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Election Archive => 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls => Topic started by: Mehmentum on March 24, 2013, 11:49:24 am



Title: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mehmentum on March 24, 2013, 11:49:24 am
There really isn't a point in doing the Democrats.

()
Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: publicunofficial on March 24, 2013, 02:28:20 pm
No way Bush and Rubio both run.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Oldiesfreak1854 on March 24, 2013, 02:39:25 pm
There really isn't a point in doing the Democrats.

Why not?


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Beat-Em-All Beto on March 24, 2013, 02:52:42 pm
There really isn't a point in doing the Democrats.

Why not?
()
Green: Hillary Clinton
That's why.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Liberalrocks on March 28, 2013, 09:49:16 pm
There really isn't a point in doing the Democrats.

Why not?
()
Green: Hillary Clinton
That's why.

LOL


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mehmentum on April 02, 2013, 02:59:48 pm

()
Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mr. Morden on April 02, 2013, 05:53:39 pm
I don't think it makes sense to count that Virginia poll, since it's a poll of all voters, not just GOP primary voters.  They're counting people who also gave an answer on the Democratic primary question in the poll.  I'd wait to see if they release the crosstabs, so you can see who the Republicans picked.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mr. Morden on April 02, 2013, 08:41:50 pm
You can also add to the map this PPP poll of North Carolina from December which had Rubio in the lead:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/12/nc-gop-voters-prefer-foxx-for-senate.html


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mehmentum on April 03, 2013, 06:26:44 am
Odd Virginia poll, oh well.
()
Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mr. Morden on April 08, 2013, 08:08:08 pm
Now that Paul's surged into second place in PPP's latest national poll (and a close third place in Quinnipiac), he's bound to be leading in some states.  Any guesses as to where he'd be leading right now, if PPP or someone else magically polled all 50 states tomorrow, where would Paul be ahead of Rubio, Christie, and the rest of the field?


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JerryArkansas on April 08, 2013, 08:09:15 pm
I think that paul could be leading in the midwest, and some in the south, and west


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mehmentum on April 08, 2013, 08:16:05 pm
Montana is pretty libertarian so he could be leading there and some other western states. Kentucky is an obvious one, but he could also potentially do well in the rest of the South, being a Southerner himself is a big boost.

Iowa will be interesting.  Ron Paul did very well in 2012, and Rand could potentially reach a wider audience within the Republican party.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mehmentum on April 11, 2013, 06:01:23 pm
Paul leads in Kentucky.
()
Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mr. Morden on April 13, 2013, 08:14:20 am
I think that paul could be leading in the midwest, and some in the south, and west

Well, Rubio's still ahead nationally, so Paul should only be leading in a minority of states.  Maybe Christie leads throughout the Northeast (+maybe California?), Paul leads in much of the West, and Rubio leads in most of the Midwest and South.  Paul of course leads in Kentucky, but not sure about the rest of Appalachia.  I guess PPP is polling Colorado next, and that should be interesting.  It's the first Western state they will have done (if you don't count Alaska).


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Zarn on April 13, 2013, 08:47:50 am
I think that paul could be leading in the midwest, and some in the south, and west

Well, Rubio's still ahead nationally, so Paul should only be leading in a minority of states.  Maybe Christie leads throughout the Northeast (+maybe California?), Paul leads in much of the West, and Rubio leads in most of the Midwest and South.  Paul of course leads in Kentucky, but not sure about the rest of Appalachia.  I guess PPP is polling Colorado next, and that should be interesting.  It's the first Western state they will have done (if you don't count Alaska).


Paul's favorability is slightly higher than Rubio's, so he may be taking over the national lead soon. With Rubio's unpopular immigration push, it may quicken the lead change.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Scott on April 16, 2013, 12:03:28 pm
(
Img
)

I feel like it will be something like this.

Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Maroon: Paul
Green: Ryan

Paul comes to a close second in most of the Southern states.  Christie makes a strong showing in Georgia.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Zarn on April 16, 2013, 12:37:01 pm
Rubio is being slammed on immigration right now. I don't think he is going to last. Another neocon is going to have to step up, eventually.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mehmentum on April 25, 2013, 03:59:41 pm
PPP has Paul leading in New Hampshire, Christie is in third.
()
Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mehmentum on May 21, 2013, 08:58:55 pm
Cruz leads in Texas, Paul leads in Iowa, Rubio leads in New Hampshire.
()
Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul
Pink: Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mehmentum on June 09, 2013, 01:37:44 pm
PPP has Rubio leading in VA.
()
Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul
Pink: Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: tpfkaw on June 10, 2013, 12:16:23 pm
Paul leads in MI per PPP.
()
Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul
Pink: Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mehmentum on July 01, 2013, 12:05:03 pm
Paul leads in Montana.
()
Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul
Pink: Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Flake on July 08, 2013, 05:55:18 am
I'm still wondering why PPP, or any national poller for that matter, has not polled California, because it has the most (or second most) republicans in the United States


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: mattyman on July 09, 2013, 04:28:55 am
Isn't the primary generally decided by the time it gets to California?


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Heptahedron on July 10, 2013, 04:16:55 pm
Isn't the primary generally decided by the time it gets to California?

I would say so. It is usually more like Super Tuesday, if everything goes well, or Pennsylvania if the battle is more drawn out.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mehmentum on July 20, 2013, 02:11:38 pm
Virginia and Iowa both have ties.  Ryan leads in Wyoming...
()
Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul
Pink: Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mehmentum on August 05, 2013, 06:57:15 pm
Paul leads in Alaska, Wyoming, and New Hampshire.

()
Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul
Pink: Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mehmentum on August 10, 2013, 10:32:00 am
Christie back ahead in NH.
()
Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul
Pink: Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Senator Cris on August 27, 2013, 02:10:01 am
Why this map is not updated?


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Sirius on September 18, 2013, 07:50:34 pm
Why this map is not updated?
Because people like me and you have not bothered to update it. Nobody is getting paid to post here.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Senator Cris on September 20, 2013, 12:00:29 pm
New update.

()

Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul
Pink: Cruz
White: Tie (Ohio: Christie-Paul. Virginia: Bush-Christie.)


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dr. RI on October 23, 2013, 07:06:13 pm
Based on three-poll averages where possible. Cruz is Red, Christie is Blue, Ryan is Green, Paul is Yellow, Rubio is Orange:

()

20% = lead of 1%
30% = lead of 2-3%
40% = lead of 4-5%
60% = lead of 6-9%
80% = lead of 10%+


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dr. RI on October 30, 2013, 10:53:37 am
Based on three-poll averages where possible. Cruz is Red, Christie is Blue, Ryan is Green, Paul is Yellow, Rubio is Orange:

()

20% = lead of 1%
30% = lead of 2-3%
40% = lead of 4-5%
60% = lead of 6-9%
80% = lead of 10%+


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Senator Cris on October 31, 2013, 09:29:20 am
New update.

()

Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Walker
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul
Pink: Cruz
White: Tie (Ohio: Christie-Paul. )


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dr. RI on November 13, 2013, 11:50:34 am
Based on three-poll averages where possible. Cruz is Red, Christie is Blue, Ryan is Green, Paul is Yellow, Rubio is Orange:

()

20% = lead of 1%
30% = lead of 2-3%
40% = lead of 4-5%
60% = lead of 6-9%
80% = lead of 10%+


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dr. RI on November 20, 2013, 02:38:51 pm
Based on three-poll averages where possible. Cruz is Red, Christie is Blue, Ryan is Green, Paul is Yellow, Rubio is Orange:

()

20% = lead of 1%
30% = lead of 2-3%
40% = lead of 4-5%
60% = lead of 6-9%
80% = lead of 10%+


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Senator Cris on November 21, 2013, 10:33:40 am
New update.

()

Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Walker
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul
Pink: Cruz
White: Tie (Ohio: Christie-Paul. )


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: eric82oslo on November 21, 2013, 10:03:18 pm
New update.

()

Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Walker
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul
Pink: Cruz
White: Tie (Ohio: Christie-Paul. )

If this map is correct, it means that each candidate currently leads in this number of states:

Rand Paul: 9
Chris Christie: 7
Ted Cruz: 2
Jeb Bush: 1
Marco Rubio: 1
Scott Walker: 1

And those states they lead in, are equivalent to this number of citizens (2012 numbers):

Chris Christie: 45.7 million
Ted Cruz: 29 million
Rand Paul: 24.4 million
Jeb Bush: 19.3 million
Scott Walker: 5.7 million
Marco Rubio: 3.1 million (yet it is Iowa, after all)

Appears like Chris Christie is a heavy favourite right now then. With Ted Cruz, Rand Paul and Jeb Bush seeming to be the only ones who can seriously challenge him, unless Marco Rubio really fixes a huge upset for himself in crucial Iowa. :P


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Consciously Unconscious on November 21, 2013, 10:12:03 pm
New update.

()

Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Walker
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul
Pink: Cruz
White: Tie (Ohio: Christie-Paul. )

If this map is correct, it means that each candidate currently leads in this number of states:

Rand Paul: 9
Chris Christie: 7
Ted Cruz: 2
Jeb Bush: 1
Marco Rubio: 1
Scott Walker: 1

And those states they lead in, are equivalent to this number of citizens (2012 numbers):

Chris Christie: 45.7 million
Ted Cruz: 29 million
Rand Paul: 24.4 million
Jeb Bush: 19.3 million
Scott Walker: 5.7 million
Marco Rubio: 3.1 million (yet it is Iowa, after all)

Appears like Chris Christie is a heavy favourite right now then. With Ted Cruz, Rand Paul and Jeb Bush seeming to be the only ones who can seriously challenge him, unless Marco Rubio really fixes a huge upset for himself in crucial Iowa. :P

Also, if Rubio does not run than I could see Bush receiving a majority of the vote that Rubio would have gotten.  This could place Bush to first in Iowa and possibly South Carolina. 


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dr. RI on November 22, 2013, 02:16:07 pm
Based on three-poll averages where possible. Cruz is Red, Christie is Blue, Ryan is Green, Paul is Yellow, Rubio is Orange, Ties are in White:

()

Florida is Bush-Rubio tie, Ohio is Christie-Paul tie.

20% = lead of 1%
30% = lead of 2-3%
40% = lead of 4-5%
60% = lead of 6-9%
80% = lead of 10%+


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Senator Cris on November 23, 2013, 03:55:36 am
New update.

()

Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Walker
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul
Pink: Cruz
White: Tie (Ohio: Christie-Paul. )


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dr. RI on November 26, 2013, 01:28:46 pm
Based on three-poll averages where possible. Cruz is Red, Christie is Blue, Ryan is Green, Paul is Yellow, Rubio is Orange, Ties are in White:

()

Florida is Bush-Rubio tie, Ohio is Christie-Paul tie.

20% = lead of 1%
30% = lead of 2-3%
40% = lead of 4-5%
60% = lead of 6-9%
80% = lead of 10%+


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Senator Cris on November 27, 2013, 09:15:25 am
New update.

()

Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Walker
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul
Pink: Cruz
White: Tie (Ohio: Christie-Paul. )


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dr. RI on November 27, 2013, 02:17:17 pm
Based on three-poll averages where possible. Cruz is Red, Christie is Blue, Ryan is Green, Paul is Yellow, Rubio is Orange, Ties are in White:

()

Florida is Bush-Rubio tie, Ohio is Christie-Paul tie.

20% = lead of 1%
30% = lead of 2-3%
40% = lead of 4-5%
60% = lead of 6-9%
80% = lead of 10%+


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: on December 31, 2013, 05:16:28 am
()

Blue: Chris Christie
Dark yellow: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Yellow: Jeb Bush
Green: Paul Ryan
White: tie


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: on January 15, 2014, 09:01:22 pm
()

Blue: Chris Christie
Dark yellow: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Yellow: Jeb Bush
Green: Paul Ryan
White: tie


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: NewYorkExpress on January 30, 2014, 08:02:13 pm
()

Blue: Chris Christie
Dark yellow: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Yellow: Jeb Bush
Green: Paul Ryan
White: tie

With Purple Strategies  having Romney leading... plan on making a color for him? (I hope not)


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mr. Morden on January 30, 2014, 08:24:48 pm
With Purple Strategies  having Romney leading... plan on making a color for him? (I hope not)

The Purple Strategies NH poll was conducted Jan. 21-23.  The UNH/WMUR NH poll was conducted Jan. 21-26.  So the latter (which has Paul in the lead) is more recent.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: on February 01, 2014, 09:58:36 pm
()


Blue: Chris Christie
Dark yellow: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Yellow: Jeb Bush
Green: Paul Ryan
White: tie


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: on February 03, 2014, 11:16:21 pm
()

Blue: Chris Christie
Dark yellow: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Yellow: Jeb Bush
Green: Paul Ryan
White: tie


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Senator Cris on February 08, 2014, 03:06:31 pm
()

Blue: Chris Christie
Dark yellow: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Yellow: Jeb Bush
Green: Paul Ryan
White: tie


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Scott on February 12, 2014, 02:22:37 pm
NC-PPP: Huckabee leads with 20% (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=187487.msg4052116;boardseen#new)

()

Blue: Chris Christie
Dark yellow: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Yellow: Jeb Bush
Green: Paul Ryan
White: tie


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: on February 17, 2014, 10:14:28 am
()

Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Yellow: Jeb Bush
Green: Paul Ryan
Orange: Ben Carson
White: tie


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: eric82oslo on February 17, 2014, 01:05:38 pm
7 different leaders in 25 different states - I like it. :P

Yet looking at 4 of the first states to vote - Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Florida - it's looking like becoming a rat race between Mike Huckabee and Jeb Bush, which would be fairly interesting.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mr. Morden on February 17, 2014, 04:33:04 pm
7 different leaders in 25 different states - I like it. :P

Yet looking at 4 of the first states to vote - Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Florida - it's looking like becoming a rat race between Mike Huckabee and Jeb Bush, which would be fairly interesting.

Florida isn't one of the first states to vote anymore.  The order is most likely IA, NH, NV, SC.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: on February 18, 2014, 02:31:27 pm
()

Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Yellow: Jeb Bush
Green: Paul Ryan
Orange: Ben Carson
White: tie


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Scott on February 24, 2014, 03:03:50 pm
()

Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Yellow: Jeb Bush
Green: Paul Ryan
Orange: Ben Carson
White: tie


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Representative Carpetbagger on March 05, 2014, 04:48:34 pm
Is Rand Paul beating Huckabee in Arkansas! I hope he is!!!


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Scott on March 06, 2014, 09:12:12 am
For reference, it should be noted that two polls conducted in New Hampshire have shown Mitt Romney leading the field in that state.  However, for obvious reasons, those polls should be excluded from these maps.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: eric82oslo on March 06, 2014, 10:05:57 am
For reference, it should be noted that two polls conducted in New Hampshire have shown Mitt Romney leading the field in that state.  However, for obvious reasons, those polls should be excluded from these maps.

"No, no, no, no, no, no, no and no" doesn't mean the same as "I'd rather shoot myself". So I'd say he's still up for convincing. :P

Though I agree it's more likely that Jeb Bush will run. Even his mother is less certain of herself now. She said he's by far the best qualified to run for president. :P


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: on March 06, 2014, 02:59:05 pm
()

Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Paul Ryan
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie


P.S.: I've changed Bush's color to red (important color), as Rubio is (currently) politically dead. Once he manages to resurrect his poll numbers, he can get the yellow label.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dr. RI on March 06, 2014, 09:10:39 pm
Based on three-poll averages where possible. Cruz is Red, Christie is Blue, Bush is Green, Paul is Yellow, Huckabee is Orange, Ties are in White:

()

Wisconsin is a Ryan lead but I don't have a color left for him.

20% = lead of 1%
30% = lead of 2-3%
40% = lead of 4-5%
60% = lead of 6-9%
80% = lead of 10%+


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: on March 07, 2014, 04:10:50 pm
()

Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Paul Ryan
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: on March 15, 2014, 06:52:51 pm
()

Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Paul Ryan
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Aeneas Juilus on March 27, 2014, 10:45:59 am
I thought it might be fun to add the delegates for each state and apply them to the potential candidate that is leading.  *I know many aren't all or nothing and many candidates won't run.

Jeb Bush (146) Florida - 98 South Carolina - 48

Chris Christie (429) Mississippi - 38 Illinois - 68 Michigan - 58 Pennsylvania - 71 Virginia - 49 New York - 95 New Jersey - 50

Rand Paul (143) Nebraska - 34 Arkansas - 38 Kentucky - 44 Wyoming - 27

Mike Huckabee (182) Kansas - 38 Iowa - 28 Louisiana - 45 North Carolina - 71

Ted Cruz (311) Arizona - 56 Colorado - 35 Montana - 26 Oklahoma - 41 Texas - 153

Paul Ryan (41) Wisconsin - 41

Ben Carson (37) Maryland - 37


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: eric82oslo on April 09, 2014, 02:07:00 pm
Please change Mississippi from blue to red. :P


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: on April 10, 2014, 03:15:40 am
Please change Mississippi from blue to red. :P

Okay...


()

Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Paul Ryan
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: on April 22, 2014, 06:52:16 am
()

Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Paul Ryan
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: on April 29, 2014, 03:26:15 pm
Magellan Strategies (R) polls for 10 states (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=191700.0)

()

Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Scott Walker
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie or undecided


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mr. Morden on April 29, 2014, 06:08:51 pm
Magellan Strategies (R) polls for 10 states (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=191700.0)

()

Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Scott Walker
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie or undecided

The Magellan poll of Iowa was taken April 14-15, and the Daily Caller poll (with Huckabee ahead) was taken April 22-24, so the latter is more recent:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=191652.0


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: on April 29, 2014, 06:19:00 pm

The Magellan poll of Iowa was taken April 14-15, and the Daily Caller poll (with Huckabee ahead) was taken April 22-24, so the latter is more recent:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=191652.0


Okay. Changed it.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: on May 14, 2014, 07:00:50 pm
()

Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Scott Walker
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie or undecided


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: on June 08, 2014, 04:00:13 am
()

Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Scott Walker
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie or undecided


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Senator Cris on July 11, 2014, 08:15:33 am
()

Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Scott Walker
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie or undecided


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: on July 22, 2014, 11:27:10 am
()

Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Scott Walker
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie or undecided


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: eric82oslo on July 28, 2014, 07:50:59 pm
RealClearPolitics is now including 37 GOP primary polls going back to the very first post-election 2016 poll in December 2012. Those who have lead the most times in these 37 polls are:

Chris Christie: 12 polls
Rand Paul: 6 polls
Marco Rubio: 6 polls (all of them being the 6 very first polls after the 2012 election)
Mike Huckabee: 4 polls
Ted Cruz: 1 poll
Jeb Bush: 0 polls/not a single one

Tied polls: 8 polls

Those who have lead the tied polls the most times are:

Rand Paul: 4
Jeb Bush: 4
Mike Huckabee: 3
Chris Christie: 2
Paul Ryan: 2
Rick Perry: 1 (the very last of the 37)

Now, if we include both the polls where one candidate has been on top alone as well as the leaders of the tied polls, the victor list of those 37 polls looks like this:

Chris Christie: 14 polls (38%)
Rand Paul: 10 polls (27%)
Mike Huckabee: 7 polls (19%)
Marco Rubio: 6 polls (16%)
Jeb Bush: 4 polls (11%)
Paul Ryan: 2 polls (5.4%)
Ted Cruz: 1 poll (2.7%)
Rick Perry: 1 poll (2.7%)

Thus, it seems to be a battle between these 8 candidates right now. Neither Walker, Santorum (despite being the 2012 runner up/"obvious heir") nor Jindal have ever lead a single 2016 primary poll yet. Walker's best poll was scoring 8% in June. Santorum's best poll showed him with 6% in November 2013. Jindal's best number was 6% in an October 2013 poll.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Senator Cris on November 22, 2014, 06:02:35 am
()

Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Paul Ryan
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie or undecided


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mehmentum on January 22, 2015, 01:31:28 pm
Several updates:

Paul Ryan has announced he isn't running, so his color (green) has been reallocated to Mitt Romney.  

