Talk Elections

Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion => International Elections => Topic started by: 後援会 on August 25, 2012, 04:08:40 AM



Title: Korean presidential election, 2012
Post by: 後援会 on August 25, 2012, 04:08:40 AM
Yes! This is happening. And yes! This is important. Anyways, I would post a link to wikipedia, but I don't have enough posts to insert links, so...yeah. >_>


Title: Re: Korean presidential election, 2012
Post by: Niemeyerite on August 25, 2012, 08:08:12 AM
Here you have ;) :

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_Korean_presidential_election,_2012



Title: Re: Korean presidential election, 2012
Post by: World politics is up Schmitt creek on August 26, 2012, 11:52:59 AM
My perception is that Park of Saenuri/The Party Formerly Known As Grand National is fairly heavily favored. Does this still hold true?


Title: Re: Korean presidential election, 2012
Post by: RogueBeaver on August 26, 2012, 12:06:45 PM
My perception is that Park of Saenuri/The Party Formerly Known As Grand National is fairly heavily favored. Does this still hold true?

I read on OurCampaigns that the last poll had Park comfortably ahead, 40-22 over her closest rival.


Title: Re: Korean presidential election, 2012
Post by: Simfan34 on November 28, 2012, 10:47:31 PM
The polls show Park with an imposing lead- is this still true on the ground?


Title: Re: Korean presidential election, 2012
Post by: Benj on November 28, 2012, 11:02:39 PM
The polls show Park with an imposing lead- is this still true on the ground?

Recent polls are quite close, with Park holding a narrow lead over Moon (44 to 40 in the poll linked below). Ahn has dropped out of the race, so the risk of vote-splitting on the left has been averted (though Ahn was more electable than Moon, so this is sort of a wash--pretty sure Ahn would have won in Park v. Ahn, but in Park v. Moon I think Park wins).

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-11-25/korea-s-park-moon-register-for-election-after-ahn-quits-race.html

This is also way closer than a hypothetical two-way Park-Moon race was polling back in the summer, when Park usually had a large double-digit lead on Moon even without Ahn in the race.