Talk Elections

AZ: Romney 48-45
CO: Obama 48-45
FL: Romney 48-47
NC: Obama 48-46
OH: Obama 48-44
VA: Obama 46-43

http://www.purplestrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/PurplePoll-9.21.12.pdf

The Purple Strategies polls have consistently been more Romney-friendly than most others, so these numbers are pretty good for Obama. Nice to see an AZ poll, too!

It's strange. Compared to last month CO and FL are unchanged, but OH and VA have seen 6 point shifts to Obama.

Random variance. I wouldn't worry about it.

Good news for Romney in Florida, though it won't do him much good without Virginia and Ohio.

Obama's doing better in Arizona than I thought he would!

Purple Strategies Poll approval numbers:

Colorado 45%
Florida 46%
Ohio 46%
Virginia 45%
North Carolina 45%

The door is open for Romney to capitalize here. Bad numbers for an incubent

Also, how does Romney lead Independents in Ohio by 10% and trails 48-44%???

I prefer these numbers to others. There is certainly room for Romney to win every state here - none are getting out of reach, which was my main concern.

Because the sample is D+2 and Obama gets 90% from Dems and Romney just 82%.

Bush had similar numbers on the day before the 2004 election:

Colorado 46%/54%, Florida 46%/53%, Iowa 45%/55%, Minnesota 43%/56%, New Mexico 47%/53%, Nevada 49%/51%, Ohio 43%/49%, Pennsylvania 445/55% and Wisconsin 45%/55%.

http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2004/nov/nov01.html

This is a very R-leaning poll, and from a neutral pollster those numbers are adequate.

With President Obama now likely to win Iowa, Wisconsin, and New Hampshire... Mitt Romney does have room for one loss. One or two state with three electoral votes -- two of Montana and the Dakotas, and Alaska. Three of those states, or any one of the states in the list... and it is over.

Note also that Arizona and Missouri are getting close. Maybe Georgia, maybe Indiana.  

According to our database, in Florida, Ohio, Iowa and Virginia Purple Strategies and Rasmussen are the only 2 pollsters showing a lead for Romney in the last 3 months.

Purple Strategies has actually been a fairly decent pollster.

Although the North Carolina numbers raise an eyebrow, if only because Romney leads in Florida.

Purple Strategies has a nonexistent track record and as such can't really be said to be a good or bad pollster yet except insofar as they comport or don't comport with other polls, but comparing Purple Strategies against itself this is generally good news for Obama.

New Poll: Florida President by Purple Strategies on 2012-09-24 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2012/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=1220120919195)

Summary: D: 47%, R: 48%, I: 0%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.purplestrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/PurplePoll-9.21.12.pdf)