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Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion => Election Predictions => Topic started by: Dave Leip on March 16, 2013, 04:43:11 pm



Title: 2013 Gubernatorial Predictions
Post by: Dave Leip on March 16, 2013, 04:43:11 pm
The 2013 Gubernatorial Predictions are now active (https://uselectionatlas.org/PRED/GOVERNOR/2013/pred.php)


Title: Re: 2013 Gubernatorial Predictions
Post by: dudeabides on April 09, 2013, 10:03:10 pm
Awesome!

Okay my predictions:

NJ - Chris Christie (R) 55% Barbra Buono (D) 44% Other 1%
VA - Terry McAuliffe (D) 52% Ken Cuccinelli (R) 47% Other 1%
NYC Mayor - Christine Quinn (D) 57% Joe Lhota (R) 40% Other 3%


Title: Re: 2013 Gubernatorial Predictions
Post by: NewYorkExpress on April 10, 2013, 12:34:45 pm
VA Gov- Terry McAuliffe 49% Ken Cucinelli 48% Tareq Salahi 3%

VA AG-  Justin Fairfax 50% Mark Obershain 48%

Virginia House of Delegates- GOP 58 D 42

NJ GOV Chris Christie 69% Barbara Buono 29 %

NJ State Senate- GOP 21 D 19

NJ General Assembly D 40 GOP GOP 40

NYC Mayor- Christine Quinn 53% Joesph Lohta 45% Adolfo Carrion 8%

Boston Mayor- Daniel Conley 54% Marty Walsh 47%

Detroit Mayor- Mike Duggan 56 % Lisa Howze 43 %

Houston Mayor Annise Parker 55% James Noteware 44%

Los Angeles Mayor- Wendy Gruel 52% Eric Garcetti 47%

Minneapolis Mayor- Mark Andrew 53% Cam Winton 41%

Seattle Mayor- Mike McGinn 51% Ed Murray 48%

 


Title: Re: 2013 Gubernatorial Predictions
Post by: AmosNC on May 19, 2013, 12:57:33 pm
Christie will obviously win, Ken C. will squeeze by.


Title: Re: 2013 Gubernatorial Predictions
Post by: PolitiJunkie on June 12, 2013, 08:23:30 pm
Awesome!

Okay my predictions:

NJ - Chris Christie (R) 55% Barbra Buono (D) 44% Other 1%
VA - Terry McAuliffe (D) 52% Ken Cuccinelli (R) 47% Other 1%
NYC Mayor - Christine Quinn (D) 57% Joe Lhota (R) 40% Other 3%

Pretty much my exact predictions, but with Christie at 56 or 57.


Title: Re: 2013 Gubernatorial Predictions
Post by: Flake on July 08, 2013, 07:26:24 am
New Jersey

Christie: 57%
Buono: 41%
Others: 2%

Virginia

McAuliffe: 49%
Cuccinelli: 39%
Sarvis: 12%


Title: Re: 2013 Gubernatorial Predictions
Post by: NHI on September 22, 2013, 07:50:56 am
New Jersey
Christie: 55%
Buono: 44%

Virginia
McAuliffe: 51%
Cuccinelli: 47%


Title: Re: 2013 Gubernatorial Predictions
Post by: rbt48 on September 30, 2013, 09:39:33 pm
New Jersey
Christie: 58%
Buono: 40%

Virginia
Cuccinelli: 48%
McAuliffe: 46%


Title: Re: 2013 Gubernatorial Predictions
Post by: PolitiJunkie on September 30, 2013, 11:18:47 pm
Virginia
Cuccinelli: 48%
McAuliffe: 46%

When was the last time you read the news?


Title: Re: 2013 Gubernatorial Predictions
Post by: LeBron FitzGerald on October 01, 2013, 09:17:38 am
Virginia
Cuccinelli: 48%
McAuliffe: 46%

When was the last time you read the news?
That sounds exactly like a barfbag prediction....


Title: Re: 2013 Gubernatorial Predictions
Post by: AUDIT THE AUSTRALIAN PARLIAMENT! on October 08, 2013, 07:33:36 pm
NJ:
Christie - 58%
Buono - 40%

VA:
McAuliffe: 49%
Cuccinelli: 46%
Sarvis: 4%

Originally had Cuccinelli narrowly winning VA, but have since flipped my prediction to McAuliffe.


Title: Re: 2013 Gubernatorial Predictions
Post by: ElectionsGuy on October 19, 2013, 12:27:25 am
These should probably be the final ones. I don't plan to make any major changes as we are approaching the last two weeks.

New Jersey:

60% Christie --> 61% Christie
39% Buono --> 38% Buono

Confidence: Strong

Virginia:

51% McAuliffe
43% Cuccinelli
6% Sarvis

Confidence: Lean --> Strong