Since Rand Paul's color is rather close to Huckabee's, I've decided to lighten it to yellow (sorry Rubio!).

Lastly, we've got the first batch of polls from 2015.

- New Jersey Quinnipiac poll with Christie in a rather weak lead.
- Iowa Gravis poll with Romney in the lead.
- Pennsylvania PPP poll with Carson in the lead.

()

Green: Mitt Romney
Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Yellow: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Orange: Ben Carson
White: tie or undecided


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mr. Morden on January 22, 2015, 08:02:59 pm
I think right now, Jeb Bush would probably win the primaries.

Why would you think that when all the national polls that include Romney give him a significant lead:

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-national-gop-primary

The only reason why Romney isn't leading in most of the polls on this map is because the vast majority of these polls were taken before pollsters started including Romney in their matchups.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mr. Morden on January 22, 2015, 08:14:57 pm

()

Green: Mitt Romney
Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Yellow: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Orange: Ben Carson
White: tie or undecided

Which reminds me, this map is wrong.  Go to Wikipedia (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_Republican_Party_presidential_primaries,_2016) to find the polls, and you'll see that the most recent polls in AR, CO, KS, MA, MI, and NH all have Romney in the lead.  You just didn't color them that way initially because you were only including the matchups without Romney.  But I guess you're now including them?


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mehmentum on January 22, 2015, 09:40:14 pm

()

Green: Mitt Romney
Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Yellow: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Orange: Ben Carson
White: tie or undecided

Which reminds me, this map is wrong.  Go to Wikipedia (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_Republican_Party_presidential_primaries,_2016) to find the polls, and you'll see that the most recent polls in AR, CO, KS, MA, MI, and NH all have Romney in the lead.  You just didn't color them that way initially because you were only including the matchups without Romney.  But I guess you're now including them?

I wasn't updating the map after late 2013, so it wasn't really me that didn't color them that way (though I probably would have made the same decision as the posters who were updating the thread at the time) .  I wasn't aware that Romney was in the polls in those states.  I'll edit the original post.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mehmentum on January 28, 2015, 06:07:34 pm
Gravis has Romney in leading in South Carolina. (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=206566.msg4467129;boardseen#new).

Romney now leads in the most recent polls for three of the four early primary states (and is there really any doubt that he's dominating in Nevada?).
()


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: IceSpear on January 30, 2015, 10:55:07 pm
So I guess now the Romney states have to be colored with the second place finisher?


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: IceSpear on January 31, 2015, 01:21:17 am
That's probably what I'd expect in a Biden vs. Warren matchup...Warren winning IA and NH, but with Biden carrying SC due to loyalty among AAs for being Obama's VP. It would've been interesting to see how that would turn out (though Warren may not have run regardless of what Hillary did).

The one downside of Hillary already being the nominee is we get nothing to entertain us on the Dem side...luckily it's looking like the GOP primary will be entertaining enough to carry the extra weight.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: BaconBacon96 on January 31, 2015, 06:38:03 pm
I think Warren would win if Hillary didn't run and she decided to. She seems to have a lot of support behind her from liberal groups, while Biden is more of a background player.

In terms of the Republican primary, I was surprised that Carson is leading in NC. That poll was from December of last year, so I'm assuming that the situation hasn't changed dramatically.

I was also surprised Huckabee is leading in Oregon- I would have expected Oregon's Republicans to be moderate Christie supporters.

These Republican primaries are going to be quite a spectacle.
Oregon Republicans are actually solid social conservatives. North Carolina I can't put my finger on.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mr. Morden on January 31, 2015, 10:54:36 pm
I think Warren would win if Hillary didn't run and she decided to. She seems to have a lot of support behind her from liberal groups, while Biden is more of a background player.

In terms of the Republican primary, I was surprised that Carson is leading in NC. That poll was from December of last year, so I'm assuming that the situation hasn't changed dramatically.

I was also surprised Huckabee is leading in Oregon- I would have expected Oregon's Republicans to be moderate Christie supporters.

These Republican primaries are going to be quite a spectacle.
Oregon Republicans are actually solid social conservatives. North Carolina I can't put my finger on.
North Carolina is a more conservative state, and Ted Cruz doesn't have much press in the state, so Carson is the next best pick. I guess that's a decent explanation.

I hardly think Carson counts as a "next best pick" to Cruz at this point, considering that Carson is ahead of Cruz in every recent state and national poll.  Cruz is far enough back in the pack that he's presumably trailing everywhere except Texas at this point.  The only reason why he's leading in six state polls in the map given in this thread is because those polls are all several months old.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: solarstorm on February 17, 2015, 07:52:43 pm
Hi, ssuperflash. THX for your maps, they're really great.
But could you choose a different color for South Carolina / Graham?
I first didn't realize that that color isn't gray, but instead a very light purple.

And a legend would be convenient, too.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: IA less likely to flip than OH/TX/FL/GA/NC/AZ on February 19, 2015, 11:04:04 am
Pink should be the Graham color. :P


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: solarstorm on February 19, 2015, 01:09:57 pm
Pink should be the Graham color. :P

At this juncture, South Carolina should be colored red.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: IceSpear on February 19, 2015, 03:50:53 pm
Pink should be the Graham color. :P

I second this. And if Santorum ever leads in a state, he should be brown.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: solarstorm on February 27, 2015, 09:31:44 am
This is btw what Atlas thinks the full map would look like at this juncture:

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Delaware is the #1 State to watch.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: AmericanNation on March 04, 2015, 04:30:38 pm
Turning into:
Top tier: Walker - Bush
2nd Tier: Paul - Christie
3rd Tier: Cruz and the Huckster. 


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: solarstorm on March 04, 2015, 08:27:32 pm
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NC: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_30415.pdf
GA: http://votergravity.com/georgia-presidential-flash-poll-results

Red: Jeb Bush
Green: Scott Walker
Blue: Chris Christie
Yellow: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Purple: John Kasich
Pink: Ted Cruz
Orange: Ben Carson


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: IceSpear on March 05, 2015, 04:00:50 am
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NC: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_30415.pdf
GA: http://votergravity.com/georgia-presidential-flash-poll-results

Red: Jeb Bush
Green: Scott Walker
Blue: Chris Christie
Yellow: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Purple: John Kasich
Pink: Ted Cruz
Orange: Ben Carson

Voter Gravity isn't scientific, it shouldn't be included.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Senator Cris on March 21, 2015, 08:45:20 am
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Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: solarstorm on March 23, 2015, 11:11:41 pm
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Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: solarstorm on March 24, 2015, 03:40:19 pm
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Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: solarstorm on March 27, 2015, 07:26:45 pm
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Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: solarstorm on March 31, 2015, 04:45:07 pm
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Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: solarstorm on April 15, 2015, 12:14:11 pm
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Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: solarstorm on April 17, 2015, 06:27:16 am
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Please note: I have added Marco Rubio to the legend and allocated the color orange to him, as he is an oompa loompa. In return, I gave the crazy doctor the color maroon.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: solarstorm on April 21, 2015, 02:16:08 pm
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Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: IceSpear on April 28, 2015, 03:09:24 pm
Shouldn't Iowa be Walker now?


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: solarstorm on April 28, 2015, 06:11:46 pm
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Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on June 02, 2015, 12:40:55 pm
()

Jeb Bush: 10 States
Rand Paul: 6 States
Scott Walker: 6 States
Ted Cruz: 5 States
Chris Christie: 4 States
Mike Huckabee: 4 States
Marco Rubio: 2 States
Ben Carson: 1 State
John Kasich: 1 State


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on June 07, 2015, 10:25:16 am
()

Jeb Bush: 11 States
Rand Paul: 6 States
Scott Walker: 6 States
Ted Cruz: 5 States
Chris Christie: 4 States
Mike Huckabee: 4 States
Ben Carson: 1 State
John Kasich: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mr. Morden on June 10, 2015, 12:26:01 am
Someone should put together a game of Risk using the above map as the starting positions.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on June 14, 2015, 12:35:11 pm
()

Jeb Bush: 12 States
Scott Walker: 6 States
Ted Cruz: 5 States
Rand Paul: 5 States
Mike Huckabee: 4 States
Chris Christie: 3 States
Ben Carson: 1 State
John Kasich: 1 State
George Pataki: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: solarstorm on June 15, 2015, 06:50:51 pm
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Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: / on June 15, 2015, 07:43:22 pm
Stop assuming that Ben Carson will win Maryland just because he's from there.

Kasich and Ohio, too. It's not that Kasich can't win OH, it's just that he'll drop out before the primary.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Sprouts Farmers Market ✘ on June 15, 2015, 07:46:14 pm
This is based on actual polls, Dan.

I find it amazing Rubio is not winning a single state yet I still deem him the most likely winner.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Fubart Solman on June 16, 2015, 03:15:11 pm
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I think that the legend for "tied" and "no polls" needs to be flipped.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: mds32 on June 16, 2015, 05:39:54 pm
At this rate if Sanders ends of leading in a state or two another map will have to be created.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Crumpets on June 17, 2015, 01:04:55 pm
Solarstorm, where did you find numbers for Idaho?


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Senator Cris on July 28, 2015, 04:04:01 am
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Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mr. Morden on July 28, 2015, 04:12:43 am
Isn't this the most recent SC poll?:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=215011.0

It has Bush ahead there.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Senator Cris on July 28, 2015, 04:14:12 am
Isn't this the most recent SC poll?:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=215011.0

It has Bush ahead there.


Yes, you are right. :)


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Senator Cris on August 06, 2015, 03:20:06 am
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Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: MisSkeptic on August 06, 2015, 03:27:21 am
Very interesting and confusing map. The only problem I have is that I picture Nevada going to Rand Paul, and I need to study with Republican candidate is popular in which state. Yes, times change and so do people, however I expect multiple caucuses and primaries to become bitter battle grounds.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Senator Cris on August 06, 2015, 12:27:20 pm
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Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Tender Branson on August 06, 2015, 12:30:13 pm
Considering the huge Trump lead nationally right now, there are probably only a few home-state states left in which other candidates are leading ...

The map is pretty outdated though, using mostly old polls that do not take into account the recent Trump-surge.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dr. RI on August 06, 2015, 02:09:45 pm
Some candidate strength maps from post-recent Trump surge polling (7/30ish-now)

FIRST TIER (in 5% increments)

Trump:
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SECOND TIER (in 3% increments)

Bush:
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Walker:
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Carson:
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Cruz:
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Huckabee:
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THIRD TIER (In 2% increments)

Rubio:
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Christie:
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Kasich:
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FOURTH TIER (In 1% increments)

Paul:
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Fiorina:
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Jindal:
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Perry:
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Graham:
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Santorum:
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Pataki:
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Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dr. RI on August 06, 2015, 02:10:11 pm
WINNER (Normal scale, Trump blue, Walker green, Cruz yellow):
()


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: YPestis25 on August 12, 2015, 01:02:48 am
I guess we finally need a DEM map.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Tender Branson on August 12, 2015, 01:04:48 am
I guess we finally need a DEM map.

I'm pretty sure Sanders already leads in 4+ states (VT, NH, WA, OR) and maybe already in MN/WI and some others like MT.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Senator Cris on August 12, 2015, 05:32:44 am
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Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

OR is already a statistical tie.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Crumpets on August 12, 2015, 01:04:45 pm
()

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

OR is already a statistical tie.
Does anybody have the numbers for South Dakota? I see it says Hillary ahead 30-49% on Wikipedia, but they don't have the poll anywhere in their list.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Fubart Solman on August 12, 2015, 05:27:52 pm
I guess we finally need a DEM map.

I'm pretty sure Sanders already leads in 4+ states (VT, NH, WA, OR) and maybe already in MN/WI and some others like MT.

Montana wouldn't surprise me either. Warren did really well in that one poll from last year. I wonder if the Dakotas will be the same way.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dr. RI on August 17, 2015, 02:15:00 am
Here's the last month's worth of "polling" (https://www.isidewith.com/map/tX7D/2016-republican-primary#z5) done via ISideWith.com by congressional district:

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Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: eric82oslo on August 17, 2015, 04:17:11 am
These are the results I got this time (last time I did it was a few months ago):

1. Hillary - 93% (8 policy issues)
2. Bernie - 92% (7 policy issues)
3. O'Malley - 79% (4 policy issues)
4. Jeb Bush - 51%
5. Rand Paul - 46%
6. Chris Christie - 36% (environment)
7. Bobby Jindal - 30%
8. Trump - 24%
9. Fiorina - 21% (environment)
10. Kasich - 20%
11. Graham - 16%
12. Huckabee - 12%
13. Rubio - 11%
13. Perry - 11% (environment)
15. Walker - 10%
16. Carson - 7%
17. Santorum - 4%
18. Cruz - 1%

I side most with Hillary on: healthcare, education, economy, domestic & Foreign policy
I side most with Sanders on: social policy
I side most with O'Malley on: immigration
I side most with Christie on: environment

On the parties I got this:

1. Democratic - 98%
2. Green - 94%
3. Socialist - 81%
4. Libertarians - 28%
5. Republicans - 11%
6. Constitution - 5%

Ops, wrong thread I see lol. :P


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Crumpets on August 17, 2015, 01:15:58 pm
Here's the last month's worth of "polling" (https://www.isidewith.com/map/tX7D/2016-republican-primary#z5) done via ISideWith.com by congressional district:


That's a pretty cool tool, although their Democratic primary results are... suspicious to say the least.

()

Bernie Sanders
Hillary Clinton



Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Fuzzybigfoot on August 17, 2015, 05:34:29 pm
Here's the last month's worth of "polling" (https://www.isidewith.com/map/tX7D/2016-republican-primary#z5) done via ISideWith.com by congressional district:


That's a pretty cool tool, although their Democratic primary results are... suspicious to say the least.

()

Bernie Sanders
Hillary Clinton



#FeeltheBern #Bernmentum #50statestrategy


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Crumpets on August 19, 2015, 05:43:20 pm
Here's ISideWith's Democratic primary map by congressional district. Pretty unquestionably slanted in favor of Sanders, I think, but still pretty accurate as a PVI-style map. Instead of using all results from the past month, I chose the option for the most 1,000 recent votes from each district solely because it shows more contrast.

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Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Senator Cris on August 20, 2015, 07:11:51 am
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Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Fuzzybigfoot on August 22, 2015, 01:51:31 am
Here's ISideWith's Democratic primary map by congressional district. Pretty unquestionably slanted in favor of Sanders, I think, but still pretty accurate as a PVI-style map. Instead of using all results from the past month, I chose the option for the most 1,000 recent votes from each district solely because it shows more contrast.

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You would think Hillary would be leading in MO-1 considering it's giant African American population.    Silly internet polls.  :P


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Sprouts Farmers Market ✘ on August 24, 2015, 10:33:13 pm
MO 01 for Sanders can be explained simply as Ferguson. Yes African Americans generally don't appreciate Sanders, but it is often cited it is because they are Democrats living in the real word looking for practical help, not a revolutionary candidate. Ferguson is not the real world. It was a militarized war zone in the middle of America. A revolution has taken place there. BLM was born there, and they have put out a platform mostly backed by Sanders. It's easy to take a monolithic voting group and extend it nationally, but when we see a deviation, it can help to find an explanation. I'm not saying this is certainly right, but it does make intuitive sense rather than dismissing it so quickly.

That being said, isidewith is a terrible measure of potential primary vote.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Senator Cris on August 26, 2015, 04:25:53 am
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Delegates allocation:

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Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on September 05, 2015, 11:44:16 pm
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 53-13-6-5 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 52-20 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-22 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 43-35 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
MD - 72-9-6-3 Clinton/Biden/O'Malley/Warren
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 42-35 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 55-15 Clinton
NC - 55-19 Clinton
OH - 47-17 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 45-19 Clinton
SC - 78-8 Clinton
TX - 53-15 Clinton
UT - 50-30 Clinton
VT - 36-29 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 44-32 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on September 08, 2015, 10:17:12 pm
Updated with new numbers in ID, NH, and SC


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 53-13-6-5 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 52-20 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 43-35 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
MD - 72-9-6-3 Clinton/Biden/O'Malley/Warren
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 49-38 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 55-15 Clinton
NC - 55-19 Clinton
OH - 47-17 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 45-19 Clinton
SC - 54-24-9 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
TX - 53-15 Clinton
UT - 50-30 Clinton
VT - 36-29 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 44-32 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: / on September 08, 2015, 10:21:38 pm
Here's the last month's worth of "polling" (https://www.isidewith.com/map/tX7D/2016-republican-primary#z5) done via ISideWith.com by congressional district:


That's a pretty cool tool, although their Democratic primary results are... suspicious to say the least.

()

Bernie Sanders
Hillary Clinton



I'm dying.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on September 10, 2015, 10:53:03 am
IA realizes how stupid honoring a dynasty is.


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 53-13-6-5 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 52-20 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 41-40 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
MD - 72-9-6-3 Clinton/Biden/O'Malley/Warren
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 49-38 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 55-15 Clinton
NC - 55-19 Clinton
OH - 47-17 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 45-19 Clinton
SC - 54-24-9 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
TX - 53-15 Clinton
UT - 50-30 Clinton
VT - 36-29 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 44-32 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on September 13, 2015, 11:04:32 am
New Numbers in IA, NH, SC, CA


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 42-26 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 52-20 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 43-33 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
MD - 72-9-6-3 Clinton/Biden/O'Malley/Warren
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 52-30 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 55-15 Clinton
NC - 55-19 Clinton
OH - 47-17 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 45-19 Clinton
SC - 46-23 Clinton
TX - 53-15 Clinton
UT - 50-30 Clinton
VT - 36-29 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 44-32 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on September 14, 2015, 09:52:16 pm
Adding the FL Gravis Poll


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 42-26 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 42-21-13 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 43-33 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
MD - 72-9-6-3 Clinton/Biden/O'Malley/Warren
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 52-30 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 55-15 Clinton
NC - 55-19 Clinton
OH - 47-17 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 45-19 Clinton
SC - 46-23 Clinton
TX - 53-15 Clinton
UT - 50-30 Clinton
VT - 36-29 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 44-32 Clinton
[/quote]


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on September 15, 2015, 09:10:29 pm
Clinton gains in FL and NH


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 42-26 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 55-18 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 43-33 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
MD - 72-9-6-3 Clinton/Biden/O'Malley/Warren
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 43-36 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 55-15 Clinton
NC - 55-19 Clinton
OH - 47-17 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 45-19 Clinton
SC - 46-23 Clinton
TX - 53-15 Clinton
UT - 50-30 Clinton
VT - 36-29 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 44-32 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: yeah_93 on September 15, 2015, 09:16:14 pm
Wulfric, those maps include polls that are really old. Could you make a map just with polls of, say, just the past 1-2 months to get a better picture?


