Title: IL-Southern Illinois University: Madigan and Rutherford ahead in primary Post by: Tender Branson on February 13, 2013, 09:59:41 AM 6. (Democrats only/ N=310). If the Democratic primary election for governor were held today, who would you vote for?
Madigan 31.9% Quinn 22.9% Daley 11.9% Someone else 4.8% Other/Don’t know 28.4% 7. (Republicans only/ N=186) If the Republican primary election for governor were held today, who would you vote for? Rutherford 10.2% Brady 9.7% Schock 9.1% Walsh 5.9% Dillard 3.2% Andrjiewski 2.2% Proft 1.6% Someone else 4.8% Other/Don’t know 53.2% http://paulsimoninstitute.org/images/PDF/spring2013/213-madigan.pdf Title: Re: IL-Southern Illinois University: Madigan and Rutherford ahead in primary Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on February 13, 2013, 10:01:41 AM Haha, Quinn is screwed either way.
Title: Re: IL-Southern Illinois University: Madigan and Rutherford ahead in primary Post by: Franzl on February 13, 2013, 10:05:00 AM Haha, Quinn is screwed either way. Just like he was screwed in 2010? Title: Re: IL-Southern Illinois University: Madigan and Rutherford ahead in primary Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on February 13, 2013, 03:18:00 PM Only good news for Quinn should Madigan opt out and runs for Senate instead of Gov in 2016, he will beat Daley. Daley's time is up.
Title: Re: IL-Southern Illinois University: Madigan and Rutherford ahead in primary Post by: Maxwell on February 13, 2013, 04:06:02 PM Haha, Quinn is screwed either way. Just like he was screwed in 2010? He was Governor for how long by the time 2010 came around? And his approvals are even sh**ttier after he's had 4 years to turn it around. Title: Re: IL-Southern Illinois University: Madigan and Rutherford ahead in primary Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on February 15, 2013, 04:31:02 PM Shella Simon just dropped out. So, he will have a running mate in time for the primary season to better run against Bill Daley. I think it will be him rather than Lisa. Madigan should wait her turn, because her father is speaker. She will be a better fit to run against Kirk in 16.
Title: Re: IL-Southern Illinois University: Madigan and Rutherford ahead in primary Post by: Oldiesfreak1854 on February 25, 2013, 04:10:58 PM I honestly don't think Lisa Madigan is going to run. If she didn't run in 2010, when everybody thought she would, then why would she (or Daley, for that matter) do it now? Granted, she'd just had a baby at that time, but you also have to consider the fact that her father is the longtime Speaker of the House in Illinois, and as such, is tied to the Chicago Democratic machine. I think that, in all likelihood, she will run for reelection as Attorney General, and win since she seems so popular. I don't live in Illinois, but personally, as a Republican Pat Quinn is the Democrat I would most like to see go down in defeat next year, and I have a feeling that any strong Republican (i.e. not a Bill Brady-type) could do it. I was heartbroken when Brady lost in 2010, especially because I had banked on the GOP winning that race for several years. I want revenge, and I want it in 2014!
I also hope that Madigan doesn't run against Kirk in 2016, but even if she does, Kirk still has a good chance at holding on by nature of being an incumbent and the perfect Republican for Illinois today (i.e. moderate). Of course, if people are unhappy with him by then, it could change that easily. Title: Re: IL-Southern Illinois University: Madigan and Rutherford ahead in primary Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on February 25, 2013, 04:34:21 PM Dan Hynes is definately interested in going back into pilitics. Quigley or even Daley. That poll showed michelle obama beating kirk 50/41. Ginnoulius was a flswed candidate . Kirk just like brown voted to extend bush tax cut. Dems have a bigger turnout in prez yrs. He isnt collins, ayotte, or snowe. Excellent chance against kirk, toomey, johnson seat. If a prez cuomo elected should grassley retire, run for that seat.
Title: Re: IL-Southern Illinois University: Madigan and Rutherford ahead in primary Post by: Oldiesfreak1854 on February 26, 2013, 09:15:41 AM Dems may have a bigger turnout in presidential election years, but Kirk, Toomey, and Johnson are still good fits for their states, so none of those are slam dunks for Dems. And besides, wouldn't extending the Bush tax cuts help Kirk in Illinois, since it's more fiscally conservative than socially conservative?
