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Title: WI-07: Duffy in the lead by 11 in internal Post by: krazen1211 on October 08, 2012, 08:12:17 AM http://americanactionnetwork.org/sites/default/files/WI_CD_7_Memo_0.pdf
Duffy 51 Kreitlow 40 Romney 49 Obama 46 Thompson 50 Baldwin 43 Great news! Vicious gerrymandering was used to slice out Chippewa Falls from this district to make it more desirable for Mr. Duffy. Title: Re: WI-07: Duffy in the lead by 11 in internal Post by: Brittain33 on October 08, 2012, 08:44:17 AM Thompson 50 Baldwin 43 So, partisan/internal stuff aside, what are the odds that this number is correct but that Baldwin's leading Thompson 50-42 in WI-8, just next door? I was skeptical of Baldwin's numbers in WI-8 but they would be consistent if WI-8 matches statewide PVI and she's leading Thompson significantly. Actually, do people think this number is plausible? Is Thompson from this district? Title: Re: WI-07: Duffy in the lead by 11 in internal Post by: DrScholl on October 08, 2012, 09:17:42 AM So, partisan/internal stuff aside, what are the odds that this number is correct but that Baldwin's leading Thompson 50-42 in WI-8, just next door? I was skeptical of Baldwin's numbers in WI-8 but they would be consistent if WI-8 matches statewide PVI and she's leading Thompson significantly. Actually, do people think this number is plausible? Is Thompson from this district? Thompson is from WI-3. Title: Re: WI-07: Duffy in the lead by 11 in internal Post by: krazen1211 on October 08, 2012, 10:24:24 AM Thompson was also endorsed by the NRA.
Title: Re: WI-07: Duffy in the lead by 11 in internal Post by: Nhoj on October 08, 2012, 06:27:31 PM http://americanactionnetwork.org/sites/default/files/WI_CD_7_Memo_0.pdf Duffy 51 Kreitlow 40 Romney 49 Obama 46 Thompson 50 Baldwin 43 Great news! Vicious gerrymandering was used to slice out Chippewa Falls from this district to make it more desirable for Mr. Duffy. Title: Re: WI-07: Duffy in the lead by 11 in internal Post by: they don't love you like i love you on October 09, 2012, 01:54:56 AM I'm sure Romney isn't leading here but it's tough to gauge by how much he's behind, making it tricky to calculate how skewed the poll is.
And yes in addition to not being very big Chippewa Falls is not very Democratic, hell Chippewa County even voted for Bush in 2004 and Kerry only won the city by about 5 points. Even in 2008 Obama didn't even break 60% in Chippewa Falls and did better than his state numbers by less than 2 points. |