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on September 15, 2015, 09:53:20 pm
Wulfric, those maps include polls that are really old. Could you make a map just with polls of, say, just the past 1-2 months to get a better picture?

The Republican map uses some polls that are pretty old (Off the top of my head, the ones showing Carson up in MD and Christie up in ME) as well. I can put an asterisk or something next to the old polls , but I'd rather have a map with as much data as possible than a mostly blank map with only recent polls.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on September 17, 2015, 07:15:13 pm
New VT/NH polls


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 42-26 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 55-18 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 43-33 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
MD - 72-9-6-3 Clinton/Biden/O'Malley/Warren
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 35-31 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 55-15 Clinton
NC - 55-19 Clinton
OH - 47-17 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 45-19 Clinton
SC - 46-23 Clinton
TX - 53-15 Clinton
UT - 50-30 Clinton
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 44-32 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on September 21, 2015, 04:12:56 pm
MO and NY tighten, UT rejects the democratic dynasty complex.


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 42-26 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 55-18 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 43-33 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
MD - 72-9-6-3 Clinton/Biden/O'Malley/Warren
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 35-31 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 55-19 Clinton
OH - 47-17 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 45-19 Clinton
SC - 46-23 Clinton
TX - 53-15 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 44-32 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on September 22, 2015, 11:23:56 am
Clinton jumps to a 21 point lead in IA.


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 42-26 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 55-18 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 43-22 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
MD - 72-9-6-3 Clinton/Biden/O'Malley/Warren
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 35-31 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 55-19 Clinton
OH - 47-17 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 45-19 Clinton
SC - 46-23 Clinton
TX - 53-15 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 44-32 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Fmr. Pres. Griff on September 22, 2015, 11:19:36 pm
I started this a few days ago, but never got around to posting it. Tonight, I updated the map with the latest polling available. I wanted to do this because initially, I suspected that based on what we've seen in cross-tabs in many polls, that there would be a substantial difference in how the white vote for each candidate looked when compared to the overall primary polls.

Where applicable, the numbers shown are derived from aggregate polling. 15% in polling is the threshold for a candidate to appear.

There isn't a uniform method here for calculations, given the fact that every poll differs in the amount of information provided:

  • In some cases, I have analyzed cross-tabs and found them to be inaccurate in terms of the share of the electorate when compared to the GE makeup of that state's electorate (http://i.imgur.com/dolWh3v.png); as such, I've adjusted the numbers in these cases accordingly to more accurately reflect a presidential year primary make-up (assuming that the white share of the vote in all cases will be a slightly higher percentage in a primary than in the GE).
  • Some polls do not provide sufficient cross-tabs with respect to turnout by race, in which case, I use the map linked above as a baseline for determining the make-up the likely primary electorate.
  • Some polls may provide basic stats on the racial sampling of the polling, but may not provide breakdowns of each race's percentage of support for each candidate. In these cases, I used relevant polling data from other states and from national polls to project what the likely support by race is for each candidate in that state.

In all of these cases, once the preliminary figures are calculated, it becomes rather easy to calculate the likely white share of support for each candidate.



The first map in each series shows the percentage of support (color-coded) for the winning candidate in each state, as well as the results from one or more recent polls for other candidates who have at least 15% support in each state.

The second map shows the margin between the first place and second place candidate in each state.

9/18/15:

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9/22/15:

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Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Fmr. Pres. Griff on September 24, 2015, 05:33:54 am
9/23/15: TX poll added (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=219768.0)

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Assumes Democratic primary electorate will be 39% White, 36% Black, 25% Latino; assumes Clinton is pulling 65% among Blacks and that Latino support for Clinton/Biden matches statewide support levels


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mr. Morden on September 24, 2015, 05:37:16 am
Your last map seems to have removed the 9/22 states (e.g., Utah, Missouri...).


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Fmr. Pres. Griff on September 24, 2015, 05:39:08 am
Your last map seems to have removed the 9/22 states (e.g., Utah, Missouri...).


Crap - I edited the wrong one. Fixed.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dr. RI on September 24, 2015, 12:40:28 pm
The Elon NC poll has Hillary winning whites 45-34 over Sanders. No Biden, though.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on September 24, 2015, 05:35:34 pm
New polls for NH and TX

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 42-26 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 55-18 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 43-22 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
MD - 72-9-6-3 Clinton/Biden/O'Malley/Warren
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 46-30 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 55-19 Clinton
OH - 47-17 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 45-19 Clinton
SC - 46-23 Clinton
TX - 53-21 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 44-32 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Fmr. Pres. Griff on September 24, 2015, 08:17:14 pm
The Elon NC poll has Hillary winning whites 45-34 over Sanders. No Biden, though.

That's quite helpful. It's very interesting to see how well that tracks with my Georgia and Texas projections, and to a lesser extent, my SC & FL ones as well - it gives me a bit more confidence that I am doing an adequate job with my projections (at least within the confines of the quality of polling). Clinton certainly isn't doing all that well with white voters in the Deep South.



I've updated my map format so that I can more easily fit the stats within the confines of most states.

9/24/15: NC (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=219790.0) & NH (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=219815.0) polls added

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Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: henster on September 25, 2015, 07:34:13 am
Wonder why Hillary is doing so badly w/ white voters, it's not just among Democrats but with the general electorate as well she's doing far worse than Obama ever did.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Senator Cris on September 25, 2015, 08:58:38 am
1st place:

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2nd place:

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In states where Walker was leading (MN, WA, WI), the 2nd of that state is now the 1st. The 3rd is now the 2nd.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on September 26, 2015, 12:01:15 pm
North Carolina tightens

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 42-26 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 55-18 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 43-22 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
MD - 72-9-6-3 Clinton/Biden/O'Malley/Warren
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 46-30 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 53-23 Clinton
OH - 47-17 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 45-19 Clinton
SC - 46-23 Clinton
TX - 53-21 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 44-32 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on September 29, 2015, 01:15:42 pm
Clinton struggling in NC!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 42-26 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 55-18 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 43-22 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
MD - 72-9-6-3 Clinton/Biden/O'Malley/Warren
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 46-30 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 37-30-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OH - 47-17 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 45-19 Clinton
SC - 46-23 Clinton
TX - 53-21 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 44-32 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on September 30, 2015, 12:31:11 am
Clinton struggling in MI! Biden really should get in.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 42-26 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 55-18 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 43-22 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
MD - 72-9-6-3 Clinton/Biden/O'Malley/Warren
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 35-28-22 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 46-30 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 37-30-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OH - 47-17 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 45-19 Clinton
SC - 46-23 Clinton
TX - 53-21 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 44-32 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on October 01, 2015, 11:12:48 am
Even TX isn't in love with the democratic dynasty complex!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 42-26 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 55-18 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 43-22 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
MD - 72-9-6-3 Clinton/Biden/O'Malley/Warren
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 35-28-22 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 46-30 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 37-30-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OH - 47-17 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 45-19 Clinton
SC - 46-23 Clinton
TX - 36-24 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 42-30 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on October 04, 2015, 11:12:34 am
New polls in IA and NH, first poll ever in LA

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 42-26 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 55-18 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 33-28 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MD - 72-9-6-3 Clinton/Biden/O'Malley/Warren
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 35-28-22 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 42-28 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 37-30-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OH - 47-17 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 45-19 Clinton
SC - 46-23 Clinton
TX - 36-24 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 42-30 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Fmr. Pres. Griff on October 05, 2015, 11:20:39 pm
10/5/15: Added first polls for WI & LA; new TX & SC polls correct seemingly unrealistically-high Sanders performance from previous polls; Clinton closes the gap a bit in NH; Biden breaks 15% in IA & Clinton/Sanders IA margin remains the same

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Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on October 06, 2015, 10:19:00 am
Clinton leads by only 20 points in minority dominated Maryland!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 42-26 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 55-18 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 33-28 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MD - 43-23-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 35-28-22 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 42-28 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 37-30-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OH - 47-17 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 45-19 Clinton
SC - 46-23 Clinton
TX - 36-24 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 42-30 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on October 07, 2015, 09:18:43 am
New polls in FL, PA, OH, CA. Clinton is collapsing!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 40-31 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 43-19 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 33-28 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MD - 43-23-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 35-28-22 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 42-28 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 37-30-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OH - 40-21-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 36-25-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
SC - 46-23 Clinton
TX - 36-24 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 42-30 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Senator Cris on October 07, 2015, 10:26:09 am
Your comments to polls are very objective, not partisan. :P


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Crumpets on October 07, 2015, 10:32:45 am
Your comments to polls are very objective, not partisan. :P

pbrower should take note: include every poll, just make it's significance conform to your narrative.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mr. Morden on October 08, 2015, 08:45:04 pm
Clinton Collapsing in NJ!

Which New Jersey poll are you referring to?


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dr. RI on October 08, 2015, 09:27:10 pm
Clinton Collapsing in NJ!

Which New Jersey poll are you referring to?


I think he's looking at FDU's national poll.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on October 08, 2015, 09:31:29 pm
Clinton Collapsing in NJ!

Which New Jersey poll are you referring to?


I think he's looking at FDU's national poll.

Gah. I saw Farleigh Dickinson and immediately thought NJ. Post deleted.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Fmr. Pres. Griff on October 09, 2015, 01:00:25 am
One of my friends off-site has been tracking the polls in each state and keeping track of the pledged delegate totals based on the current DNC allocation method and (obviously) the current polls. He asked me to make a map of it, so I thought I'd share. Here is a Google Fusion Tables map that shows the details state-by-state (click on a state for more info; red translucent states are those for which we have no data).

Democratic (Pledged) Delegate Tracker (https://www.google.com/fusiontables/embedviz?q=select+col7%3E%3E0+from+1JrmTSCtkjoBjn0UIC9zs1MS4jXk_3j6yYvuYnGxs&viz=MAP&h=false&lat=42.5551412228648&lng=-98.51140325&t=1&z=4&l=col7%3E%3E0&y=2&tmplt=2&hml=KML)

(
Img
)

Nominal:
Clinton 1730
Sanders 838

Two-Way:
Clinton 67.37%
Sanders 32.63%

Percentage of Pledged:
Clinton 45.90%
Sanders 22.23%

Percentage of All Delegates:
Clinton 38.59%
Sanders 18.69%


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on October 09, 2015, 01:39:12 pm
Clinton recovering in NH?

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 40-31 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 43-19 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 33-28 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MD - 43-23-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 35-28-22 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 33-30 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 37-30-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OH - 40-21-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 36-25-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
SC - 46-23 Clinton
TX - 36-24 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 42-30 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: ProgressiveCanadian on October 09, 2015, 11:13:57 pm
Doubt it (Gravis)


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Stephen Curry is Awesome on October 10, 2015, 12:08:56 am
If it's close, in NH then the primary is theoretical over. Because Bernie has no other state other than Vt & NH. Why wouldn't Clinton win in NH, she won it in 2008, and state delegation are women.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on October 10, 2015, 12:32:40 am
If it's close, in NH then the primary is theoretical over. Because Bernie has no other state other than Vt & NH. Why wouldn't Clinton win in NH, she won it in 2008, and state delegation are women.

Obama didn't excite white liberals, who dominate the NH primary, in the Same way Sanders does.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Stephen Curry is Awesome on October 10, 2015, 02:58:08 am
Clinton is a Shaheen Democrat and she has endorsed Clinton already. CLINTON must win NH to close out nomination before Trump.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: / on October 10, 2015, 12:27:36 pm
Clinton is a Shaheen Democrat and she has endorsed Clinton already. CLINTON must win NH to close out nomination before Trump.

I think you got Shaheen and Clinton mixed up :P


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Donald Trump 2016 ! on October 11, 2015, 12:04:25 am
What's with Sanders leading in Utah?


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Stephen Curry is Awesome on October 11, 2015, 09:16:10 am
Vt & UT seems to be only states he's leading.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Let Dogs Survive on October 11, 2015, 09:22:05 am
What's with Sanders leading in Utah?

Utah just has a strong hatred for all things Clinton, Billy didn't even get 2nd place when he first ran in '92.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Donald Trump 2016 ! on October 12, 2015, 12:27:22 am
What's with Sanders leading in Utah?

Utah just has a strong hatred for all things Clinton, Billy didn't even get 2nd place when he first ran in '92.

That's strange. I should ask my distant mormon relatives the next time I see them if there's a religious reason for this.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on October 12, 2015, 09:29:59 am
Clinton's lead going down in NV & VA! Gaining Ground in SC :(

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 40-31 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 43-19 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 33-28 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MD - 43-23-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 35-28-22 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 50-34 Clinton
NH - 33-30 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 37-30-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OH - 40-21-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 36-25-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
SC - 49-24 Clinton
TX - 36-24 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 40-23 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 42-30 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on October 12, 2015, 03:09:36 pm
Clinton continues to drop in Maryland!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 40-31 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 43-19 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 33-28 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 35-28-22 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 50-34 Clinton
NH - 33-30 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 37-30-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OH - 40-21-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 36-25-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
SC - 49-24 Clinton
TX - 36-24 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 40-23 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 42-30 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Crumpets on October 12, 2015, 05:57:04 pm
By the way, here's a preview of what that map will look like if/when Biden declares he's not running. A couple of states don't have Biden-less data, so I either didn't include those states if he had large numbers, or simply kept the same colors if it didn't look like it made much of a difference.

()


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on October 13, 2015, 08:46:02 am
Clinton Collapsing in Connecticut!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 40-31 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 37-25 Clinton
FL - 43-19 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 33-28 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 35-28-22 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 50-34 Clinton
NH - 33-30 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 37-30-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OH - 40-21-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 36-25-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
SC - 49-24 Clinton
TX - 36-24 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 40-23 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 42-30 Clinton



Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dr. RI on October 13, 2015, 12:20:08 pm
Most recent month's worth of iSideWith.com "polling"

(
Img
) (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/GALLERY/2947_13_10_15_12_19_45.png)

Trump maintains his bases of strength in southwestern suburbs (LA, Las Vegas, Phoenix), the northeast (especially the New York suburbs), and in some Midwestern suburbs (Chicago, Detroit) but not others (Milwaukee). Fiorina makes an appearance, and Rubio wins several CDs in south Florida, the Beltway, and Santa Monica/west LA County.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on October 13, 2015, 12:22:36 pm
LOL @Bush not carrying a single CD in FL.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on October 16, 2015, 12:38:14 pm
New Numbers in NJ. ID is a close race. Clinton regains lead in NH. First poll of Maine shows Sanders Ahead.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 40-31 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 37-25 Clinton
FL - 43-19 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 38-36 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 33-28 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MI - 35-28-22 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 50-34 Clinton
NH - 37-35 Clinton
NJ - 49-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 37-30-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OH - 40-21-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 40-22 Clinton
SC - 49-24 Clinton
TX - 36-24 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 40-23 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 42-30 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: ProgressiveCanadian on October 16, 2015, 04:14:25 pm
New Numbers in NJ. ID is a close race. . First poll of Maine shows Sanders Ahead.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 40-31 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 37-25 Clinton
FL - 43-19 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 38-36 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 33-28 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MI - 35-28-22 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 50-34 Clinton
NH - 37-35 Clinton
NJ - 49-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 37-30-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OH - 40-21-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 40-22 Clinton
SC - 49-24 Clinton
TX - 36-24 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 40-23 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 42-30 Clinton

1.4% Within the margin of error spread between the two candidates should not be a lead when averaged with all the other huge leads.

LOL @Bush not carrying a single CD in FL.

Have you seen his poll numbers recently?


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on October 16, 2015, 05:08:34 pm
New Numbers in NJ. ID is a close race. . First poll of Maine shows Sanders Ahead.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 40-31 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 37-25 Clinton
FL - 43-19 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 38-36 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 33-28 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MI - 35-28-22 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 50-34 Clinton
NH - 37-35 Clinton
NJ - 49-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 37-30-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OH - 40-21-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 40-22 Clinton
SC - 49-24 Clinton
TX - 36-24 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 40-23 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 42-30 Clinton

1.4% Within the margin of error spread between the two candidates should not be a lead when averaged with all the other huge leads.