Title: Re: IL-Southern Illinois University: Madigan and Rutherford ahead in primary Post by: Obamanation on February 26, 2013, 09:37:24 AM Dems may have a bigger turnout in presidential election years, but Kirk, Toomey, and Johnson are still good fits for their states, so none of those are slam dunks for Dems. And besides, wouldn't extending the Bush tax cuts help Kirk in Illinois, since it's more fiscally conservative than socially conservative? LOL, no Title: Re: IL-Southern Illinois University: Madigan and Rutherford ahead in primary Post by: tmthforu94 on February 26, 2013, 10:39:35 AM Dems may have a bigger turnout in presidential election years, but Kirk, Toomey, and Johnson are still good fits for their states, so none of those are slam dunks for Dems. And besides, wouldn't extending the Bush tax cuts help Kirk in Illinois, since it's more fiscally conservative than socially conservative? LOL, no Title: Re: IL-Southern Illinois University: Madigan and Rutherford ahead in primary Post by: Obamanation on February 26, 2013, 11:08:40 AM Dems may have a bigger turnout in presidential election years, but Kirk, Toomey, and Johnson are still good fits for their states, so none of those are slam dunks for Dems. And besides, wouldn't extending the Bush tax cuts help Kirk in Illinois, since it's more fiscally conservative than socially conservative? LOL, no Wouldn't you say that Wisconsin is the most polarized Senate delegation in the country? Title: Re: IL-Southern Illinois University: Madigan and Rutherford ahead in primary Post by: Vosem on February 26, 2013, 03:32:36 PM Lisa doesn't want to run for Governor as long as her father (actually, fun fact, adoptive father) is SotH because they believe that would concentrate too much power into their hands. She didn't run for Governor or the Senate in 2010; I believe she wants to be Governor but is content to stay where she is while Mike Madigan is SotH. Madigan is 70, so I think either 2014 or 2018 -- most likely the latter -- will be the year.
Johnson is an extremely good campaigner; he's also very well-funded and Wisconsin is trending right. Unless he faces a rematch with Feingold -- which is doubtful -- or a Democratic wave -- also unlikely -- there's no reason he won't be reelected in 2016. Toomey's in roughly the same boat, though he's more vulnerable. Really, Kirk is in his own country in terms of vulnerable Senate members. (Though the Illinois Democrats are not famous for their competence and Kirk is actually fairly friendly with the Administration to my knowledge). Title: Re: IL-Southern Illinois University: Madigan and Rutherford ahead in primary Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on February 26, 2013, 05:02:23 PM Ron Johnson has a net disapproval rating. Pat Toomey was on the wrong side of the Hagel fight. Fitzgerald voted for Bush tax cut. I really think it will be Quigley who will run for senate. He is from the house and from the northshore. I guess until the new dem gov take office if we are that lucky and endorse candidates we wont tell how vul these class of gop senators are, and reopen redistricting in the house. We can take wisc, mich, and pa.gov mansions.The untouchable ones are kasich and portman.
Title: Re: IL-Southern Illinois University: Madigan and Rutherford ahead in primary Post by: Oldiesfreak1854 on February 27, 2013, 10:03:39 PM Ron Johnson has a net disapproval rating. Pat Toomey was on the wrong side of the Hagel fight. Fitzgerald voted for Bush tax cut. I really think it will be Quigley who will run for senate. He is from the house and from the northshore. I guess until the new dem gov take office if we are that lucky and endorse candidates we wont tell how vul these class of gop senators are, and reopen redistricting in the house. We can take wisc, mich, and pa.gov mansions.The untouchable ones are kasich and portman. Title: Re: IL-Southern Illinois University: Madigan and Rutherford ahead in primary Post by: Vosem on February 27, 2013, 11:31:39 PM Ron Johnson has a net disapproval rating. Pat Toomey was on the wrong side of the Hagel fight. Fitzgerald voted for Bush tax cut. I really think it will be Quigley who will run for senate. He is from the house and from the northshore. I guess until the new dem gov take office if we are that lucky and endorse candidates we wont tell how vul these class of gop senators are, and reopen redistricting in the house. We can take wisc, mich, and pa.gov mansions.The untouchable ones are kasich and portman. But Wisconsin's Democratic bench is pretty terrible, Johnson is well-known for his campaigning skill and he will certainly be better-funded than his opponent. Title: Re: IL-Southern Illinois University: Madigan and Rutherford ahead in primary Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on February 28, 2013, 05:12:09 PM Romney ran on bush tax cuts and lost big time and the gop got rolled in the fiscal cliff. You are saying. All of the states will go blue once again in 16. I rather be,a dem running than a gop candidate.
Title: Re: IL-Southern Illinois University: Madigan and Rutherford ahead in primary Post by: Oldiesfreak1854 on March 01, 2013, 08:14:48 AM Romney ran on bush tax cuts and lost big time and the gop got rolled in the fiscal cliff. You are saying. All of the states will go blue once again in 16. I rather be,a dem running than a gop candidate. |