Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: LiberalJunkie on October 02, 2012, 09:22:32 AM



Title: We Ask America -- Obama up 11 in Nevada Romney up 3 in Missouri.
Post by: LiberalJunkie on October 02, 2012, 09:22:32 AM
Nevada:

Obama 53%
Romney 42%

Missouri:

Romney 48%
Obama: 45%

http://weaskamerica.com/2012/10/02/horse-races/


Title: Re: We Ask America -- Obama up 11 in Nevada Romney up 3 in Missouri.
Post by: afleitch on October 02, 2012, 09:38:19 AM
Missouri seems alot tighter. We've had an average lead of about 5 in September so a 3 point lead for Romney in this poll is the tightest since the conventions.

WeAskAmerica last polled both states in July. Romney had a 9 point lead in Missouri and Obama a 6 point lead in Nevada.


Title: Re: We Ask America -- Obama up 11 in Nevada Romney up 3 in Missouri.
Post by: pa2011 on October 02, 2012, 10:04:49 AM
These recent Nevada polls have got to be a bit disconcerting to Romney. Appears it could be slipping away, as did for McCain around this same time in October 2008.


Title: Re: We Ask America -- Obama up 11 in Nevada Romney up 3 in Missouri.
Post by: Eraserhead on October 02, 2012, 10:10:18 AM
The state polls make this look like 2008. The national polls make this look like 2004.


Title: Re: We Ask America -- Obama up 11 in Nevada Romney up 3 in Missouri.
Post by: pbrower2a on October 02, 2012, 10:18:17 AM
...What is it... 95% of the population of Nevada lives in either Clark County, Washoe County, or Carson City? Nevada may look like nothing but sagebrush and mountains unless one is in one of three urban areas. The state is thus a dream for the Obama-style campaign. The state is probably full of campaign staff from California who have lived long enough in Nevada to vote there.  


Title: Re: We Ask America -- Obama up 11 in Nevada Romney up 3 in Missouri.
Post by: Likely Voter on October 02, 2012, 11:06:29 AM
This poll has moved MO into a tossup on the RCP map. NV is at Obama +5.2 but hasnt been moved to lean Obama


Title: Re: We Ask America -- Obama up 11 in Nevada Romney up 3 in Missouri.
Post by: Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck on October 02, 2012, 11:10:14 AM
Nevada is not a swing state at this point.  Remember, Democrats underpoll here nearly every time, and not usually by a small amount. 

Romney would need a massive shift to bring Nevada back into the fold, at which point it would be one of just a few states deciding the election. 


Title: Re: We Ask America -- Obama up 11 in Nevada Romney up 3 in Missouri.
Post by: True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자) on October 02, 2012, 01:51:05 PM
It's WAA, so these polls are practically useless.  They've been all over the place with their polls.  Sometimes as with these two, they've given results that seem unusually favorable to the Dems.  Other times its been the Reps who've gotten the lucky nod.