This is just a map of the latest polls in each state. Not an average.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on October 19, 2015, 10:33:09 am
Sanders regains lead in NH!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 40-31 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 37-25 Clinton
FL - 43-19 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 38-36 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 33-28 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MI - 35-28-22 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 50-34 Clinton
NH - 38-30 Sanders
NJ - 49-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 37-30-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OH - 40-21-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 40-22 Clinton
SC - 49-24 Clinton
TX - 36-24 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 40-23 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 42-30 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on October 20, 2015, 12:38:08 pm
Clinton regains lead in NH :( :( :(

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 40-31 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 37-25 Clinton
FL - 43-19 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 38-36 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 33-28 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MI - 35-28-22 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 50-34 Clinton
NH - 41-33 Clinton
NJ - 49-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 37-30-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OH - 40-21-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 40-22 Clinton
SC - 49-24 Clinton
TX - 36-24 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 40-23 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 42-30 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on October 20, 2015, 11:21:56 pm
Clinton has a huge lead in the first MA poll since March

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 40-31 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 37-25 Clinton
FL - 43-19 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 38-36 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 33-28 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MI - 35-28-22 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 50-34 Clinton
NH - 41-33 Clinton
NJ - 49-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 37-30-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OH - 40-21-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 40-22 Clinton
SC - 49-24 Clinton
TX - 36-24 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 40-23 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 42-30 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on October 21, 2015, 12:49:30 pm
With Biden out, the map now reverts to the most recent Biden-less poll. States with no Biden-less data will be kept as they were in the last update.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  58-16 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 47-35 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 47-29 Clinton
FL - 64-21 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 38-36 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 47-36 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 58-36 Clinton
NH - 45-35 Clinton
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 51-23 Clinton
OH - 40-21-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-26 Clinton
SC - 70-20 Clinton
TX - 36-24 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton

A much better map for Clinton than before :( :(


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on October 25, 2015, 12:41:39 pm
Sanders surges ahead in NH, first poll of Oklahoma shows a close race!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  58-16 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 47-35 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 47-29 Clinton
FL - 64-21 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 38-36 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 46-43 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 58-36 Clinton
NH - 54-39 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 51-23 Clinton
OH - 40-21-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OK - 30-21 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-26 Clinton
SC - 68-25 Clinton
TX - 36-24 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on October 27, 2015, 01:52:41 pm
Updated with new PPP NC Poll

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  58-16 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 47-35 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 47-29 Clinton
FL - 64-21 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 38-36 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 46-43 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 58-36 Clinton
NH - 54-39 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 61-24 Clinton
OH - 40-21-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OK - 30-21 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-26 Clinton
SC - 68-25 Clinton
TX - 36-24 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on October 27, 2015, 09:48:09 pm
Clinton dominating in TX :(:(

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  58-16 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 47-35 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 47-29 Clinton
FL - 64-21 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 38-36 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 46-43 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 58-36 Clinton
NH - 54-39 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 61-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 30-21 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-26 Clinton
SC - 68-25 Clinton
TX - 59-10 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on October 29, 2015, 11:53:57 am
Without Biden, this is quickly  becoming uncompetitive. Clinton leading by over 30 points in PA.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  58-16 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 47-35 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 47-29 Clinton
FL - 64-21 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 38-36 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 46-43 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 58-36 Clinton
NH - 54-39 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 61-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 30-21 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 68-25 Clinton
TX - 59-10 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on November 02, 2015, 10:26:53 am
Georgia locking in for Clinton.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  58-16 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 47-35 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 47-29 Clinton
FL - 64-21 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 38-36 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 46-43 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 58-36 Clinton
NH - 54-39 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 61-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 30-21 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 68-25 Clinton
TX - 59-10 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on November 03, 2015, 12:58:14 pm
If these Iowa polls are true, Sanders appears doomed.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  58-16 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 47-35 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 47-29 Clinton
FL - 66-24 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 38-36 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 57-25 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 58-36 Clinton
NH - 48-45 Clinton
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 61-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 30-21 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 68-25 Clinton
TX - 59-10 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on November 06, 2015, 10:56:43 am
Iowa getting less dismal for Sanders

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  58-16 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 47-35 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 47-29 Clinton
FL - 66-24 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 38-36 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 55-37 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 58-36 Clinton
NH - 48-45 Clinton
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 61-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 30-21 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 68-25 Clinton
TX - 59-10 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on November 09, 2015, 12:32:17 am
California continuing to be one of Clinton's weaker states.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  58-16 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 47-29 Clinton
FL - 66-24 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 38-36 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 55-37 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 58-36 Clinton
NH - 48-45 Clinton
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 57-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 30-21 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 68-25 Clinton
TX - 59-10 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on November 10, 2015, 02:59:02 pm
First poll of Tennessee shows a 28 point Clinton lead.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  58-16 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 47-29 Clinton
FL - 66-24 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 38-36 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 55-37 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 58-36 Clinton
NH - 48-45 Clinton
NJ - 56-23 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 57-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 30-21 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 69-21 Clinton
TN - 44-16 Clinton
TX - 59-10 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Badger on November 11, 2015, 07:49:09 pm
Any chance we could switch this to the GOP? The Dem map basically shows a race in upper New England and that weird (probably outlier or at least changed as Sanders has slowly deflated nationally) Utah poll. Dullsville.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mr. Morden on November 11, 2015, 07:53:25 pm
Any chance we could switch this to the GOP? The Dem map basically shows a race in upper New England and that weird (probably outlier or at least changed as Sanders has slowly deflated nationally) Utah poll. Dullsville.

I don't think we need to have one or the other.  If Wulfric wants to keep posting the Dem. map, cool.  But if someone else wants to post the GOP map, go for it.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on November 11, 2015, 08:20:28 pm
Not bothering with shading, but I did a map of who is leading on the GOP side in the most recent poll in each state. No polling yet from D.C. or Hawaii. The Kentucky poll is fairly old.

()
Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 13 States
Rand Paul: 1 State


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mr. Morden on November 11, 2015, 10:08:57 pm
Not bothering with shading, but I did a map of who is leading on the GOP side in the most recent poll in each state. No polling yet from D.C. or Hawaii. The Kentucky poll is fairly old.

()
Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 13 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

When did we get GOP primary polls in states like Indiana and Vermont?


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on November 11, 2015, 11:18:33 pm
Not bothering with shading, but I did a map of who is leading on the GOP side in the most recent poll in each state. No polling yet from D.C. or Hawaii. The Kentucky poll is fairly old.

()
Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 13 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

When did we get GOP primary polls in states like Indiana and Vermont?


Indiana was polled by Ipsos in September. Vermont was polled by Castleton Polling Institute, also in September. 


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on November 12, 2015, 01:00:19 pm
New University of Texas poll shows Cruz and Trump tied in the Senator's home state.

()
Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 12 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 22-13 Trump
CT 34-14 Trump
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 37-17 Trump
GA 35-28 Trump
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 25-23 Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 20-15 Carson
MA 48-14 Trump
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 35-24 Trump
NH 18-16 Trump
NJ 31-16 Trump
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 25-21 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 34-22 Carson
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 23-17 Trump
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 26-24 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on November 12, 2015, 02:00:07 pm
Biden-less ID = Clinton Surge

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  58-16 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 47-29 Clinton
FL - 66-24 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 55-37 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 58-36 Clinton
NH - 48-45 Clinton
NJ - 56-23 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 57-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 30-21 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 69-21 Clinton
TN - 44-16 Clinton
TX - 61-30 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on November 12, 2015, 06:02:33 pm
New poll from Opinion Savvy shows Carson leading in Georgia, and close in Florida.

()
Donald Trump: 34 States
Ben Carson: 13 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 22-13 Trump
CT 34-14 Trump
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 23-22 Trump
GA 26-24 Carson

ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 25-23 Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 20-15 Carson
MA 48-14 Trump
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 35-24 Trump
NH 18-16 Trump
NJ 31-16 Trump
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 25-21 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 34-22 Carson
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 23-17 Trump
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 26-24 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mehmentum on November 14, 2015, 04:22:10 pm
Trump:
()
30% Shading: under 10%
40% Shading: 10 - 14%
50% Shading: 15 - 19%
60% Shading: 20 - 24%
70% Shading: 25 - 29
80% Shading: 30 - 34%
90% Shading: 35%+


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on November 14, 2015, 11:13:19 pm
Carson's numbers have fallen off a cliff in New Hampshire, if Gravis is to be believed.

()
Donald Trump: 34 States
Ben Carson: 13 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 22-13 Trump
CT 34-14 Trump
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 23-22 Trump
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 25-23 Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 20-15 Carson
MA 48-14 Trump
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 35-24 Trump
NH 29-12 Trump-Cruz
NJ 31-16 Trump
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 25-21 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 34-22 Carson
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 23-17 Trump
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 26-24 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on November 16, 2015, 08:52:32 pm
Carson takes the lead in Virginia, as per the latest UMW poll.

()
Donald Trump: 33 States
Ben Carson: 14 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 22-13 Trump
CT 34-14 Trump
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 23-22 Trump
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 25-23 Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 20-15 Carson
MA 48-14 Trump
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 35-24 Trump
NH 29-12 Trump-Cruz
NJ 31-16 Trump
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 25-21 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 34-22 Carson
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 26-24 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dr. RI on November 16, 2015, 11:31:15 pm
Latest iSideWith.com update with Carson in blue and Rubio in green

()


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on November 18, 2015, 11:12:48 am
Hillary with a surprisingly large lead in Colorado. Heading in wrong direction in VA though!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  58-16 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 55-27 Clinton
CT - 47-29 Clinton
FL - 66-24 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 55-37 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 58-36 Clinton
NH - 48-45 Clinton
NJ - 56-23 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 57-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 30-21 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 69-21 Clinton
TN - 44-16 Clinton
TX - 61-30 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on November 18, 2015, 11:26:20 am
New NH numbers from WBUR; Carson and Rubio top two in CO, as per Quinnipiac; FDU shows sizable Trump lead in NJ; Trump leading Rubio two-to-one in the Senator's home state, as per FAU; Emerson College shows Trump leading in CT, Rubio in second.

()
Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 25-23 Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 20-15 Carson
MA 48-14 Trump
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 35-24 Trump
NH 23-13-13 Trump-Carson-Rubio
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 25-21 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 34-22 Carson
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 26-24 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on November 18, 2015, 11:52:24 am
Clinton continuing to Crush her opponents in FL and NJ.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  58-16 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 55-27 Clinton
CT - 47-29 Clinton
FL - 66-22 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 55-37 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 58-36 Clinton
NH - 48-45 Clinton
NJ - 64-27 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 57-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 30-21 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 69-21 Clinton
TN - 44-16 Clinton
TX - 61-30 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on November 18, 2015, 06:29:02 pm
New Morning Consult numbers for all four early states.

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Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 29-17 Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 20-15 Carson
MA 48-14 Trump
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 33-15 Trump
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-25 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 34-22 Carson
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 26-24 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on November 18, 2015, 06:39:37 pm
CT: Clinton +19 via Emerson
NH: Sanders +1 via Fox
NV: Clinton +29 via Morning Consult
IA: Clinton +18 via Morning Consult
SC: Clinton +44 via Morning Consult

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  58-16 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 55-27 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 66-22 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 55-37 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 59-30 Clinton
NH - 45-44 Sanders
NJ - 64-27 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 57-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 30-21 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 64-20 Clinton
TN - 44-16 Clinton
TX - 61-30 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on November 19, 2015, 05:19:22 pm
New Wisconsin numbers, courtesy of Marquette.

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Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 29-17 Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 20-15 Carson
MA 48-14 Trump
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 33-15 Trump
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-25 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 34-22 Carson
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on November 19, 2015, 11:07:20 pm
Clinton heading in wrong direction in Arizona!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 55-27 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 66-22 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 55-37 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 59-30 Clinton
NH - 45-44 Sanders
NJ - 64-27 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 57-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 30-21 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 64-20 Clinton
TN - 44-16 Clinton
TX - 61-30 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on November 20, 2015, 01:20:54 pm
Clinton strong in Oklahoma

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 55-27 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 66-22 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 55-37 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 59-30 Clinton
NH - 45-44 Sanders
NJ - 64-27 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 57-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 47-12 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 64-20 Clinton
TN - 44-16 Clinton
TX - 61-30 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on November 22, 2015, 09:55:21 am
New Dan Jones poll out of Utah.

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Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 29-17 Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 20-15 Carson
MA 48-14 Trump
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 33-15 Trump
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-25 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on November 22, 2015, 11:24:23 am
Trump way ahead in Iowa/New Hampshire/South Carolina, as per YouGov.

()
Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 30-21 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 20-15 Carson
MA 48-14 Trump
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 32-13 Trump-Rubio
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-19 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on November 23, 2015, 09:45:21 pm
Yougov: Sanders leading in NH, Iowa competitive, but Clinton above 70% in SC.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 55-27 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 66-22 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 50-44 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 59-30 Clinton
NH - 52-45 Sanders
NJ - 64-27 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 57-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 47-12 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 72-25 Clinton
TN - 44-16 Clinton
TX - 61-30 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on November 24, 2015, 02:36:49 pm
New numbers in Iowa (Quinnipiac), Massachusetts (Suffolk).

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Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 25-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 20-15 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 32-13 Trump-Rubio
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-19 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on November 25, 2015, 01:00:54 am
Clinton lead shrinking in MA!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 55-27 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 66-22 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 50-44 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 54-29 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 59-30 Clinton
NH - 52-45 Sanders
NJ - 64-27 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 57-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 47-12 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 72-25 Clinton
TN - 44-16 Clinton
TX - 61-30 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on November 25, 2015, 10:50:33 am
Trump gaining on Carson in Maryland, as per The Baltimore Sun.

()
Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 25-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 32-13 Trump-Rubio
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-19 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on November 25, 2015, 11:37:03 am
IA: Clinton +9
MD: Clinton +33

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 55-27 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 66-22 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 51-42 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 54-29 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 59-30 Clinton
NH - 52-45 Sanders
NJ - 64-27 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 57-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 47-12 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 72-25 Clinton
TN - 44-16 Clinton
TX - 61-30 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dr. RI on December 02, 2015, 01:45:25 pm
Latest iSideWith.com update with Carson in blue and Rubio in green

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Update:

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Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on December 03, 2015, 11:41:09 am
PPP polls New Hampshire.

()
Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 25-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 27-13 Trump-Cruz
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-19 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on December 05, 2015, 10:26:28 pm
Narrow Trump lead in Tennessee, as per Vanderbilt University.

()
Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 25-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 27-13 Trump-Cruz
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-19 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on December 05, 2015, 11:37:58 pm
NH: Clinton +2
TN: Clinton +20

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 55-27 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 66-22 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 51-42 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 54-29 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 59-30 Clinton
NH - 44-42 Clinton
NJ - 64-27 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 57-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 47-12 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 72-25 Clinton
TN - 48-28 Clinton
TX - 61-30 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on December 07, 2015, 02:57:39 pm
Cruz takes the lead in Iowa, per Monmouth.

()
Donald Trump: 31 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 24-19 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 27-13 Trump-Cruz
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-19 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on December 07, 2015, 04:42:43 pm
Well, scratch that; CNN shows The Donald ahead by double digits in the Hawkeye State.

()
Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 33-20 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 27-13 Trump-Cruz
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-19 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Mr. Morden on December 07, 2015, 06:08:19 pm
Well, scratch that; CNN shows The Donald ahead by double digits in the Hawkeye State.

So even though the Monmouth poll was in the field slightly later, you count the CNN poll instead?


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on December 07, 2015, 06:23:13 pm
Well, scratch that; CNN shows The Donald ahead by double digits in the Hawkeye State.

So even though the Monmouth poll was in the field slightly later, you count the CNN poll instead?


I overlooked that detail; if you would prefer that I count the Monmouth poll, I will do so. In any case, more Iowa polls will surely be out presently, and we will be able to see which of today's two polls is the outlier.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on December 08, 2015, 02:37:13 pm
New PPP poll shows Trump open up two-to-one lead in NC; Carson plummets to a third place tie with Rubio. In the interest of having my map display the most up-to-date information available, I use this opportunity to replace the CNN Iowa poll with the Monmouth poll, in light of Mr. Morden's observation regarding the timeframe during which the two polls were conducted.

()
Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 14 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 24-19 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 27-13 Trump-Cruz
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-19 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dr. RI on December 08, 2015, 03:01:23 pm
Update:

()

Carson in complete collapse on iSideWith:

()


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on December 08, 2015, 07:00:40 pm
New CNN/WMUR poll out of New Hampshire.

()
Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 14 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 24-19 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 32-14 Trump-Rubio
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-19 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Crumpets on December 08, 2015, 08:57:24 pm
Here's the above map with Atlas shading:

()

I couldn't figure out how to give Vermont 10% shading without it just looking like a tie, so I gave Trump the 20% shading.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: / on December 08, 2015, 09:02:04 pm
Ted Cruz is not ahead in Iowa.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dr. RI on December 08, 2015, 09:12:16 pm
Ted Cruz is not ahead in Iowa.

That's why you should use an average, not just the latest poll.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Crumpets on December 08, 2015, 09:13:38 pm
And here's the map for the Democrats:

()

Ted Cruz is not ahead in Iowa.

That's why you should use an average, not just the latest poll.

I'm just using the numbers on this page.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on December 08, 2015, 09:33:02 pm
Ted Cruz is not ahead in Iowa.

Well, as I previously noted, Iowa polls aren't scarce, so we'll find out soon which of CNN and Monmouth more accurately reflects the current situation.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on December 09, 2015, 05:25:00 pm
New Florida numbers, courtesy of Saint Leo University; Fox News polls South Carolina.

()
Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 14 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 31-15 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 24-19 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 32-14 Trump-Rubio
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-15 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Higgs on December 09, 2015, 11:21:31 pm
We need a new poll in Kentucky, I doubt Rand still leads there.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Lord of the Dome on December 10, 2015, 06:47:43 am
We need a new poll in Kentucky, I doubt Rand still leads there.

Frankly, I feel the same way about a lot of the states that Carson was leading in one or two months ago.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on December 10, 2015, 05:43:06 pm
New Rutgers poll out of New Jersey.

()
Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 14 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 31-15 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 24-19 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 32-14 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-15 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Fubart Solman on December 10, 2015, 06:07:15 pm
Carson in complete collapse on iSideWith:

()

I know that it's from isidewith, but where do you get the data from? I couldn't find it (maybe it isn't on the mobile site).


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dr. RI on December 10, 2015, 06:11:44 pm
Carson in complete collapse on iSideWith:

()

I know that it's from isidewith, but where do you get the data from? I couldn't find it (maybe it isn't on the mobile site).

https://www.isidewith.com/map/A4zD/2016-republican-primary#z5 (https://www.isidewith.com/map/A4zD/2016-republican-primary#z5)

It gets updated fairly frequently.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on December 11, 2015, 04:05:12 pm
New WMUR poll shows Trump way ahead, Christie in second in the Granite State; Bellwether Research polls Indiana; Landmark finds yuuge Trump lead in Georgia.

()
Donald Trump: 33 States
Ben Carson: 13 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 31-15 Trump-Rubio
GA 43-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 24-19 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 27-12 Trump-Christie
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-15 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on December 12, 2015, 06:19:33 pm
New Bloomberg/DMR poll shows ten-point Cruz lead in Iowa.

()
Donald Trump: 33 States
Ben Carson: 13 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 31-15 Trump-Rubio
GA 43-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 31-21 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 27-12 Trump-Christie
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-15 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on December 13, 2015, 01:58:57 pm
New Fox News Iowa poll released today.

()
Donald Trump: 33 States
Ben Carson: 13 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 31-15 Trump-Rubio
GA 43-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-26 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 27-12 Trump-Christie
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-15 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on December 14, 2015, 02:02:49 pm
Quinnipiac shows Trump leading in Iowa; Trump ahead in Montana, as per MSU-Billings.

()
Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 12 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 31-15 Trump-Rubio
GA 43-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-27 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 27-12 Trump-Christie
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-15 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on December 15, 2015, 12:33:28 pm
PPP polls Iowa; Overtime Politics polls South Carolina.

()
Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 12 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 31-15 Trump-Rubio
GA 43-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-25 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 27-12 Trump-Christie
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 37-17 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dr. RI on December 15, 2015, 02:55:57 pm
Carson in complete collapse on iSideWith:

()

Might as well just update weekly from here on

()


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on December 15, 2015, 04:02:41 pm
IA: Clinton +11 (Quinnipiac)
MT: Clinton +20 (MSU Billings)
NJ: Clinton +41 (Rutgers)
NH: Sanders +10 (CNN/WMUR)
FL: Clinton +32 (St. Leo)
SC: Clinton +44 (Fox)
NC: Clinton +39 (PPP)

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 55-27 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 59-27 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 51-40 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 54-29 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 59-30 Clinton
NH - 50-40 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 47-12 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 65-21 Clinton
TN - 48-28 Clinton
TX - 61-30 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on December 16, 2015, 10:42:35 pm
New Florida poll, courtesy of St. Pete Polls.

()
Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 12 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 43-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-25 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 27-12 Trump-Christie
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 37-17 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on December 17, 2015, 07:14:13 pm
Hillary going down in Nevada! Only +12 now.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 55-27 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 59-27 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 51-40 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 54-29 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 50-40 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 47-12 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 65-21 Clinton
TN - 48-28 Clinton
TX - 61-30 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on December 17, 2015, 07:31:36 pm
OpinionSavvy polls Florida and Georgia.

