yes--he could be close in CT and CA. On the flipside, Obama could win in a landslide too. The fact is, it's too early to discount anything.

No, a win for Romney in CT and CA can be discounted just like Obama isn't going to win SC or ND. Of course I don't see how this conflicts with the statement that Romney can get more than 300+ electoral votes. He has plenty of ways to do that without involving CT or CA.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Donerail on August 08, 2012, 04:49:06 PM
Wow, that's really cool. How's the weather on November 6th?

Sunny here in St. Petersburg.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Politico on August 08, 2012, 07:01:32 PM
Wow, that's really cool. How's the weather on November 6th?

Not going to be a 100 degrees in Iowa, just like Romney is not going to be winning California or Connecticut.

It was only eight years ago when a mere five points taken from the Democrats and given to the Republicans would have put California in the GOP column. If Romney is declared president-elect when the polls close in the Midwest, a lot of Obama supporters in California will leave their polling station or not bother going out to vote at the last minute. The perfect storm could put California in the Romney column.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Beet on August 08, 2012, 07:06:30 PM
Of course I would prefer an comfortable win for my candidate over high drama.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Politico on August 08, 2012, 07:09:14 PM
A relatively quick night where Obama pops off 180+ EVs east of the Mississippi before 11PM, so I can get my drink on and go relieve myself outside the local Republican HQ.

That and the bragging and rubbing it in on Facebook.

Remember the parties going on everywhere when he won last time? I can't imagine it'll be anything like that this time.

Obama 2008 is like "Caddyshack" whereas Obama 2012 is "Caddyshack II."

Brace yourselves!


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Donerail on August 08, 2012, 08:20:46 PM
Wow, that's really cool. How's the weather on November 6th?

Not going to be a 100 degrees in Iowa, just like Romney is not going to be winning California or Connecticut.

It was only eight years ago when a mere five points taken from the Democrats and given to the Republicans would have put California in the GOP column. If Romney is declared president-elect when the polls close in the Midwest, a lot of Obama supporters in California will leave their polling station or not bother going out to vote at the last minute. The perfect storm could put California in the Romney column.

Here. Romney won every single state that could possibly be interpreted as a swing state, including a few he simply will not win (Wisconsin, Michigan, ME-02). You still can't call it till you get to Montana.

(
)


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Oldiesfreak1854 on August 08, 2012, 09:16:24 PM
I want the only questions being whether Michigan and Connecticut, states like that, are going to Romney. In other words, I want this over as soon as the polls close in the Midwest. I want it to be such a landslide that enough Democrats in California go home before the polls close there that Romney pulls off the upset.

Of course, Election Night and the Super Bowl are the only real must-see TV events.
Michigan, yes.  Connecticut and California, no.  Michigan is a swing state, but all the indications are that the election will be close, so they will probably stay in Obama's column.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: 🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸 on August 08, 2012, 09:37:11 PM
A relatively quick night where Obama pops off 180+ EVs east of the Mississippi before 11PM, so I can get my drink on and go relieve myself outside the local Republican HQ.
You're not planning on doing something special for election night?


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Lief 🗽 on August 08, 2012, 09:39:01 PM
There's literally no way that the election can be called for Mitt Romney in time for it to affect the morale of Obama voters in California unless he somehow wins by like 20 points.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: mondale84 on August 08, 2012, 10:03:39 PM
I want the only questions being whether Michigan and Connecticut, states like that, are going to Romney. In other words, I want this over as soon as the polls close in the Midwest. I want it to be such a landslide that enough Democrats in California go home before the polls close there that Romney pulls off the upset.

Of course, Election Night and the Super Bowl are the only real must-see TV events.

Politico, please take some medication now. You're going to need plenty of it by Nov. 6.




As to me, polls close at 7:00: Vermont, Virginia called for Obama...landslide from there...


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on August 09, 2012, 12:09:00 AM
It seems Illinois will also close at 7 ET, so Romney won't get that early lead.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: World politics is up Schmitt creek on August 09, 2012, 04:55:31 AM
A relatively quick night where Obama pops off 180+ EVs east of the Mississippi before 11PM, so I can get my drink on and go relieve myself outside the local Republican HQ.

That and the bragging and rubbing it in on Facebook.

Remember the parties going on everywhere when he won last time? I can't imagine it'll be anything like that this time.

Obama 2008 is like "Caddyshack" whereas Obama 2012 is "Caddyshack II."

Brace yourselves!

I'm inclined to think it's more like The Godfather Part 2 and Part 3; Part 3 is actually still considerably better than most films, just undeniably disappointing relative to Part 2.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Oldiesfreak1854 on August 09, 2012, 07:55:48 AM
It seems Illinois will also close at 7 ET, so Romney won't get that early lead.
Illinois usually closes at 8 ET.  Are they thinking about changing it for this election?


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on August 09, 2012, 10:01:56 AM
It seems Illinois will also close at 7 ET, so Romney won't get that early lead.
Illinois usually closes at 8 ET.  Are they thinking about changing it for this election?

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/G12/closing.phtml?format=gc


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Thomas D on August 09, 2012, 06:20:36 PM
It seems Illinois will also close at 7 ET, so Romney won't get that early lead.
Illinois usually closes at 8 ET.  Are they thinking about changing it for this election?

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/G12/closing.phtml?format=gc

Why'd they do that? So the polls are going to close at 6 their time? That makes no sense.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자) on August 09, 2012, 08:07:31 PM
It seems Illinois will also close at 7 ET, so Romney won't get that early lead.
Illinois usually closes at 8 ET.  Are they thinking about changing it for this election?

