Talk Elections

Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion => U.S. Presidential Election Results => Topic started by: Mehmentum on November 22, 2012, 03:37:48 PM



Title: Somewhat Odd Map
Post by: Mehmentum on November 22, 2012, 03:37:48 PM
Using the results of the last 4 presidential elections, last 4 Senatorial elections, and last 4 Gubernatorial elections in each state.  Color shading is based off of % of elections won.
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Democrats won every statewide elections in Washington, Delaware, and (of course) D.C.  Republicans did this in Utah, Idaho, and Texas.

Funny how we Democrats talk a lot about Texas, but have had literally zero sucess there in the past decade.  Its also interesting to see a lot of states we think of as solidly blue/red, not being that way if we include Senate and Governor elections. 


Title: Re: Somewhat Odd Map
Post by: politicus on November 22, 2012, 05:02:20 PM
The pattern is actually a lot more neat, than I would have imagined.
WV and Montana being the chief exceptions.


Title: Re: Somewhat Odd Map
Post by: Oldiesfreak1854 on November 22, 2012, 06:54:46 PM
Using the results of the last 4 presidential elections, last 4 Senatorial elections, and last 4 Gubernatorial elections in each state.  Color shading is based off of % of elections won.
(
)
Democrats won every statewide elections in Washington, Delaware, and (of course) D.C.  Republicans did this in Utah, Idaho, and Texas.

Funny how we Democrats talk a lot about Texas, but have had literally zero sucess there in the past decade.  Its also interesting to see a lot of states we think of as solidly blue/red, not being that way if we include Senate and Governor elections. 
Very true.  It's why I would argue that there's really no such thing as a solidly red or blue state.


Title: Re: Somewhat Odd Map
Post by: Badger on November 24, 2012, 02:06:14 PM
Using the results of the last 4 presidential elections, last 4 Senatorial elections, and last 4 Gubernatorial elections in each state.  Color shading is based off of % of elections won.
(
)
Democrats won every statewide elections in Washington, Delaware, and (of course) D.C.  Republicans did this in Utah, Idaho, and Texas.

Funny how we Democrats talk a lot about Texas, but have had literally zero sucess there in the past decade.  Its also interesting to see a lot of states we think of as solidly blue/red, not being that way if we include Senate and Governor elections. 
Very true.  It's why I would argue that there's really no such thing as a solidly red or blue state.

When it comes to grubantorial races, absolutely. That's why I wouldn't advise including just races to measure a state's partisanship, fwiw.


Title: Re: Somewhat Odd Map
Post by: hopper on November 27, 2012, 05:38:20 PM
I like Arkansas in the white color. Its totally in the political center! That may change a little over the next 4 years though!


Title: Re: Somewhat Odd Map
Post by: Oldiesfreak1854 on November 27, 2012, 07:21:45 PM
Using the results of the last 4 presidential elections, last 4 Senatorial elections, and last 4 Gubernatorial elections in each state.  Color shading is based off of % of elections won.
(
)
Democrats won every statewide elections in Washington, Delaware, and (of course) D.C.  Republicans did this in Utah, Idaho, and Texas.

Funny how we Democrats talk a lot about Texas, but have had literally zero sucess there in the past decade.  Its also interesting to see a lot of states we think of as solidly blue/red, not being that way if we include Senate and Governor elections. 
Very true.  It's why I would argue that there's really no such thing as a solidly red or blue state.

When it comes to grubantorial races, absolutely. That's why I wouldn't advise including just races to measure a state's partisanship, fwiw.
I sure don't because the evidence I've seen suggests that you can't.


Title: Re: Somewhat Odd Map
Post by: 🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸 on December 01, 2012, 01:46:48 PM
what do the 30% shades represent?


Title: Re: Somewhat Odd Map
Post by: Mehmentum on December 01, 2012, 11:39:33 PM
7/5 states.   Each state has 12 races included total, so 7/5 is the closest they can be without a tie. The exception is states like Maine, where independents have been elected.  The D/R ration is still close to 7/5 though, so thats what I used.