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Title: NJ-03: Runyan in the lead by 10 Post by: krazen1211 on September 25, 2012, 01:45:36 PM http://intraweb.stockton.edu/eyos/hughescenter/content/docs/Stockton%20Polling%20Institute%20-%20CD3-2012Oct.pdf
Runyan 49 Adler 39 http://www.politickernj.com/59947/runyan-campaign-internal-poll-shows-republican-leading-adler-51-34 Runyan 51 Adler 34 Title: Re: NJ-03: Runyan in the lead by 17 Post by: Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian. on September 25, 2012, 02:15:36 PM No surprise here, sadly. They dumped some pretty heavily Republican areas into this in the redistricting.
Title: Re: NJ-03: Runyan in the lead by 17 in internal Post by: Devils30 on September 25, 2012, 02:48:51 PM It got 1 point more Republican. In no way should this district be treated as safe R. Obama still won it by 3.5 points.
Title: Re: NJ-03: Runyan in the lead by 17 in internal Post by: minionofmidas on September 25, 2012, 02:54:05 PM 17. Right.
Don't get me wrong. He'll win and not be challenged anymore afterwards. Title: Re: NJ-03: Runyan in the lead by 17 in internal Post by: mondale84 on September 25, 2012, 06:00:08 PM LOL GOP internals.
Title: Re: NJ-03: Runyan in the lead by 17 in internal Post by: Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian. on September 27, 2012, 11:52:23 PM I mean insofar as it's an internal there's no surprise it would be showing these numbers. Runyan is probably ahead by high single digits to around 10 or 11.
Title: Re: NJ-03: Runyan in the lead by 17 in internal Post by: freepcrusher on September 28, 2012, 12:15:18 AM Runyan might actually be a pub I'd consider voting for. His ACU rating of 64 puts him up there among the least conservative of the freshman.
Title: Re: NJ-03: Runyan in the lead by 17 in internal Post by: Small Business Owner of Any Repute on September 28, 2012, 05:20:36 PM It got 1 point more Republican. In no way should this district be treated as safe R. Obama still won it by 3.5 points. In terms of a New Jersey district, there's simply no way for Democrats to win here. Adler's win was an open-seat fluke in the best Democratic year in decades, and he was promptly swept out two years later. The GOP bench here is strong; the Dem bench isn't -- that's why Democrats pressured Adler's wife to run. Just the way Burlington County is: competitive in statewide elections, but solidly Republican locally. Title: Re: NJ-03: Runyan in the lead by 17 in internal Post by: krazen1211 on October 03, 2012, 12:12:32 PM http://atr.rollcall.com/nrcc-cuts-780000-in-philadelphia-buys-aimed-for-jon-runyan/
House Republicans cut $780,000 of ad reservations in the Philadelphia broadcast market today intended for Rep. Jon Runyan’s (R-N.J.) re-election, according to a Republican source familiar with the move. Title: Re: NJ-03: Runyan in the lead by 17 in internal Post by: Small Business Owner of Any Repute on October 03, 2012, 03:15:02 PM Safe R through 2022.
Title: Re: NJ-03: Runyan in the lead by 17 in internal Post by: Mr.Phips on October 03, 2012, 04:31:15 PM Safe R through 2022. No way. In a bad GOP midterm election, Runyan could easily be swept away. I still think the Democrats have a better shot in the second district when LoBiondo retires. That seat has a deep Democratic bench and actually has a Democratic history unlike the third. Bill Hughes held that seat easily from 1974 to 1994 even when it was still solidly Republican at the Presidential level. In the third, other than Adler, I dont think any Democrat ever won there. Title: Re: NJ-03: Runyan in the lead by 17 in internal Post by: Small Business Owner of Any Repute on October 04, 2012, 08:55:00 AM Safe R through 2022. No way. In a bad GOP midterm election, Runyan could easily be swept away. By whom, exactly? Name the credible Democratic challenger who exists in NJ-03 who will challenge Runyan. And why will that person choose to wait until, say, 2016 to run when the easiest road is to challenge in 2012? Why do you think the best Democrats could do here was the widow Adler (who failed to make this even competitive)? Title: Re: NJ-03: Runyan in the lead by 17 in internal Post by: krazen1211 on October 05, 2012, 12:32:50 PM http://intraweb.stockton.edu/eyos/hughescenter/content/docs/Stockton%20Polling%20Institute%20-%20CD3-2012Oct.pdf
Runyan 49 Adler 39 Title: Re: NJ-03: Runyan in the lead by 10 Post by: Zioneer on October 05, 2012, 01:19:11 PM Well I suppose if Christie doesn't work out, the New Jersey GOP has Runyan.
Title: Re: NJ-03: Runyan in the lead by 10 Post by: minionofmidas on October 05, 2012, 01:31:04 PM Highish but makes sense.
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