Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2012 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Miles on October 10, 2012, 09:34:18 AM



Title: NV: Rasmussen: Berkley within 3 of Heller
Post by: Miles on October 10, 2012, 09:34:18 AM
New Poll: Nevada Senator by Rasmussen on 2012-10-08 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2012/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=32102012108016)

Summary: D: 45%, R: 48%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_senate_elections/nevada/election_2012_nevada_senate)



Title: Re: NV: Rasmussen: Berkley within 3 of Heller
Post by: Lief 🗽 on October 10, 2012, 11:20:35 AM
Bad news for Heller.


Title: Re: NV: Rasmussen: Berkley within 3 of Heller
Post by: krazen1211 on October 10, 2012, 05:40:08 PM

No.


Title: Re: NV: Rasmussen: Berkley within 3 of Heller
Post by: Lief 🗽 on October 10, 2012, 05:48:56 PM

Jon Ralston disagrees with you. (https://es.twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/256055935561265154)


Title: Re: NV: Rasmussen: Berkley within 3 of Heller
Post by: krazen1211 on October 10, 2012, 05:53:12 PM

Jon Ralston disagrees with you. (https://es.twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/256055935561265154)

He can if he wants. But he's also said that Heller is the favorite due to Heller leading in almost all polls.


Title: Re: NV: Rasmussen: Berkley within 3 of Heller
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on October 10, 2012, 06:10:29 PM
It's interesting how PPP and Rasmussen, the traditional polar opposites, have tended to converge since Mitt's bounce. It seemed the case in Presidential races, now it looks so in Senate races as well.


Title: Re: NV: Rasmussen: Berkley within 3 of Heller
Post by: Alcon on October 10, 2012, 06:12:05 PM
It's interesting how PPP and Rasmussen, the traditional polar opposites, have tended to converge since Mitt's bounce. It seemed the case in Presidential races, now it looks so in Senate races as well.

I haven't looked into it at all, but that seems like it might be a side-effect of Rasmussen's partisan weighting, which keeps things static, even as PPP has observed an uptick in R vs. D enthusiasm.