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/G12/closing.phtml?format=gc

Why'd they do that? So the polls are going to close at 6 their time? That makes no sense.

It costs money to keep the polls open later.  Illinois has both early voting and no-excuse absentee voting, so there is no particular need to keep the polls open late.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Eraserhead on August 09, 2012, 09:06:05 PM
It seems Illinois will also close at 7 ET, so Romney won't get that early lead.
Illinois usually closes at 8 ET.  Are they thinking about changing it for this election?

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/G12/closing.phtml?format=gc

Why'd they do that? So the polls are going to close at 6 their time? That makes no sense.

It costs money to keep the polls open later.  Illinois has both early voting and no-excuse absentee voting, so there is no particular need to keep the polls open late.

So basically, if you're a "low information voter" who just plans on voting right after you get out of work, you're screwed.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자) on August 09, 2012, 09:40:17 PM
It seems Illinois will also close at 7 ET, so Romney won't get that early lead.
Illinois usually closes at 8 ET.  Are they thinking about changing it for this election?

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/G12/closing.phtml?format=gc

Why'd they do that? So the polls are going to close at 6 their time? That makes no sense.

It costs money to keep the polls open later.  Illinois has both early voting and no-excuse absentee voting, so there is no particular need to keep the polls open late.

So basically, if you're a "low information voter" who just plans on voting right after you get out of work, you're screwed.

How many of those are there? It's not as if you'll be able to learn anything about the candidates while at work.  Besides, it not the voting booths that get locked at closing time but the doors.  Anyone working a traditional 9 to 5 job will still be able to get to the polls in time to vote even if they do decide to procrastinate.  It's possible that they'll ding some people this time who didn't notice the change in the closing time despite what I would expect to be heavy media coverage of the change.

Besides, for all we know Illinois may have also decided to open the polls an hour earlier, tho I doubt that.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Averroës Nix on August 09, 2012, 09:55:38 PM
Serious answer: B. I'd be content with the excitement that might accompany close Senate elections in, say, Arizona and North Dakota.

Not-so-serious answer: Rocks fall, everyone dies. I'd totally do it if I were DMing this campaign.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Politico on August 09, 2012, 10:14:45 PM
A relatively quick night where Obama pops off 180+ EVs east of the Mississippi before 11PM, so I can get my drink on and go relieve myself outside the local Republican HQ.

That and the bragging and rubbing it in on Facebook.

Remember the parties going on everywhere when he won last time? I can't imagine it'll be anything like that this time.

Obama 2008 is like "Caddyshack" whereas Obama 2012 is "Caddyshack II."

Brace yourselves!

I'm inclined to think it's more like The Godfather Part 2 and Part 3; Part 3 is actually still considerably better than most films, just undeniably disappointing relative to Part 2.

That would make Kerry/Edwards 2004 The Godfather, which means your analogy is:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ytCEuuW2_A


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Politico on August 09, 2012, 10:47:50 PM
There's literally no way that the election can be called for Mitt Romney in time for it to affect the morale of Obama voters in California unless he somehow wins by like 20 points.

If Michigan, Ohio and Florida are called for Romney after closing, going to the polls to vote for Obama in California will be a complete waste of time.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Lief 🗽 on August 09, 2012, 10:49:24 PM
And like I said, none of those states are going to be called for Romney right after closing unless he wins in a landslide.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Politico on August 09, 2012, 10:50:10 PM
Wow, that's really cool. How's the weather on November 6th?

Not going to be a 100 degrees in Iowa, just like Romney is not going to be winning California or Connecticut.

It was only eight years ago when a mere five points taken from the Democrats and given to the Republicans would have put California in the GOP column. If Romney is declared president-elect when the polls close in the Midwest, a lot of Obama supporters in California will leave their polling station or not bother going out to vote at the last minute. The perfect storm could put California in the Romney column.

Here. Romney won every single state that could possibly be interpreted as a swing state, including a few he simply will not win (Wisconsin, Michigan, ME-02). You still can't call it till you get to Montana.

(
)

Add Ohio and you're there.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Politico on August 09, 2012, 10:54:57 PM
And like I said, none of those states are going to be called for Romney right after closing unless he wins in a landslide.

Not literally after closing, but they will make a projection 20-30 minutes after closing if the models show a huge probability of a greater than five point victory. If I recall correctly, Ohio was called just after 6 PM PST last time. If that happens this time for Romney, hundreds of thousands of folks voting after work in California will already know that Romney is president-elect.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: fezzyfestoon on August 09, 2012, 11:00:28 PM
I'm honestly hoping for a pretty convincing Romney win. I think that in itself would set people off in a way that rocks this f[Inks]ed up system enough to make a mild change at least in the short-run. Enough to make things amusing. A reelection would just be a disappointment in this cracked out political system at this point. That and my Romney-hack mode just won't die. :P


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: Bandit3 the Worker on August 09, 2012, 11:16:20 PM
Quite frankly, I'm tired of being on edge 100% of the time over elections. I wouldn't constantly worry about it if one of the major parties wasn't so singularly bad. So I'd prefer a relaxing election night in which the better candidate wins easily. (The way things are going, he probably will.)

I shouldn't even have to be fighting this, but 1994 normalized extremism. America has not been the same since, and somebody needs to tell the truth about it.


Title: Re: What kind of election night would you prefer in 2012?
Post by: morgieb on August 10, 2012, 12:15:37 AM
Tight one as I'm not personally vested in the election.