Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2012 Elections => Topic started by: Ty440 on October 06, 2012, 01:04:52 PM



Title: Will Romney overtake Obama on the RCP average?
Post by: Ty440 on October 06, 2012, 01:04:52 PM
From Obama +4 to Obama +1.4 in less than a week.

The republicans on the forum will go bananas if this happens lol

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Title: Re: Will Romney overtake Obama on the RCP average?
Post by: Warren 4 Secretary of Everything on October 06, 2012, 01:07:47 PM
We'll see next Monday and Tuesday when everyone releases their polling.


Title: Re: Will Romney overtake Obama on the RCP average?
Post by: Biden 2024 on October 06, 2012, 01:08:42 PM
I would say no, but wait until monday and tuesday first. Obama will probably be .2 to .9 on the RCP Average.


Title: Re: Will Romney overtake Obama on the RCP average?
Post by: Ty440 on October 06, 2012, 01:12:13 PM
I'm thinking if it happens Romney will max out at around  0.5% ahead and then slowly decline.


Title: Re: Will Romney overtake Obama on the RCP average?
Post by: Devils30 on October 06, 2012, 01:24:21 PM
Yeah but it will only last a few days


Title: Re: Will Romney overtake Obama on the RCP average?
Post by: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on October 06, 2012, 10:35:49 PM
Romney needs to get ahead of Obama by a decent amount now to make sure it can last for a month. I expect them pull level by Tuesday at the latest...


Title: Re: Will Romney overtake Obama on the RCP average?
Post by: Likely Voter on October 06, 2012, 10:46:20 PM
I just noticed that something big happened today for Romney. He hit an all time high of 47%, which is higher than when he pulled to a tie at 46.7 after the RNC. If the race settles to a tie in the next few days both would likely be higher than 46.7, maybe as high as 48% each.

But I think he will actually pass Obama this week by a little bit, which will be considered major news as it hasnt happened all year.


Title: Re: Will Romney overtake Obama on the RCP average?
Post by: Stranger in a strange land on October 06, 2012, 10:52:49 PM
Yeah but it will only last a few days


Title: Re: Will Romney overtake Obama on the RCP average?
Post by: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on October 06, 2012, 11:01:00 PM
I'm not surprised - I always thought his  absolute floor was 45% so seeing greater GOP consolidation and a second look from some indies and soft Dems should surprise anyone to see him at 47%


Title: Re: Will Romney overtake Obama on the RCP average?
Post by: Maxwell on October 06, 2012, 11:40:16 PM
the highest Romney ever got was a .5% lead back when Obama's approval ratings where in the low 40s before the race was talked about. I think Romney can tie the race in the RCP, maybe even pull ahead by .1% though.


Title: Re: Will Romney overtake Obama on the RCP average?
Post by: Ty440 on October 08, 2012, 03:34:39 PM
Bump...Romney is now the highest he has ever been on the RCP average..47.4%


Title: Re: Will Romney overtake Obama on the RCP average?
Post by: Warren 4 Secretary of Everything on October 08, 2012, 03:54:42 PM
Bump...Romney is now the highest he has ever been on the RCP average..47.4%
Obama is up by only .5"%. But RCP is including the wrong Gallup Tracking Numbers, they have the race tied at 47%, but Obama actually leads 50-45.


Title: Re: Will Romney overtake Obama on the RCP average?
Post by: milhouse24 on October 08, 2012, 04:06:42 PM
I would think the Liberals would be rather upset about this as well.


Title: Re: Will Romney overtake Obama on the RCP average?
Post by: Lief 🗽 on October 08, 2012, 04:10:04 PM
Depends whether or not RCP goes back to using the real Gallup numbers tomorrow.


Title: Re: Will Romney overtake Obama on the RCP average?
Post by: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on October 08, 2012, 04:15:28 PM
I would think the Liberals would be rather upset about this as well.

Not really, we understand context...


Title: Re: Will Romney overtake Obama on the RCP average?
Post by: 後援会 on October 08, 2012, 04:51:34 PM
I would say no, but wait until monday and tuesday first. Obama will probably be .2 to .9 on the RCP Average.

This seems like it was accurate. Anyways, I don't think Romney will pull ahead of Obama yet and I don't really think he needs to. There are still two more debates...