Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: Tender Branson on October 06, 2012, 11:30:31 AM



Title: 2 polls show Romney-lead in CO (Gravis Marketing, McLaughlin (R)/ACU)
Post by: Tender Branson on October 06, 2012, 11:30:31 AM
Colorado: Romney vs. Obama   Gravis Marketing   Obama 46, Romney 49   Romney +3

Colorado: Romney vs. Obama   McLaughlin/ACU (R)   Obama 46, Romney 50   Romney +4

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2012/Gravis_CO_1006.pdf

http://mclaughlinonline.com/lib/sitefiles/National_ACU_10-3-12_Presentation_ACU.pdf


Title: Re: 2 polls show Romney-lead in CO (Gravis Marketing, McLaughlin (R)/ACU)
Post by: Umengus on October 06, 2012, 11:44:30 AM
bounce


Title: Re: 2 polls show Romney-lead in CO (Gravis Marketing, McLaughlin (R)/ACU)
Post by: Tender Branson on October 06, 2012, 11:45:47 AM

Maybe, but still 2 very questionable polls.


Title: Re: 2 polls show Romney-lead in CO (Gravis Marketing, McLaughlin (R)/ACU)
Post by: cavalcade on October 06, 2012, 11:49:09 AM
It is odd that basically all the post-debate polling has come from R house effect firms.


Title: Re: 2 polls show Romney-lead in CO (Gravis Marketing, McLaughlin (R)/ACU)
Post by: Yank2133 on October 06, 2012, 11:52:54 AM
It is odd that basically all the post-debate polling has come from R house effect firms.

Not really.

They would be the first ones to capitalize on Romney's victory.


Title: Re: 2 polls show Romney-lead in CO (Gravis Marketing, McLaughlin (R)/ACU)
Post by: 5280 on October 06, 2012, 11:55:23 AM
Romney made about 3 stops in CO during that week, Paul Ryan made two stops the week before the debates and Ann Romney made a stop on Tuesday.  Him winning the first debate at DU made an impact on the state.  Still, a tight race.


Title: Re: 2 polls show Romney-lead in CO (Gravis Marketing, McLaughlin (R)/ACU)
Post by: Umengus on October 06, 2012, 11:55:31 AM

ok but gravis had Obama leading in their last CO poll. And the Mclaughlin poll is pre-debate (but their national poll has obama by 4).


Title: Re: 2 polls show Romney-lead in CO (Gravis Marketing, McLaughlin (R)/ACU)
Post by: cavalcade on October 06, 2012, 11:59:14 AM
It is odd that basically all the post-debate polling has come from R house effect firms.

Not really.

They would be the first ones to capitalize on Romney's victory.

I'm not surprised that they are releasing polls, I'm surprised that nobody else is (at least state level polls).  I guess we get WI-PPP tonight.


Title: Re: 2 polls show Romney-lead in CO (Gravis Marketing, McLaughlin (R)/ACU)
Post by: pepper11 on October 06, 2012, 12:13:10 PM
It is odd that basically all the post-debate polling has come from R house effect firms.

Not really.

They would be the first ones to capitalize on Romney's victory.

Exactly!
 
And people thought it was crazy to say there was no MSM polling the weekend after the R convention but there was excessive polling the week after the D convention. It goes both ways.


Title: Re: 2 polls show Romney-lead in CO (Gravis Marketing, McLaughlin (R)/ACU)
Post by: Umengus on October 06, 2012, 12:23:23 PM
It is odd that basically all the post-debate polling has come from R house effect firms.

Not really.

They would be the first ones to capitalize on Romney's victory.

I'm not surprised that they are releasing polls, I'm surprised that nobody else is (at least state level polls).  I guess we get WI-PPP tonight.

"PublicPolicyPolling‏@ppppolls

 Romney has definitely gained since our last Wisconsin poll, just a question of the magnitude. We'll tell you tonight"
 


Title: Re: 2 polls show Romney-lead in CO (Gravis Marketing, McLaughlin (R)/ACU)
Post by: J. J. on October 06, 2012, 12:26:37 PM

The guy was selling mortgages until 3 years ago.  It is a very questionable poll.


Title: Re: 2 polls show Romney-lead in CO (Gravis Marketing, McLaughlin (R)/ACU)
Post by: Devils30 on October 06, 2012, 12:50:55 PM
8% of the electorate hispanic in CO, when it was 13% in 2008. Not a chance


Title: Re: 2 polls show Romney-lead in CO (Gravis Marketing, McLaughlin (R)/ACU)
Post by: Biden 2024 on October 06, 2012, 12:51:57 PM
Gravis Marketing has no proven background being accurate, so I discard it until results show it's accurate.


Title: Re: 2 polls show Romney-lead in CO (Gravis Marketing, McLaughlin (R)/ACU)
Post by: Tender Branson on October 06, 2012, 12:52:18 PM
It is odd that basically all the post-debate polling has come from R house effect firms.

Not really.

They would be the first ones to capitalize on Romney's victory.

I'm not surprised that they are releasing polls, I'm surprised that nobody else is (at least state level polls).  I guess we get WI-PPP tonight.

"PublicPolicyPolling‏@ppppolls

 Romney has definitely gained since our last Wisconsin poll, just a question of the magnitude. We'll tell you tonight"
 

That could be anything. But I guess it's Obama+3 still (was Obama+7 recently, all other polls showed Obama by double-digits, so PPP is lean R in Wisconsin).


Title: Re: 2 polls show Romney-lead in CO (Gravis Marketing, McLaughlin (R)/ACU)
Post by: NVGonzalez on October 06, 2012, 12:55:32 PM
I like how the Republican pollsters are trying to set such a narrative.


Title: Re: 2 polls show Romney-lead in CO (Gravis Marketing, McLaughlin (R)/ACU)
Post by: pepper11 on October 06, 2012, 02:21:04 PM
I like how the Republican pollsters are trying to set such a narrative.

They are and its working. Just like the MSM tried to set a similar narrative after the Dem convention. That one worked as well.


Title: Re: 2 polls show Romney-lead in CO (Gravis Marketing, McLaughlin (R)/ACU)
Post by: J. J. on October 07, 2012, 12:11:56 PM
I like how the Republican pollsters are trying to set such a narrative.

You mean like:



The guy was selling mortgages until 3 years ago.  It is a very questionable poll.


Title: Re: 2 polls show Romney-lead in CO (Gravis Marketing, McLaughlin (R)/ACU)
Post by: Oakvale on October 07, 2012, 12:27:53 PM
I don't think anyone doubts that Romney will get some bounce... but these aren't the polls to prove it.