()
Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 12 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 30-20 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz

ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-25 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 27-12 Trump-Christie
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 37-17 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on December 19, 2015, 08:21:15 am
OpinionSavvy polls South Carolina; Franklin Pierce University polls New Hampshire.

()
Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 12 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 30-20 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-25 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 26-12-12 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 28-21 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on December 20, 2015, 12:43:31 am

Hillary going down in Colorado! Only +13 now.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 59-27 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 51-40 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 54-29 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 48-46 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 47-12 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 65-21 Clinton
TN - 48-28 Clinton
TX - 61-30 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on December 20, 2015, 08:44:07 pm
YouGov - Sanders only down 5 in IA, above 30% in SC, landsliding in NH!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 59-27 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 50-45 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 54-29 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 56-42 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 47-12 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 67-31 Clinton
TN - 48-28 Clinton
TX - 61-30 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on December 20, 2015, 10:42:19 pm
New YouGov numbers out of Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina.

()
Donald Trump: 34 States
Ben Carson: 12 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 30-20 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 40-31 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 32-14 Trump-Cruz
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 38-23 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on December 21, 2015, 02:18:45 am
TX beginning to realize how dumb supporting a dynasty is.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 59-27 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 50-45 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 54-29 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 56-42 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 47-12 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 67-31 Clinton
TN - 48-28 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on December 21, 2015, 10:37:43 am
Narrow Trump lead in Texas, as per Overtime Politics; Compass Consulting polls Illinois; Dan Jones finds Cruz leading in Utah.

()
Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 11 States
Ted Cruz: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 30-20 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 40-31 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 32-14 Trump-Cruz
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 38-23 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 19-18 Cruz-Rubio

VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on December 22, 2015, 10:09:35 am
Associated Industries of Florida polls Florida, New Hampshire, and South Carolina.

()
Donald Trump: 34 States
Ben Carson: 11 States
Ted Cruz: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 29-18 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 40-31 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 24-16 Trump-Cruz
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-27 Cruz-Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 19-18 Cruz-Rubio
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on December 22, 2015, 11:55:52 pm
Clinton fading in MA!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 59-27 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 50-45 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 56-42 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 47-12 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 67-31 Clinton
TN - 48-28 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on December 23, 2015, 01:43:54 pm
Overtime Politics polls Massachusetts; new ARG poll out of New Hampshire.

()
Donald Trump: 34 States
Ben Carson: 11 States
Ted Cruz: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 29-18 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 40-31 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 21-15 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-27 Cruz-Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 19-18 Cruz-Rubio
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Sir Mohamed on December 24, 2015, 08:47:12 am
Isn't Trump leading in OK? (according to to Wikipedia article)


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on December 24, 2015, 11:38:13 am
Isn't Trump leading in OK? (according to to Wikipedia article)

You are correct. It appears that I somehow overlooked the SoonerPoll from November. Thank you for bringing this fact to my attention.

()
Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 10 States
Ted Cruz: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 29-18 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 40-31 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 21-15 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 27-18 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-27 Cruz-Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 19-18 Cruz-Rubio
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Sorenroy on December 24, 2015, 12:00:38 pm
I know that your maps show leads rather than support, so I figured that I'd add a quick support map for the democratic side. Note that all of these take only the most recent poll from that state, no sort of average.

Hillary Clinton:
()
Bernie Sanders:
()
Also, this leaves out the fact that some of these polls are months and months old, which allows for a lot to change over that amount of time. Here are some other maps that only show states/polls if they were conducted in the past two months.

Hillary Clinton:
()

Bernie Sanders:
()
Also a little note: when you take a map from the EV calculator and have the link, you can modify the colors to go below 30%. 20% Is even lighter and 10% is white (0% is grey).

Second note: I only used the polls on this site, so I may have overlooked another polling agency with more recent polls that is not included.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on December 24, 2015, 12:35:16 pm
New Gravis poll shows Cruz and Trump tied in Iowa.

()
Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 10 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 29-18 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 31-31 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 21-15 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 27-18 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-27 Cruz-Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 19-18 Cruz-Rubio
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Sorenroy on December 24, 2015, 04:24:04 pm
Even though these are not credible, they are fun to make and it shows what the internet thinks. These are the same support maps according to isidewith.com with the past month setting:

Hillary Clinton:
()
Bernie Sanders:
()


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on December 25, 2015, 11:15:03 am
New Missouri numbers, courtesy of Remington Research.

()
Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 10 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 29-18 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 31-31 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 33-23 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 21-15 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 27-18 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-27 Cruz-Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 19-18 Cruz-Rubio
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dr. RI on December 25, 2015, 11:53:18 am
Might as well just update weekly from here on

()

Trump now leads everywhere except DC, though Cruz is close in a lot of states.

()

Trump's maps look awfully like the pre-Reagan Democratic strength map.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on December 26, 2015, 10:18:25 pm
I am adding the AR overtime Poll only to get a poll that includes Warren out of the database. I don't expect it to be anywhere near the final result.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 59-27 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 50-45 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 56-42 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 47-12 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 67-31 Clinton
TN - 48-28 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on December 27, 2015, 06:17:57 pm
Clinton going down in TN!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 59-27 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 50-45 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 56-42 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 47-12 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 67-31 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on December 28, 2015, 12:49:12 pm
New numbers for Arkansas and Tennessee, courtesy of Overtime Politics.

()
Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 10 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 29-18 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 31-31 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 33-23 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 21-15 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 27-18 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-27 Cruz-Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 19-18 Cruz-Rubio
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on December 29, 2015, 05:08:02 pm
Gravis polls Nevada.

()
Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 10 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 29-18 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 31-31 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 33-23 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 21-15 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 27-18 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-27 Cruz-Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 19-18 Cruz-Rubio
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on December 29, 2015, 11:42:47 pm
Sanders has 34 point lead in VT...why can't it be that way in every state?!? WHY?!?

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 59-27 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 50-45 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 56-42 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 47-12 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 67-31 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on December 30, 2015, 12:01:30 am
Overtime Politics polls Vermont.

()
Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 10 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 29-18 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 31-31 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 33-23 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 21-15 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 27-18 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-27 Cruz-Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 19-18 Cruz-Rubio
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on December 31, 2015, 10:37:35 pm
Oklahoma is not very impressed w/ Hillary Clinton, she leads by only 10 points in the state.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 59-27 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 50-45 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 56-42 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 67-31 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on December 31, 2015, 11:48:45 pm
Close race in Oklahoma, as per Overtime Politics.

()
Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 10 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 29-18 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 31-31 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 33-23 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 21-15 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 32-28 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-27 Cruz-Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 19-18 Cruz-Rubio
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dr. RI on January 02, 2016, 01:42:09 pm
Trump now leads everywhere except DC, though Cruz is close in a lot of states.

()

Trump's maps look awfully like the pre-Reagan Democratic strength map.

()


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on January 02, 2016, 07:54:35 pm
Hillary almost losing in MO!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 59-27 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 50-45 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 56-42 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 67-31 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on January 03, 2016, 01:48:05 am
New Missouri poll from Overtime Politics.

()
Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 10 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 29-18 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 31-31 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 21-15 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 32-28 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-27 Cruz-Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 19-18 Cruz-Rubio
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on January 04, 2016, 11:13:21 pm
NBC Bay Area Field Poll shows Cruz ahead in California.

()
Donald Trump: 34 States
Ben Carson: 10 States
Ted Cruz: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 29-18 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 31-31 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 21-15 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 32-28 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-27 Cruz-Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 19-18 Cruz-Rubio
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on January 05, 2016, 01:02:06 am
Didn't notice this Utah poll at the time - http://utahpolicy.com/index.php/features/today-at-utah-policy/7734 - From November but it's more recent than the one I had in the map (September) and doesn't include Biden. 54-34 Clinton.

Also, as I posted in the OP thread, I am not adding the Michigan overtime poll at this time.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 59-27 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 50-45 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 56-42 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 67-31 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 54-34 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on January 05, 2016, 12:16:51 pm
With some reservations, I have decided to post the Overtime Politics Michigan poll, simply to get an outdated poll off of the map.

()
Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 9 States
Ted Cruz: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 29-18 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 31-31 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 21-15 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 32-28 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-27 Cruz-Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 19-18 Cruz-Rubio
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on January 06, 2016, 09:52:52 am
New Alabama numbers, courtesy of News 5.

()
Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 9 States
Ted Cruz: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 29-18 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 31-31 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 21-15 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 32-28 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-27 Cruz-Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 19-18 Cruz-Rubio
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on January 06, 2016, 10:23:40 am
Clinton remains vulnerable in CA.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 59-27 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 50-45 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 56-42 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 67-31 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 54-34 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: bigedlb on January 06, 2016, 12:59:15 pm
(
Img
)

Weighted averages by age of poll for polling in the last 30 days


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: bigedlb on January 06, 2016, 01:09:07 pm
(
Img
)

Map that goes with my chart above


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Sorenroy on January 06, 2016, 01:57:47 pm
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v681/RWonLC/averages_160106_zpsqxlawm7h.png

(Turned the image into a link so it wouldn't take up so much room.)

Weighted averages by age of poll for polling in the last 30 days

What equation did you use? In states with only one poll, you still have it with decimals, did you weigh the national into them at all?


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: bigedlb on January 06, 2016, 02:25:16 pm
As to decimals.  Like Overtime politics, they give actual number of respondents.  National is not included with states.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on January 06, 2016, 03:58:30 pm
Clinton takes the lead in NH :( :(

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 59-27 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 50-45 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 47-44 Clinton
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 67-31 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 54-34 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on January 06, 2016, 04:33:23 pm
New numbers for New Hampshire, courtesy of PPP.

()
Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 9 States
Ted Cruz: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 29-18 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 31-31 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 29-15 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 32-28 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-27 Cruz-Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 19-18 Cruz-Rubio
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on January 08, 2016, 06:54:09 pm
It seems PPP was paid to show Clinton ahead in NH. Sanders up 13 per Fox!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 59-27 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 50-45 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 50-37 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 67-31 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 54-34 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on January 08, 2016, 09:35:54 pm
Fox News polls Iowa and New Hampshire.

()
Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 9 States
Ted Cruz: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 29-18 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 27-23 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 33-15 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 32-28 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-27 Cruz-Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 19-18 Cruz-Rubio
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on January 09, 2016, 07:29:58 pm
Trump leading in Virginia, as per Overtime Politics.

()
Donald Trump: 36 States
Ben Carson: 8 States
Ted Cruz: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 29-18 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 27-23 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 33-15 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 32-28 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-27 Cruz-Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 19-18 Cruz-Rubio
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on January 10, 2016, 12:27:16 pm
IA/NH very tight

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 59-27 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 48-45 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 50-46 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 67-31 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 54-34 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on January 11, 2016, 11:02:43 am
Overtime Politics has earned re-inclusion in my map, with the exception of its ridiculous Michigan poll. Polls being added now are:

Florida: Clinton + 28 (Overtime)
Virginia: Clinton + 15 (Overtime)
Iowa: Clinton +5 (Overtime)
NH: Sanders +3 (ARG)

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 59-31 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 49-44 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 47-44 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 67-31 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 54-34 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on January 11, 2016, 02:22:36 pm
Sanders takes the lead in Iowa!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 59-31 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 47-44 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 47-44 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 67-31 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 54-34 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on January 12, 2016, 11:22:48 am
ARG, PPP, and Quinnipiac all show TRUMP regaining a narrow lead in Iowa. I will use the Quinnipiac numbers here. Additionally, Monmouth has released new numbers for New Hampshire.

()
Donald Trump: 37 States
Ben Carson: 8 States
Ted Cruz: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 29-18 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 31-29 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 32-14-14 Trump-Cruz-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 32-28 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-27 Cruz-Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 19-18 Cruz-Rubio
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on January 12, 2016, 12:26:02 pm
Quinnipiac IA: Sanders +5
Monmouth NH: Sanders +14

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 59-31 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 49-44 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 53-39 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 67-31 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 54-34 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dr. RI on January 13, 2016, 12:12:33 pm
()

TRUMP-mania sweeping the nation!

()


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on January 15, 2016, 02:34:47 pm
Clinton up 16 in Ohio

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 59-31 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 49-44 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 53-39 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 53-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 67-31 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 54-34 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on January 15, 2016, 02:58:00 pm
Trump leading by six in Iowa, as per Gravis.

()
Donald Trump: 37 States
Ben Carson: 8 States
Ted Cruz: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 29-18 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 34-28 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 32-14-14 Trump-Cruz-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 32-28 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-27 Cruz-Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 19-18 Cruz-Rubio
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: This account no longer in use. on January 15, 2016, 02:59:43 pm
Honestly, I don't think we should count Gravis.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: gespb19 on January 16, 2016, 04:32:40 pm
Where is the MS poll coming from?


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dr. RI on January 16, 2016, 04:36:55 pm
Where is the MS poll coming from?

Old Ipsos polling. They did statewide tracking polls for a while.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on January 17, 2016, 09:46:44 am
Trump way ahead in South Carolina, per OpinionSavvy; SurveyUSA polls Utah.

()
Donald Trump: 38 States
Ben Carson: 8 States
Ted Cruz: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 29-18 Trump-Cruz
GA 35-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 34-28 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 32-14-14 Trump-Cruz-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 32-28 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 32-18 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: bigedlb on January 17, 2016, 01:46:46 pm
(
Img
)
...
(
Img
)


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on January 17, 2016, 09:56:32 pm
Clinton fading in Utah and Illinois! Go Sanders Go!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 59-31 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 49-44 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 53-39 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 53-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 67-31 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on January 18, 2016, 06:21:22 pm
New numbers in Florida and Georgia, courtesy of OpinionSavvy.

()
Donald Trump: 38 States
Ben Carson: 8 States
Ted Cruz: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 31-19 Trump-Cruz
GA 33-23 Trump-Cruz

ID 29-23 Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 34-28 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 32-14-14 Trump-Cruz-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 32-28 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 32-18 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on January 19, 2016, 11:51:13 am
New Gonzales Research poll shows TRUMP dominating in Maryland; ARG polls New Hampshire.

()
Donald Trump: 39 States
Ben Carson: 7 States
Ted Cruz: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 32-26 Carson-Trump
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 23-21 Carson-Trump
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 31-19 Trump-Cruz
GA 33-23 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson-Trump
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 34-28 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 27-20 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 32-28 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 23-22 Trump-Carson
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 32-18 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson-Trump
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on January 19, 2016, 12:42:27 pm
Clinton is weak in Maryland!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 59-31 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 49-44 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 53-39 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 53-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 67-31 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on January 19, 2016, 05:40:32 pm
Well, this is a surprise. Bernie up 27(!) in New Hampshire!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 59-31 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 49-44 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 60-33 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 53-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 67-31 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Castro on January 19, 2016, 06:27:04 pm
You may need to start putting in shading for levels of Sanders leads ;)


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on January 19, 2016, 09:20:08 pm
The SC firewall is fading!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 59-31 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 49-44 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 60-33 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 53-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 47-28 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: ProgressiveCanadian on January 20, 2016, 04:11:31 am
You may need to start putting in shading for levels of Sanders leads ;)


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: ○∙◄☻tπ[╪AV┼cV└ on January 20, 2016, 05:33:50 am
You may need to start putting in shading for levels of Sanders leads ;)

Maine and Iowa are slight leads. NH is now around 10 points. And Vermont is probably 30-40 points.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on January 20, 2016, 11:04:51 am
Trump leading Cruz three-to-one in Florida, as per FAU.

()
Donald Trump: 39 States
Ben Carson: 7 States
Ted Cruz: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 32-26 Carson-Trump
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 23-21 Carson-Trump
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 48-16 Trump-Cruz
GA 33-23 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson-Trump
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 34-28 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 27-20 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 32-28 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 23-22 Trump-Carson
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 32-18 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson-Trump
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on January 20, 2016, 12:48:42 pm
Clinton going down in MN!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 49-44 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 60-33 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 60-21 Clinton
OH - 53-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 47-28 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on January 20, 2016, 03:40:45 pm
PPP polls North Carolina.

()
Donald Trump: 39 States
Ben Carson: 7 States
Ted Cruz: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 32-26 Carson-Trump
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 23-21 Carson-Trump
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 48-16 Trump-Cruz
GA 33-23 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson-Trump
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 34-28 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 27-20 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 32-28 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 23-22 Trump-Carson
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 32-18 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson-Trump
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on January 21, 2016, 12:25:10 am
Clinton going down in Idaho!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 49-44 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 51-39 Clinton
NH - 60-33 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 59-26 Clinton
OH - 53-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 47-28 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on January 21, 2016, 12:41:38 am
Dan Jones finds Trump leading in Idaho.

()
Donald Trump: 40 States
Ben Carson: 6 States
Ted Cruz: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 32-26 Carson-Trump
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 23-21 Carson-Trump
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 48-16 Trump-Cruz
GA 33-23 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 34-28 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 27-20 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 32-28 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 23-22 Trump-Carson
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 32-18 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson-Trump
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Sorenroy on January 21, 2016, 10:44:30 am
All credit goes to عبدالله الحظرد for the format, but I'm inpatient and bored with nothing to do.

Michael Noble’s MBQF Consulting finds Trump ahead in Arizona.

()
Donald Trump: 41 States
Ben Carson: 5 States
Ted Cruz: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 32-26 Carson-Trump
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 48-16 Trump-Cruz
GA 33-23 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 34-28 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 27-20 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 32-28 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 23-22 Trump-Carson
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 32-18 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson-Trump
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on January 21, 2016, 05:23:31 pm
Trump now ahead by double digits in Iowa, as per Emerson College.

()
Donald Trump: 41 States
Ben Carson: 5 States
Ted Cruz: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 32-26 Carson-Trump
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 48-16 Trump-Cruz
GA 33-23 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 33-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 27-20 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 32-28 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 23-22 Trump-Carson
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 32-18 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson-Trump
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on January 22, 2016, 02:52:15 pm
Hillary going down in NV as Sanders continues to lead in IA/NH!


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 51-43 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 50-41 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 59-26 Clinton
OH - 53-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 47-28 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on January 23, 2016, 02:00:52 am
New numbers from Oklahoma, courtesy of SoonerPoll.

()
Donald Trump: 41 States
Ben Carson: 5 States
Ted Cruz: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 32-26 Carson-Trump
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 48-16 Trump-Cruz
GA 33-23 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 33-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 27-20 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 23-22 Trump-Carson
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 32-18 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson-Trump
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on January 24, 2016, 02:10:36 am
First poll of Alaska shows Clinton up a very pathetic 3 points

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 51-43 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 50-41 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 59-26 Clinton
OH - 53-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 47-28 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on January 24, 2016, 02:25:06 am
ADN poll shows Trump leading in Alaska.

()
Donald Trump: 42 States
Ben Carson: 4 States
Ted Cruz: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 48-16 Trump-Cruz
GA 33-23 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 33-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 27-20 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 23-22 Trump-Carson
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 32-18 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 31-27 Trump-Cruz
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson-Trump
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Sorenroy on January 24, 2016, 03:28:19 am
First poll of Alaska shows Clinton up a very pathetic 3 points

Only if you use the registered Democrat's only. I assume it is the better estimate though, as it is a closed caucus state.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Fubart Solman on January 24, 2016, 03:40:00 am
First poll of Alaska shows Clinton up a very pathetic 3 points

Only if you use the registered Democrat's only. I assume it is the better estimate though, as it is a closed caucus state.

"Alaska has closed caucuses.
Alaskans must register as democrat to vote for Bernie! However, you can register and/or change your affiliation the day of the caucus."

From http://voteforbernie.org

So, it's actually pretty open. I would include indies, myself.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on January 24, 2016, 11:23:01 am
Several new polls, all courtesy of CBS/Yougov.

()
Donald Trump: 41 States
Ben Carson: 4 States
Ted Cruz: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 39-34 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 34-16 Trump-Cruz
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 23-22 Trump-Carson
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 40-21 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 45-30 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson-Trump
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on January 24, 2016, 11:32:13 am
YouGov polls IA/NH/SC
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 47-46 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 57-38 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 59-26 Clinton
OH - 53-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 60-38 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: bigedlb on January 24, 2016, 01:46:17 pm
(
Img
)


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: mds32 on January 24, 2016, 02:14:04 pm
Don't forget the Minnesota poll.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: / on January 24, 2016, 02:16:10 pm
YouGov polls IA/NH/SC
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()

Alaska?


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on January 24, 2016, 02:18:11 pm
Don't forget the Minnesota poll.

Mason-Dixon is so junky that it's barely worth glancing at.

^^Alaska was just polled by ADN. I'm using the "dems only" numbers since AK has closed caucuses.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: This account no longer in use. on January 24, 2016, 02:18:48 pm
Don't forget the Minnesota poll.

Mason-Dixon is so junky that it's barely worth glancing at.

^^Alaska was just polled by ADN. I'm using the "dems only" numbers since AK has closed caucuses.

But Alaska has same-day registration.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: mds32 on January 24, 2016, 02:33:46 pm
Don't forget the Minnesota poll.

Mason-Dixon is so junky that it's barely worth glancing at.

^^Alaska was just polled by ADN. I'm using the "dems only" numbers since AK has closed caucuses.

But Alaska has same-day registration.

Yes it does. And I think that is pretty bias that if you are going to put Gravis and Overtime politics in yet leave Mason Dixon out.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on January 24, 2016, 02:36:33 pm
Don't forget the Minnesota poll.

Mason-Dixon is so junky that it's barely worth glancing at.

^^Alaska was just polled by ADN. I'm using the "dems only" numbers since AK has closed caucuses.

But Alaska has same-day registration.

Yes it does. And I think that is pretty bias that if you are going to put Gravis and Overtime politics in yet leave Mason Dixon out.

Which poll in the current map is from Gravis?


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: bigedlb on January 24, 2016, 08:09:58 pm
Don't forget the Minnesota poll.

(
Img
)

These are the MN polls in my database.  for the map I used the average of Overtime Politics and Mason-Dixon


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on January 25, 2016, 02:57:19 pm
IA: Sanders +3
NC: Clinton +35
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 48-45 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 57-38 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 63-28 Clinton
OH - 53-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 60-38 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on January 25, 2016, 03:02:33 pm
Trump leading by 7 in Iowa, as per ARG.

()
Donald Trump: 41 States
Ben Carson: 4 States
Ted Cruz: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 33-26 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 34-16 Trump-Cruz
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 23-22 Trump-Carson
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 40-21 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 45-30 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson-Trump
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on January 26, 2016, 07:10:11 pm
ARG polls New Hampshire.

()
Donald Trump: 41 States
Ben Carson: 4 States
Ted Cruz: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 33-26 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 31-17 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 23-22 Trump-Carson
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 40-21 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 45-30 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson-Trump
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Sorenroy on January 27, 2016, 09:35:02 am
I really would change the map to show a Alaska lead for Sanders. Even the site has it as a Sanders lead 48-34: https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016D/polls.php?fips=2

Weirdly, the website shows that -2% of people would vote for "Other" (This makes the number add up to 100%, but you can't have an anti vote to bring it down from 102%.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on January 27, 2016, 11:20:05 am
IA: Sanders +4
NH: Sanders +7
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 49-45 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 49-42 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 63-28 Clinton
OH - 53-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 60-38 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on January 27, 2016, 01:06:41 pm
New Iowa numbers, courtesy of Monmouth.

()
Donald Trump: 41 States
Ben Carson: 4 States
Ted Cruz: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 30-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 31-17 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 23-22 Trump-Carson
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 40-21 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 45-30 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson-Trump
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Fubart Solman on January 27, 2016, 05:08:41 pm
I really would change the map to show a Alaska lead for Sanders. Even the site has it as a Sanders lead 48-34: https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016D/polls.php?fips=2

I agree. Alaska may technically have a closed caucus, but when you can change parties and register on the same day, it's not really that closed.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on January 27, 2016, 06:24:12 pm
I really would change the map to show a Alaska lead for Sanders. Even the site has it as a Sanders lead 48-34: https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016D/polls.php?fips=2

I agree. Alaska may technically have a closed caucus, but when you can change parties and register on the same day, it's not really that closed.

Is there evidence to show that independents change their registration and then just change it right back afterwards though? This huge change to the results when you add in Indy's just seems hard to believe


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on January 27, 2016, 07:09:38 pm
Clinton lead heading down in North Carolina!
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 49-45 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 49-42 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 53-28 Clinton
OH - 53-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 60-38 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Sorenroy on January 28, 2016, 09:41:04 am
I'm taking this again because I've got the time, so why not? All credit for the format goes to resident wizard Wulfric.

Clinton lead up in South Carolina (NBC/WSJ), down in Pennsylvania (per Franklin & Marshall), still close in Iowa (NBC/WSJ). Sanders winning in New Hampshire (NBC/WSJ). (Bolding relevant states, it helps me see what has changed.)
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 48-45 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 57-38 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 53-28 Clinton
OH - 53-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 46-29 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on January 28, 2016, 12:36:03 pm
Marist polls Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina; Franklin & Marshall polls Pennsylvania.

()
Donald Trump: 41 States
Ben Carson: 4 States
Ted Cruz: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 32-25 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 31-12 Trump-Cruz
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 45-30 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson-Trump
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on January 28, 2016, 01:36:21 pm
Clinton only up 2 in Wisconsin!
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 48-45 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 57-38 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 53-28 Clinton
OH - 53-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 46-29 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 55-34 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on January 28, 2016, 01:56:46 pm
Marquette polls Wisconsin; PPP polls Iowa.

()
Donald Trump: 42 States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Ted Cruz: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 31-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 31-12 Trump-Cruz
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 45-30 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on January 28, 2016, 06:00:06 pm
Clinton up 34 in Texas.
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 48-45 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 57-38 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 53-28 Clinton
OH - 53-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 46-29 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on January 28, 2016, 06:15:25 pm
Cruz only leading by 5 in Texas, as per Dixie Strategies.

()
Donald Trump: 42 States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Ted Cruz: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 31-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18 Trump-Rubio
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 31-12 Trump-Cruz
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on January 28, 2016, 11:14:10 pm
Clinton up 27 in Michigan
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 48-45 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 61-34 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 57-38 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 53-28 Clinton
OH - 53-37 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 46-29 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on January 28, 2016, 11:34:14 pm
New Mitchell poll shows TRUMP dominating in Michigan.

()
Donald Trump: 42 States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Ted Cruz: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 31-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 51-15 Trump-Cruz
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 31-12 Trump-Cruz
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Nathan Towne on January 29, 2016, 10:34:54 am
Hi,

Thanks for providing the maps. Dave Leip's Atlas is a very valuable site.

You may be interested that ISideWith.com provides an online for Nebraska voters (presumably via url address) on their preferred candidate in the GOP primary. The poll is updated daily and is showing Trump as having a clear lead (11 points) in the state.

I cannot provide a link as apparently there is a minimum of twenty posts on this site before you can do so but it should be fairly easy to find by simply searching for something along the lines of "ISideWith Republican Party Primary Poll Nebraska," via the google search engine.

I am not sure if they are currently tracking any other races.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dr. RI on January 29, 2016, 10:37:17 am
Hi,

Thanks for providing the maps. Dave Leip's Atlas is a very valuable site.

You may be interested that ISideWith.com provides an online for Nebraska voters (presumably via url address) on their preferred candidate in the GOP primary. The poll is updated daily and is showing Trump as having a clear lead (11 points) in the state.

I cannot provide a link as apparently there is a minimum of twenty posts on this site before you can do so but it should be fairly easy to find by simply searching for something along the lines of "ISideWith Republican Party Primary Poll Nebraska," via the google search engine.

I am not sure if they are currently tracking any other races.

I track the iSideWith results (Trump currently leading everywhere), but it's been decided that they won't be included here as they aren't scientific polls.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Nathan Towne on January 29, 2016, 10:44:45 am
Alright. I am brand new to the site as far as my profile is concerned. How do I link a campaign endorsement to my profile?


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: / on January 29, 2016, 10:48:55 am
Alright. I am brand new to the site as far as my profile is concerned. How do I link a campaign endorsement to my profile?

Go here:

https://uselectionatlas.org/MOCK/index.php

and click on the Republican or Democratic primary based off of which one you want. Then you can cast your vote. If you want to put a campaign sign below your avatar, go here:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=profile;u=12725;sa=forumProfile

and check where it says "Show mock election vote in posts"

:)


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Nathan Towne on January 29, 2016, 11:37:35 am
I very much appreciate the assistance Darth.

Nathan Towne


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Nathan Towne on January 29, 2016, 04:10:08 pm
I can see that two other users on this thread (Realist and Wulfric) seem to both be endorsing the Kasich campaign which is quite nice to see. As you are probably aware the campaign is really struggling, which is quite disappointing. Being that we are still polling around twelve percent in New Hampshire, I think that we are virtually on life support at this point. I don't see any viable way to be competitive in the state right now and if Kasich loses New Hampshire by fifteen to twenty points, then as far as reality is concerned, we are done.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Sorenroy on January 29, 2016, 04:30:48 pm
I can see that two other users on this thread (Realist and Wulfric) seem to both be endorsing the Kasich campaign which is quite nice to see. As you are probably aware the campaign is really struggling, which is really disappointing. Being that we are still polling around twelve percent in New Hampshire, I think that we are virtually on life support at this point. I don't see any viable way to be competitive in the state right now and if Kasich loses New Hampshire by fifteen to twenty points then, as far as reality is concerned, we are done.

I know you are new to the site, but I would suggest finding a different place to post this (you might want to make a new thread on the "2016 U.S. Presidential Election" board), rather than the thread about maps. It's kind of nice to have each discussion in its own place, rather than having to search through unrelated posts to find what your looking for.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on January 29, 2016, 08:25:38 pm
Overtime finds Clinton cratering in Ohio!
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 48-45 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 61-34 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 57-38 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 53-28 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 46-29 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Nathan Towne on January 30, 2016, 10:38:32 am

"I know you are new to the site, but I would suggest finding a different place to post this (you might want to make a new thread on the "2016 U.S. Presidential Election" board), rather than the thread about maps. It's kind of nice to have each discussion in its own place, rather than having to search through unrelated posts to find what your looking for."

Response: I am not trying to disrupt the thread, I was just curious on their take.

Nathan Towne


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on January 30, 2016, 07:18:07 pm
DMR polls Iowa; Suffolk polls New Hampshire.

()
Donald Trump: 42 States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Ted Cruz: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 51-15 Trump-Cruz
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 27-12 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on January 30, 2016, 07:41:38 pm
Clinton up 3 in IA via DMR.
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 45-42 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 61-34 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 57-38 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 53-28 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 46-29 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dr. RI on January 31, 2016, 12:57:02 am
TRUMP-mania sweeping the nation!

()

()


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on January 31, 2016, 01:52:53 am
TRUMP-mania sweeping the nation!

()

()

Ouch. Even DC supports TRUMP now.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on January 31, 2016, 04:57:21 pm
Boston Herald polls New Hampshire.

()
Donald Trump: 42 States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Ted Cruz: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 51-15 Trump-Cruz
MN 26-19 Trump-Carson
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 38-13 Trump-Cruz
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: PaperKooper on January 31, 2016, 05:48:21 pm
I think you missed the Minnesota poll from the Star-Tribune that had Rubio up.  (I can't link it because I don't have enough posts yet.)


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on January 31, 2016, 06:02:38 pm
IA: Sanders +1 (Overtime)
NH: Sanders +20 (Boston Herald)
PA: Clinton +27 (Harper)
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 48-47 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 61-34 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 57-37 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 53-28 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Nathan Towne on January 31, 2016, 06:04:48 pm
PaperKooper is correct. The poll was conducted by the Star Tribune/Mason Dixon between the 18th and 20th of January. It is the most recent poll for the state of Minnesota. It can be found at RealClearPolitics.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on January 31, 2016, 06:23:35 pm
PaperKooper is correct. The poll was conducted by the Star Tribune/Mason Dixon between the 18th and 20th of January. It is the most recent poll for the state of Minnesota. It can be found at RealClearPolitics.

Thanks for the information.

()
Donald Trump: 41 States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Ted Cruz: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 51-15 Trump-Cruz
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 38-13 Trump-Cruz
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Nathan Towne on January 31, 2016, 06:54:57 pm
No problem. I wish that we could get newer polls in Kentucky, Louisiana, Nebraska and Colorado though.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Stephen Curry is Awesome on February 01, 2016, 08:00:24 am
Sorry, but Clinton will win Iowa.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 01, 2016, 12:42:28 pm
UMass Lowell polls New Hampshire; results very similar to those in the Boston Herald poll. I know that new Iowa polls have been released by Emerson, Opinion Savvy, and Quinnipiac, but I have decided not to use any of them, given that the DMR poll is regarded as the "gold standard" of Iowa polling, and given that we are going to know the actual results tonight, anyway.

()
Donald Trump: 41 States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Ted Cruz: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 51-15 Trump-Cruz
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 38-12 Trump-Cruz
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Nathan Towne on February 01, 2016, 04:02:45 pm
Trump led by a slight margin in all three of the most recent polls of Iowa anyways. The margins are very tight though. I don't think that it is out of the realm of possibility that Cruz wins in Iowa tonight.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 01, 2016, 10:43:27 pm
Well, all of the polls were wrong; Ted Cruz has won the Iowa caucus. To signify a state which a candidate has won, I will be using the 90% shade on my map.

()
Donald Trump: 40 States
Ted Cruz: 4 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 51-15 Trump-Cruz
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 38-12 Trump-Cruz
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 01, 2016, 11:28:59 pm
I'll edit this again if the lead switches, but at this point I am calling the race in IA for Clinton. Extremely narrow, but she has done it. I have added blue to my key to signify an actual win for Clinton.
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win (when needed)

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 61-34 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 57-37 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 53-28 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 02, 2016, 11:11:54 am
UMass Lowell's daily tracking poll still shows Trump comfortably ahead in New Hampshire; however, this poll was conducted pre-Iowa, so we have to wait and see what effect, if any, Cruz's victory and Rubio's strong third will have on voters in the Granite State.

()
Donald Trump: 40 States
Ted Cruz: 4 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 51-15 Trump-Cruz
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 38-14 Trump-Cruz
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 03, 2016, 12:44:46 pm
Harper Polling polls New Hampshire.

()
Donald Trump: 40 States
Ted Cruz: 4 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 51-15 Trump-Cruz
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 31-14 Trump-Bush
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 04, 2016, 07:38:43 am
UMass Lowell shows Trump holding steady, while Rubio surpasses Cruz.

()
Donald Trump: 40 States
Ted Cruz: 4 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 51-15 Trump-Cruz
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 36-15 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 04, 2016, 10:48:43 pm
Sanders up 31 in NH per CNN
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win (when needed)

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 61-34 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 61-30 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 53-28 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 05, 2016, 11:59:14 am
UMass Lowell polls New Hampshire.

()
Donald Trump: 40 States
Ted Cruz: 4 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 39-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 51-15 Trump-Cruz
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 34-15 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 05, 2016, 01:43:24 pm
Sanders only up 9 in NH per Suffolk.
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win (when needed)

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 61-34 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 50-41 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 53-28 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 05, 2016, 09:55:48 pm
Landmark Communications polls Georgia.

()
Donald Trump: 40 States
Ted Cruz: 4 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 51-15 Trump-Cruz
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 34-15 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 06, 2016, 02:04:02 pm
IMP polls Michigan; ARG polls New Hampshire.

()
Donald Trump: 40 States
Ted Cruz: 4 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-20 Trump-Cruz
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 35-21-21 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 34-17 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 06, 2016, 02:10:33 pm
Clinton up big in GA and MI
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win (when needed)

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 63-22 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 62-30 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 50-41 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 53-28 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 07, 2016, 12:31:59 am
Sanders up 15 in Maine!
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win (when needed)

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 47-42 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 63-22 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 62-30 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 50-41 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 53-28 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 07, 2016, 11:12:45 am
Cruz now leading in Arkansas, per Hendrix College; ARG polls New Hampshire.

()
Donald Trump: 39 States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 35-21-21 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 31-17 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 39-16 Trump-Carson
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 07, 2016, 01:32:57 pm
NH: Sanders +10
AR: Clinton +32
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win (when needed)

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-25 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 63-22 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 62-30 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 52-42 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 53-28 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 08, 2016, 08:18:52 am
Clinton only up 21 in NY!
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win (when needed)

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-25 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 63-22 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 62-30 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 52-42 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 53-28 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 08, 2016, 11:01:26 am
New Day for America shows Rubio in fourth place in New Hampshire, following Saturday's debate; Siena College polls New York.

()
Donald Trump: 39 States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 35-21-21 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 35-15 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 08, 2016, 11:13:24 am
You're seriously including an Internal?


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 08, 2016, 11:20:40 am
You're seriously including an Internal?

It's the only poll released so far that is entirely post-debate, so yes, I am including it for now. I will replace it when a more recent poll is released.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 08, 2016, 12:08:37 pm
Clinton up 29 in MI
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win (when needed)

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-25 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 63-22 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-28 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 52-42 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 53-28 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 08, 2016, 12:25:56 pm
Florida Southern College polls Florida; Mitchell Research polls Michigan; High Point University polls North Carolina.

()
Donald Trump: 39 States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 27-20 Trump-Rubio
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 41-20 Trump-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 35-15 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 26-22 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 08, 2016, 02:28:09 pm
Clinton up 26 in NC; Cratering in FL!
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win (when needed)

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-25 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 43-26 Clinton
GA - 63-22 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-28 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 52-42 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 55-29 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: LLR on February 08, 2016, 06:05:37 pm
Florida Southern College polls Florida; Mitchell Research polls Michigan; High Point University polls North Carolina.

()
Donald Trump: 39 States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 27-20 Trump-Rubio
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 41-20 Trump-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 35-15 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 26-22 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz

Considering Rand dropped out, you should probably get rid of the Kentucky poll.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: PJ on February 08, 2016, 08:15:37 pm
You're seriously including an Internal?

cc: irony ore mine.

You're including overtime polls; you have literally no room to criticize other people's inclusion of supposed sh**t polls.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 09, 2016, 10:15:54 am
ARG polls New Hampshire.

Considering Rand dropped out, you should probably get rid of the Kentucky poll.

Thanks for the suggestion, but I think I'll wait until the state is polled again.

()
Donald Trump: 39 States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 27-20 Trump-Rubio
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 41-20 Trump-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 33-17 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 26-22 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 10, 2016, 12:09:43 am
Sanders wins 60-38 in NH!
  
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-25 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 43-26 Clinton
GA - 63-22 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-28 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 55-29 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 10, 2016, 02:14:12 am
With 92% of the vote in, Trump leads in New Hampshire by nineteen points, as per CNN. Should the margin change, I will update this post in the morning.

()
Donald Trump: 39 (1) States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 27-20 Trump-Rubio
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 41-20 Trump-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 26-22 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 10, 2016, 01:48:56 pm
SoonerPoll shows narrow Trump lead in Oklahoma.

()
Donald Trump: 39 (1) States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 27-20 Trump-Rubio
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 41-20 Trump-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 26-22 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 30-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 12, 2016, 11:17:52 am
Trump leading nearly two-to-one in South Carolina, as per Opinion Savvy.

()
Donald Trump: 39 (1) States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 27-20 Trump-Rubio
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 41-20 Trump-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 26-22 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 30-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 12, 2016, 11:35:01 am
An exact tie in Nevada!!!!
  
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-25 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 43-26 Clinton
GA - 63-22 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-28 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 45-45 Tie
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 55-29 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 12, 2016, 11:42:13 am
Clinton only up 6 in MA!
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-25 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 43-26 Clinton
GA - 63-22 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 50-44 Clinton
MI - 57-28 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 45-45 Tie
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 55-29 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 13, 2016, 07:18:30 pm
ARG shows Kasich in second (?!) in South Carolina.

()
Donald Trump: 39 (1) States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 27-20 Trump-Rubio
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 41-20 Trump-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 26-22 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 30-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-15 Trump-Kasich
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 14, 2016, 11:54:30 am
Clinton up 19 in SC
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-25 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 43-26 Clinton
GA - 63-22 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 50-44 Clinton
MI - 57-28 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 45-45 Tie
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 55-29 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 59-40 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 15, 2016, 07:22:02 pm
Apparently, the South Carolina House Republican Caucus conducts polls. They show Trump leading Rubio 33-14 in the Palmetto State post-debate.

()
Donald Trump: 39 (1) States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 27-20 Trump-Rubio
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 41-20 Trump-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 26-22 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 30-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-14 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 16, 2016, 01:39:29 am
Clinton almost losing VA!!!!!!!!
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-25 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 43-26 Clinton
GA - 63-22 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 50-44 Clinton
MI - 57-28 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 45-45 Tie
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 55-29 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 59-40 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 49-46 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Sorenroy on February 16, 2016, 08:02:51 am
Clinton almost losing VA!!!!!!!!

The poll shows a 51-40 split in VA, not nearly that close. Also, Iowa should be 50-50 with rounding.

Edit:
I just realized you are using Overtime for this poll. Please switch it to the other Virginia poll since that one was released the same day.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 16, 2016, 03:18:16 pm
PPP polls South Carolina; Christopher Newport University polls Virginia.
()
Donald Trump: 39 (1) States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 27-20 Trump-Rubio
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 41-20 Trump-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 26-22 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 30-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-18-18 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-22 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 16, 2016, 04:36:08 pm
Clinton almost losing VA!!!!!!!!

The poll shows a 51-40 split in VA, not nearly that close. Also, Iowa should be 50-50 with rounding.

Edit:
I just realized you are using Overtime for this poll. Please switch it to the other Virginia poll since that one was released the same day.

Done. CNN SC Poll also added.
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-25 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 43-26 Clinton
GA - 63-22 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 50-44 Clinton
MI - 57-28 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 45-45 Tie
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 55-29 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 56-38 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 52-40 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Nathan Towne on February 16, 2016, 07:06:46 pm
Jonathan, have you noticed that the color that you are using for states that Ted Cruz has won (currently Iowa) looks much more like a darker shade of the color that you are using for Rubio than the color that you are using for Cruz. Perhaps a dark yellow would be better and the current color that you are using for states that Cruz wins could be used for states that Rubio claims instead.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 16, 2016, 07:22:01 pm
Jonathan, have you noticed that the color that you are using for states that Ted Cruz has won (currently Iowa) looks much more like a darker shade of the color that you are using for Rubio than the color that you are using for Cruz. Perhaps a dark yellow would be better and the current color that you are using for states that Cruz wins could be used for states that Rubio claims instead.

Thanks for the suggestion, but now that you mention it, it makes sense to just give Cruz red and Rubio green, given that they are second and third respectively in national polling.

()
Donald Trump: 39 (1) States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 27-20 Trump-Rubio
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 41-20 Trump-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 26-22 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 30-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-18-18 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-22 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 17, 2016, 07:40:20 am
CNN polls Nevada; PPP polls North Carolina; Monmouth polls South Carolina.

()
Donald Trump: 39 (1) States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 27-20 Trump-Rubio
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 41-20 Trump-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 45-19 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 29-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 30-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-19 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-22 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Sorenroy on February 17, 2016, 11:34:50 am
Again, all credit goes to Wulfric, just updating this for the CNN Nevada poll and the PPP North Carolina Poll. And halfway through this update, the super PPP release for so many states. I'll just bold the results, Wulfric can go back and unbold when he updates again.
  
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 59-31 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-32 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 43-26 Clinton
GA - 60-26 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-50 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 60-29 Clinton
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 49-42 Sanders
MI - 50-40 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MS - 60-26 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 48-47 Clinton
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 52-35 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 46-44 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 56-38 Clinton
TN - 58-32 Clinton
TX - 57-34 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 86-10 Sanders
VA - 56-34 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 17, 2016, 10:42:09 pm
Clinton up 15 in NC per SUSA
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 59-31 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-32 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 43-26 Clinton
GA - 60-26 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 60-29 Clinton
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 49-42 Sanders
MI - 50-40 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MS - 60-26 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 48-47 Clinton
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 46-44 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 56-38 Clinton
TN - 58-32 Clinton
TX - 57-34 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 86-10 Sanders
VA - 56-34 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 18, 2016, 02:14:38 pm
Mitchell polls Michigan; Gravis polls Nevada; Harper polls South Carolina.

()
Donald Trump: 39 (1) States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 27-20 Trump-Rubio
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 41-11-11 Trump-Cruz-Kasich
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 39-23 Trump-Cruz
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 29-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 30-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 29-17 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-22 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 18, 2016, 03:34:06 pm
PPP apparently wasn't paid enough by Clinton Folks, Mitchell finds much wider margin in MI.
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 59-31 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-32 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 43-26 Clinton
GA - 60-26 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 60-29 Clinton
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 49-42 Sanders
MI - 60-37 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MS - 60-26 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 48-47 Clinton
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 46-44 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 56-38 Clinton
TN - 58-32 Clinton
TX - 57-34 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 86-10 Sanders
VA - 56-34 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 19, 2016, 11:24:08 am
Sanders takes the lead in CO!
Selzer finds Clinton up 22 in SC.
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 59-31 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-32 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-43 Sanders
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 43-26 Clinton
GA - 60-26 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 60-29 Clinton
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 49-42 Sanders
MI - 60-37 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MS - 60-26 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 48-47 Clinton
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 46-44 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 53-31 Clinton
TN - 58-32 Clinton
TX - 57-34 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 86-10 Sanders
VA - 56-34 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 19, 2016, 12:41:38 pm
SC House GOP Caucus polls South Carolina.

()
Donald Trump: 39 (1) States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 27-20 Trump-Rubio
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 41-11-11 Trump-Cruz-Kasich
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 39-23 Trump-Cruz
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 29-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 30-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 34-19 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-22 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Stephen Curry is Awesome on February 20, 2016, 02:56:36 am
Clinton's is leadimg in NV, but its about samecas in Iowa. Sanders may very well win it.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 20, 2016, 09:01:17 pm
Clinton wins the nevada caucuses by 6 points
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 59-31 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-32 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-43 Sanders
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 43-26 Clinton
GA - 60-26 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 60-29 Clinton
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 49-42 Sanders
MI - 60-37 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MS - 60-26 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 46-44 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 53-31 Clinton
TN - 58-32 Clinton
TX - 57-34 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 86-10 Sanders
VA - 56-34 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 21, 2016, 12:33:59 am
With 100% of precincts reporting, Trump beats Rubio 33-22, as per AP.

()
Donald Trump: 39 (2) States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 27-20 Trump-Rubio
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 41-11-11 Trump-Cruz-Kasich
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 39-23 Trump-Cruz
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 29-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 30-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-22 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 21, 2016, 01:23:30 pm
Emerson polls Massachusetts; ARG polls Michigan; Albuquerque Journal shows Cruz leading in New Mexico.

()
Donald Trump: 38 (2) States
Ted Cruz: 6 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 27-20 Trump-Rubio
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 50-16 Trump-Rubio
MI 35-17 Trump-Kasich
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 39-23 Trump-Cruz
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 29-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 30-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-22 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 21, 2016, 11:23:47 pm
The candidates are tied in MA
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 59-31 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-32 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-43 Sanders
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 43-26 Clinton
GA - 60-26 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 60-29 Clinton
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 46-46 Tie
MI - 60-37 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MS - 60-26 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 46-44 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 53-31 Clinton
TN - 58-32 Clinton
TX - 57-34 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 86-10 Sanders
VA - 56-34 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 22, 2016, 11:05:52 am
VPR polls Vermont; MetroNews polls West Virginia.

()
Donald Trump: 38 (2) States
Ted Cruz: 6 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 27-20 Trump-Rubio
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 50-16 Trump-Rubio
MI 35-17 Trump-Kasich
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 39-23 Trump-Cruz
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 29-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 30-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 33-15 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-22 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 22, 2016, 02:06:32 pm
Sanders takes a YUGE Lead in WV!
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 59-31 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-32 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-43 Sanders
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 43-26 Clinton
GA - 60-26 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 60-29 Clinton
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 46-46 Tie
MI - 53-40 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MS - 60-26 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 46-44 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 53-31 Clinton
TN - 58-32 Clinton
TX - 57-34 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 78-13 Sanders
VA - 56-34 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 22, 2016, 02:33:02 pm
Elon University polls North Carolina.

()
Donald Trump: 38 (2) States
Ted Cruz: 6 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 27-20 Trump-Rubio
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 50-16 Trump-Rubio
MI 35-17 Trump-Kasich
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 39-23 Trump-Cruz
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 30-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 33-15 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-22 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 22, 2016, 03:28:48 pm
Clinton up 7 in Utah, 10 in North Carolina
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 59-31 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-32 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-43 Sanders
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 43-26 Clinton
GA - 60-26 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 60-29 Clinton
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 46-46 Tie
MI - 53-40 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MS - 60-26 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 47-37 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 46-44 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 53-31 Clinton
TN - 58-32 Clinton
TX - 57-34 Clinton
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 78-13 Sanders
VA - 56-34 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 22, 2016, 03:42:34 pm
Rubio leading among Utah Republicans, as per Dan Jones.

()
Donald Trump: 38 (2) States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Marco Rubio: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 27-20 Trump-Rubio
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 50-16 Trump-Rubio
MI 35-17 Trump-Kasich
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 39-23 Trump-Cruz
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 30-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-15 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-22 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: mds32 on February 22, 2016, 03:49:34 pm
Clinton up 7 in Utah, 10 in North Carolina
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 59-31 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-32 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-43 Sanders
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 43-26 Clinton
GA - 60-26 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 60-29 Clinton
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 46-46 Tie
MI - 53-40 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MS - 60-26 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 47-37 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 46-44 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 53-31 Clinton
TN - 58-32 Clinton
TX - 57-34 Clinton
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 78-13 Sanders
VA - 56-34 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 45-43 Clinton

Utah should be Sanders. It is an open primary not a closed one.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 22, 2016, 04:25:14 pm
^^ a YUGE amount of Republicans troll voting for Sanders would be needed for the 41-19 to be plausible. There's no way to find a "midpoint" objectively, so I'm just using the dem-only results.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 22, 2016, 05:44:52 pm
Clinton up 19 in IL, 52 in GA
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 59-31 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-32 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-43 Sanders
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 43-26 Clinton
GA - 72-20 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-32 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 60-29 Clinton
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 46-46 Tie
MI - 53-40 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MS - 60-26 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 47-37 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 46-44 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 53-31 Clinton
TN - 58-32 Clinton
TX - 57-34 Clinton
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 78-13 Sanders
VA - 56-34 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 22, 2016, 06:18:11 pm
Landmark polls Georgia; SIU polls Illinois.

()
Donald Trump: 38 (2) States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Marco Rubio: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 27-20 Trump-Rubio
GA 32-23 Trump-Rubio
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 28-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 50-16 Trump-Rubio
MI 35-17 Trump-Kasich
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 39-23 Trump-Cruz
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 30-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-15 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-22 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 23, 2016, 11:08:14 am
Clinton up 15 in OH, NC. Up 10 in Texas.
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 59-31 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-32 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-43 Sanders
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 43-26 Clinton
GA - 72-20 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-32 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 60-29 Clinton
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 46-46 Tie
MI - 53-40 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MS - 60-26 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 55-40 Clinton
OK - 46-44 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 53-31 Clinton
TN - 58-32 Clinton
TX - 54-44 Clinton
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 78-13 Sanders
VA - 56-34 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 23, 2016, 11:25:58 am
MBQF Consulting polls Arizona; Quinnipiac polls Ohio; University of Texas polls Texas.

()
Donald Trump: 38 (2) States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Marco Rubio: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 27-20 Trump-Rubio
GA 32-23 Trump-Rubio
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 28-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 50-16 Trump-Rubio
MI 35-17 Trump-Kasich
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 39-23 Trump-Cruz
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 31-26 Trump-Kasich
OK 30-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 37-29 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-15 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-22 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 23, 2016, 06:06:03 pm
Clinton up 28 in GA, 23 in NJ
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 59-31 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-32 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-43 Sanders
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 43-26 Clinton
GA - 57-29 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-32 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 60-29 Clinton
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 46-46 Tie
MI - 53-40 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MS - 60-26 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 55-40 Clinton
OK - 46-44 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 53-31 Clinton
TN - 58-32 Clinton
TX - 54-44 Clinton
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 78-13 Sanders
VA - 56-34 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 23, 2016, 07:47:45 pm
Opinion Savvy polls Georgia; Rutgers polls New Jersey.

()
Donald Trump: 38 (2) States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Marco Rubio: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 27-20 Trump-Rubio
GA 34-22 Trump-Rubio
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 28-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 50-16 Trump-Rubio
MI 35-17 Trump-Kasich
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 39-23 Trump-Cruz
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 31-26 Trump-Kasich
OK 30-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 37-29 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-15 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-22 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 24, 2016, 08:16:23 am
With 100% of precincts reporting, TRUMP has won Nevada nearly two-to-one, as per the New York Times.

()
Donald Trump: 38 (3) States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Marco Rubio: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 27-20 Trump-Rubio
GA 34-22 Trump-Rubio
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 28-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 50-16 Trump-Rubio
MI 35-17 Trump-Kasich
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 31-26 Trump-Kasich
OK 30-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 37-29 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-15 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-22 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 24, 2016, 12:22:14 pm
Clinton gaining in TX, MD

Sanders leading in Ohio!!!!!
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 59-31 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-32 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-43 Sanders
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 43-26 Clinton
GA - 57-29 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-32 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 60-29 Clinton
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 46-46 Tie
MI - 53-40 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MS - 60-26 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 45-44 Sanders
OK - 46-44 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 53-31 Clinton
TN - 56-40 Clinton
TX - 54-44 Clinton
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 78-13 Sanders
VA - 56-34 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 45-43 Clinton


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 24, 2016, 04:34:00 pm
New Oklahoma numbers, courtesy of Cole Hargrave Snodgrass and Associates; Emerson shows Cruz barely ahead in Texas.

()
Donald Trump: 38 (3) States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Marco Rubio: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 27-20 Trump-Rubio
GA 34-22 Trump-Rubio
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 28-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 50-16 Trump-Rubio
MI 35-17 Trump-Kasich
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 31-26 Trump-Kasich
OK 29-21 Trump-Rubio
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 29-28 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-15 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-22 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 25, 2016, 11:40:35 am
Master Image polls Alabama; Quinnipiac polls Florida; WABE polls Georgia; Franklin and Marshall polls Pennsylvania; Monmouth polls Texas.

()
Donald Trump: 38 (3) States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Marco Rubio: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 36-19 Trump-Rubio
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 44-28 Trump-Rubio
GA 41-18 Trump-Rubio
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 28-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 50-16 Trump-Rubio
MI 35-17 Trump-Kasich
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 31-26 Trump-Kasich
OK 29-21 Trump-Rubio
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 22-16 Trump-Rubio
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 38-23 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-15 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-22 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 25, 2016, 01:59:04 pm
Sanders takes the lead in WI; First Ever RI Poll shows Clinton ahead. Clinton up 21 in PA.
  
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 59-31 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-32 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-43 Sanders
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 43-26 Clinton
GA - 57-29 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-32 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 60-29 Clinton
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 46-46 Tie
MI - 53-40 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MS - 60-26 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 45-44 Sanders
OK - 46-44 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 53-31 Clinton
TN - 58-32 Clinton
TX - 56-40 Clinton
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 78-13 Sanders
VA - 56-34 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 25, 2016, 02:31:10 pm
Associated Industries of Florida polls the Sunshine State; Brown University polls Rhode Island; Monmouth polls Virginia; Marquette polls Wisconsin.

()
Donald Trump: 38 (3) States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Marco Rubio: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 36-19 Trump-Rubio
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 34-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 41-18 Trump-Rubio
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 28-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 50-16 Trump-Rubio
MI 35-17 Trump-Kasich
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 31-26 Trump-Kasich
OK 29-21 Trump-Rubio
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 22-16 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 38-23 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-15 Trump-Rubio
VA 41-27 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 25, 2016, 04:08:14 pm
Clinton up 27 in VA
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 59-31 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-32 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-43 Sanders
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 43-26 Clinton
GA - 57-29 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-32 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 60-29 Clinton
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 46-46 Tie
MI - 53-40 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MS - 60-26 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 45-44 Sanders
OK - 46-44 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 53-31 Clinton
TN - 58-32 Clinton
TX - 56-40 Clinton
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 78-13 Sanders
VA - 60-33 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 25, 2016, 08:54:30 pm
WBUR polls Massachusetts; Mitchell polls Michigan.

()
Donald Trump: 38 (3) States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Marco Rubio: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 36-19 Trump-Rubio
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 34-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 41-18 Trump-Rubio
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 28-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-19-19 Trump-Kasich-Rubio
MI 41-19 Trump-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 31-26 Trump-Kasich
OK 29-21 Trump-Rubio
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 22-16 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 38-23 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-15 Trump-Rubio
VA 41-27 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: IceSpear on February 26, 2016, 02:47:29 am
I guess I'll post this here too.

This is a map of all polls conducted in February. If there was more than one, I averaged them. Utah was ambiguous but I gave it to Sanders. 30% shade = 1-10 point lead. 50% shade = 11-20 point lead. 90% shade = 20+ point lead.

()


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Wiz in Wis on February 26, 2016, 09:13:34 am
I guess I'll post this here too.

This is a map of all polls conducted in February. If there was more than one, I averaged them. Utah was ambiguous but I gave it to Sanders. 30% shade = 1-10 point lead. 50% shade = 11-20 point lead. 90% shade = 20+ point lead.

()

I'm having a really hard time reconciling WV and TN/AR... is anyone else on that boat?


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Nathan Towne on February 26, 2016, 11:18:40 am
I am going to have to get used to the colors that you are now using for the Republican Party primary as I was used to Trump-Blue and Cruz-Yellow, but that is alright.

I appreciate the time that Jonathan Swift and Wulfric are putting into this.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: IceSpear on February 26, 2016, 03:12:01 pm
I guess I'll post this here too.

This is a map of all polls conducted in February. If there was more than one, I averaged them. Utah was ambiguous but I gave it to Sanders. 30% shade = 1-10 point lead. 50% shade = 11-20 point lead. 90% shade = 20+ point lead.

()

I'm having a really hard time reconciling WV and TN/AR... is anyone else on that boat?

AR is obvious. As for TN, in 2008 the electorate was around 30% black. WV bodes well for Bernie in KY, not so much for TN.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 26, 2016, 05:28:29 pm
FL: Clinton +25
IL: Clinton +29
VA: Clinton +17
  
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 59-31 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-32 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-43 Sanders
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 57-32 Clinton
GA - 57-29 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 60-29 Clinton
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 46-46 Tie
MI - 53-40 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MS - 60-26 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 45-44 Sanders
OK - 46-44 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 53-31 Clinton
TN - 58-32 Clinton
TX - 56-40 Clinton
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 78-13 Sanders
VA - 50-33 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 26, 2016, 05:33:30 pm
Opinion Savvy polls Alabama; We Ask America polls Illinois.
()
Donald Trump: 38 (3) States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Marco Rubio: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 36-23 Trump-Rubio
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 34-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 41-18 Trump-Rubio
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 38-21 Trump-Rubio
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-19-19 Trump-Kasich-Rubio
MI 41-19 Trump-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 31-26 Trump-Kasich
OK 29-21 Trump-Rubio
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 22-16 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 38-23 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-15 Trump-Rubio
VA 41-27 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 27, 2016, 02:25:17 am
Adding the new Kansas Poll for the sole purpose of making this free of surveys that included Warren. I don't expect it to actually be accurate.
  
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 59-31 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-32 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-43 Sanders
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 57-32 Clinton
GA - 57-29 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 33-23 Clinton
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 60-29 Clinton
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 46-46 Tie
MI - 53-40 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MS - 60-26 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 45-44 Sanders
OK - 46-44 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 53-31 Clinton
TN - 58-32 Clinton
TX - 56-40 Clinton
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 78-13 Sanders
VA - 50-33 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Swedge on February 27, 2016, 12:10:36 pm
That's a lot of Clinton support


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: izixs on February 27, 2016, 12:57:26 pm
Though I've not crunched the numbers fully, something still kind of perplexes me about the state of the dem race at the moment. If Clinton is getting 20-25+ margins all across the south, and mopping up in the northeast corridor, and doing well in Appalachia outside of WV, and winning Illinois by a good margin... then how come the national polling is typically between 0-15 margins for Clinton? Given the state by state polling in these diverse states, one would expect Clinton to be pushing 20 nationally if not more unless Sanders was getting crazy high support in a few small pockets beyond just upper new england. Is everyone in Montana voting Sanders or something?


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Wiz in Wis on February 27, 2016, 06:02:45 pm
Though I've not crunched the numbers fully, something still kind of perplexes me about the state of the dem race at the moment. If Clinton is getting 20-25+ margins all across the south, and mopping up in the northeast corridor, and doing well in Appalachia outside of WV, and winning Illinois by a good margin... then how come the national polling is typically between 0-15 margins for Clinton? Given the state by state polling in these diverse states, one would expect Clinton to be pushing 20 nationally if not more unless Sanders was getting crazy high support in a few small pockets beyond just upper new england. Is everyone in Montana voting Sanders or something?

I think there is a reason to suspect that the national polls are relying on slightly looser likely voter screens than state polls, only because the state polls are probably able to use voter rolls and tighter screens while national polls have to be RDD.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 27, 2016, 06:27:46 pm
Landmark says Clinton +46 in GA
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 59-31 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-32 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-43 Sanders
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 57-32 Clinton
GA - 68-22 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 33-23 Clinton
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 60-29 Clinton
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 46-46 Tie
MI - 53-40 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MS - 60-26 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 45-44 Sanders
OK - 46-44 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 53-31 Clinton
TN - 58-32 Clinton
TX - 56-40 Clinton
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 78-13 Sanders
VA - 50-33 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 27, 2016, 07:29:03 pm
Suffolk polls Massachusetts.

()
Donald Trump: 38 (3) States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Marco Rubio: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 36-23 Trump-Rubio
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 34-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 41-18 Trump-Rubio
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 38-21 Trump-Rubio
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 43-20 Trump-Rubio
MI 41-19 Trump-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 31-26 Trump-Kasich
OK 29-21 Trump-Rubio
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 22-16 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 38-23 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-15 Trump-Rubio
VA 41-27 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Oak Hills on February 27, 2016, 10:11:33 pm
Though I've not crunched the numbers fully, something still kind of perplexes me about the state of the dem race at the moment. If Clinton is getting 20-25+ margins all across the south, and mopping up in the northeast corridor, and doing well in Appalachia outside of WV, and winning Illinois by a good margin... then how come the national polling is typically between 0-15 margins for Clinton? Given the state by state polling in these diverse states, one would expect Clinton to be pushing 20 nationally if not more unless Sanders was getting crazy high support in a few small pockets beyond just upper new england. Is everyone in Montana voting Sanders or something?

I think some of your assumptions are flawed. The only reason you can't see Bernie's Appalachian strength except in West Virginia is because West Virginia is the only state that is entirely Appalachian. Sanders will do well in East Tennessee, eastern Kentucky, etc., it's just that the rest of those states will outvote the Appalachian regions since there are few Democrats left there. And although Clinton's leading the Northeast overall, I doubt the margin is really as large as you imply above.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 28, 2016, 01:39:18 am
Clinton wins 73-26 in SC, a crushing blow to Sanders.
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 59-31 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-32 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-43 Sanders
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 57-32 Clinton
GA - 68-22 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 33-23 Clinton
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 60-29 Clinton
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 46-46 Tie
MI - 53-40 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MS - 60-26 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 45-44 Sanders
OK - 46-44 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 58-32 Clinton
TX - 56-40 Clinton
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 78-13 Sanders
VA - 50-33 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 28, 2016, 12:55:32 pm
YouGov polls Georgia, Texas, and Virginia; Marist polls Tennessee.

()
Donald Trump: 38 (3) States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Marco Rubio: 2 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 36-23 Trump-Rubio
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 34-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 40-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 38-21 Trump-Rubio
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 43-20 Trump-Rubio
MI 41-19 Trump-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 31-26 Trump-Kasich
OK 29-21 Trump-Rubio
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 22-16 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 40-22 Trump-Cruz
TX 42-31 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-15 Trump-Rubio
VA 40-27 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 28, 2016, 05:59:35 pm
Clinton with a large advantage in TX, VA, GA per YouGov. Up 14 in first ever NM Poll.
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 59-31 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-32 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-43 Sanders
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 57-32 Clinton
GA - 63-35 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 33-23 Clinton
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 60-29 Clinton
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 46-46 Tie
MI - 53-40 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MS - 60-26 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 45-44 Sanders
OK - 46-44 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 58-32 Clinton
TX - 61-37 Clinton
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 78-13 Sanders
VA - 59-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on February 29, 2016, 12:51:10 pm
We have, at long last, a new poll from the Bluegrass State, courtesy of Western Kentucky University. Additionally, we have a new Monmouth poll for Alabama and Oklahoma, a new MRG poll out of Michigan, and a new KTVT poll from Texas.

()
Donald Trump: 39 (3) States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Marco Rubio: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 42-19 Trump-Rubio
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 34-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 40-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 38-21 Trump-Rubio
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 35-22 Trump-Rubio
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 43-20 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18-18 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 31-26 Trump-Kasich
OK 35-23 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 22-16 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 40-22 Trump-Cruz
TX 34-24 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-15 Trump-Rubio
VA 40-27 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on February 29, 2016, 02:36:08 pm
Clinton retakes the lead in MA, Sanders takes the lead in OK. New numbers in TX, AZ, AL, MI, FL, GA, TN.
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  71-23 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-32 Clinton
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-43 Sanders
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 54-24 Clinton
GA - 64-30 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 33-23 Clinton
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 60-29 Clinton
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 47-44 Clinton
MI - 56-36 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MS - 60-26 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 45-44 Sanders
OK - 48-43 Sanders
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 60-34 Clinton
TX - 59-38 Clinton
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 78-13 Sanders
VA - 59-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Nathan Towne on March 01, 2016, 06:13:39 am
Huge day today. As of now, it really appears as though Clinton and Trump could come very close to effectively closing these races out, or at least make great strides towards doing so by the end of the day.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on March 01, 2016, 11:50:30 pm
With 100% of precincts reporting in Oklahoma and nearly 100% reporting in Virginia, Cruz has won the former state by six points, while Trump has won the latter by three, as per the New York Times.

()
Donald Trump: 38 (4) States
Ted Cruz: 6 (2) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Marco Rubio: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 42-19 Trump-Rubio
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 34-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 40-29 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 38-21 Trump-Rubio
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 35-22 Trump-Rubio
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 43-20 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18-18 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 31-26 Trump-Kasich
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 22-16 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 40-22 Trump-Cruz
TX 34-24 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-15 Trump-Rubio
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on March 01, 2016, 11:58:35 pm
Clinton wins all but 4 states in a Great Super Tuesday Performance

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  79-18 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 68-28 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 58-41 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 54-24 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 33-23 Clinton
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 60-29 Clinton
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 51-48 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 56-36 Clinton
MN - 59-41 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 60-26 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 45-44 Sanders
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-33 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on March 02, 2016, 12:39:46 am
With 99% of precincts reporting in Tennessee and 98% reporting in Georgia, TRUMP has carried both states handily.

()
Donald Trump: 38 (6) States
Ted Cruz: 6 (2) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Marco Rubio: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 42-19 Trump-Rubio
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 34-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 38-21 Trump-Rubio
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 35-22 Trump-Rubio
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 43-20 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18-18 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 31-26 Trump-Kasich
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 22-16 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 34-24 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-15 Trump-Rubio
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on March 02, 2016, 01:09:29 am
With 98% of precincts reporting in Alabama, we can add another state to the TRUMP column.

()
Donald Trump: 38 (7) States
Ted Cruz: 6 (2) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Marco Rubio: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 34-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 38-21 Trump-Rubio
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 35-22 Trump-Rubio
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 43-20 Trump-Rubio
MI 33-18-18 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 31-26 Trump-Kasich
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 22-16 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 34-24 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-15 Trump-Rubio
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on March 02, 2016, 02:35:47 am
At this time, 97% of precincts in Massachusetts and Vermont, 95% in Arkansas, and 92% in Minnesota and Texas have reported. The results are as follows; if the margins should change slightly as the final results come in, I will edit the numbers accordingly.

()
Donald Trump: 39 (10) States
Ted Cruz: 5 (3) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Marco Rubio: 2 (1) States

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 34-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 38-21 Trump-Rubio
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 35-22 Trump-Rubio
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 33-18-18 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 31-26 Trump-Kasich
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 22-16 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on March 02, 2016, 08:15:50 am
With 100% of precincts reporting, Ted Cruz has won Alaska.

()
Donald Trump: 38 (10) States
Ted Cruz: 6 (4) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Marco Rubio: 2 (1) States

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 34-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 38-21 Trump-Rubio
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 35-22 Trump-Rubio
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 33-18-18 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 31-26 Trump-Kasich
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 22-16 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on March 02, 2016, 12:06:56 pm
Updating last night's margins.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 54-24 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 33-23 Clinton
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 60-29 Clinton
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 56-36 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 60-26 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 45-44 Sanders
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on March 02, 2016, 12:32:44 pm
New EPIC/MRA poll out of Michigan.

()
Donald Trump: 38 (10) States
Ted Cruz: 6 (4) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Marco Rubio: 2 (1) States

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 34-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 38-21 Trump-Rubio
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 35-22 Trump-Rubio
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 29-19 Trump-Cruz
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 31-26 Trump-Kasich
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 22-16 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on March 02, 2016, 06:56:48 pm
A Hillaryslide is coming up in Mississippi

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 54-24 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 33-23 Clinton
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 60-29 Clinton
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 56-36 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 45-44 Sanders
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on March 02, 2016, 09:04:49 pm
Magellan Strategies polls Louisiana and Mississippi; Mitchell polls Michigan.

()
Donald Trump: 39 (10) States
Ted Cruz: 6 (4) States
Ben Carson: 2 States
Marco Rubio: 2 (1) States

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 34-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 38-21 Trump-Rubio
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 35-22 Trump-Rubio
LA 41-21 Trump-Cruz
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 39-19 Trump-Rubio
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 41-17 Trump-Cruz
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 31-26 Trump-Kasich
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 22-16 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on March 02, 2016, 11:18:02 pm
Clinton dominating in Michigan and Louisiana

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 54-24 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 33-23 Clinton
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 61-14 Clinton
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 61-33 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 45-44 Sanders
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on March 03, 2016, 05:09:34 pm
Trafalgar Group polls Kansas and Michigan; University of New Orleans polls Louisiana.

()
Donald Trump: 39 (10) States
Ted Cruz: 6 (4) States
Ben Carson: 2 States
Marco Rubio: 2 (1) States

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 34-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 38-21 Trump-Rubio
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 35-29 Trump-Cruz
KY 35-22 Trump-Rubio
LA 38-26 Trump-Cruz
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 42-20 Trump-Cruz
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 41-17 Trump-Cruz
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 31-26 Trump-Kasich
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 22-16 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on March 05, 2016, 07:32:58 pm
With 100% of precincts reporting, as per the New York Times, Ted Cruz has won the Kansas Republican Caucus in a landslide.

()
Donald Trump: 38 (10) States
Ted Cruz: 7 (5) States
Ben Carson: 2 States
Marco Rubio: 2 (1) States

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 34-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 38-21 Trump-Rubio
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 35-22 Trump-Rubio
LA 38-26 Trump-Cruz
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 42-20 Trump-Cruz
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 41-17 Trump-Cruz
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 31-26 Trump-Kasich
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 22-16 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on March 05, 2016, 09:04:20 pm
With 100% of precincts reporting, Cruz has won Maine.

()
Donald Trump: 37 (10) States
Ted Cruz: 8 (6) States
Ben Carson: 2 States
Marco Rubio: 2 (1) States

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 34-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 38-21 Trump-Rubio
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 35-22 Trump-Rubio
LA 38-26 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 42-20 Trump-Cruz
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 41-17 Trump-Cruz
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 31-26 Trump-Kasich
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 22-16 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on March 05, 2016, 11:51:33 pm
With 100% of precincts reporting, Kentucky has been won by Donald J. TRUMP.

()
Donald Trump: 37 (11) States
Ted Cruz: 8 (6) States
Ben Carson: 2 States
Marco Rubio: 2 (1) States

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 34-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 38-21 Trump-Rubio
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 36-32 Trump-Cruz
LA 38-26 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 42-20 Trump-Cruz
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 41-17 Trump-Cruz
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 31-26 Trump-Kasich
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 22-16 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on March 06, 2016, 12:24:12 am
With 100% of precincts reporting, TRUMP has won Louisiana.

()
Donald Trump: 37 (12) States
Ted Cruz: 8 (6) States
Ben Carson: 2 States
Marco Rubio: 2 (1) States

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 34-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 38-21 Trump-Rubio
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 36-32 Trump-Cruz
LA 41-38 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 42-20 Trump-Cruz
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 41-17 Trump-Cruz
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 31-26 Trump-Kasich
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 22-16 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on March 06, 2016, 12:26:11 am
Sanders with a YUGE margin in KS, same for Clinton in LA.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 54-24 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 61-33 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 45-44 Sanders
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on March 06, 2016, 01:32:47 pm
Sanders wins Nebraska by 14 points. Clinton up 17 in MI, but only 5 in KY!!!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 54-24 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 57-40 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 45-44 Sanders
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on March 06, 2016, 01:50:10 pm
YouGov polls Michigan.

()
Donald Trump: 37 (12) States
Ted Cruz: 8 (6) States
Ben Carson: 2 States
Marco Rubio: 2 (1) States

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 34-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 38-21 Trump-Rubio
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 36-32 Trump-Cruz
LA 41-38 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 39-24 Trump-Cruz
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 41-17 Trump-Cruz
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 31-26 Trump-Kasich
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 22-16 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on March 07, 2016, 10:56:20 am
With 100% of votes in, as per CNN, Marco Rubio has won Puerto Rico by an enormous margin. Additionally, we have a new Dan Jones poll of Idaho, a new Mitchell poll from Michigan, and a new Siena poll out of New York.

()
Donald Trump: 37 (12) States
Ted Cruz: 8 (6) States
Marco Rubio: 2 (1) States + PR
Ben Carson: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 34-27 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
ID 30-19 Trump-Cruz
IL 38-21 Trump-Rubio
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 36-32 Trump-Cruz
LA 41-38 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 42-20 Trump-Kasich
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 41-17 Trump-Cruz
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 45-18-18 Trump-Kasich-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 31-26 Trump-Kasich
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 22-16 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz

-----

Territories:

PR 74-14 Rubio-Trump


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on March 07, 2016, 11:48:09 am
NY: Clinton +21
ID: Sanders +2 (!)


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 54-24 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 57-40 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 45-44 Sanders
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on March 07, 2016, 12:38:29 pm
MI: Clinton +13

Sanders wins big in Maine! Will update margin when and if we get the final 9% of returns.


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 54-24 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 55-42 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 45-44 Sanders
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on March 07, 2016, 02:54:18 pm
Monmouth polls Florida.

()
Donald Trump: 37 (12) States
Ted Cruz: 8 (6) States
Marco Rubio: 2 (1) States + PR
Ben Carson: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 38-30 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
ID 30-19 Trump-Cruz
IL 38-21 Trump-Rubio
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 36-32 Trump-Cruz
LA 41-38 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 42-20 Trump-Kasich
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 41-17 Trump-Cruz
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 45-18-18 Trump-Kasich-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 31-26 Trump-Kasich
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 22-16 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz

-----

Territories:

PR 74-14 Rubio-Trump


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on March 07, 2016, 03:45:21 pm
Ohio reluctant to feel the Bern.


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 54-24 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 55-42 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 56-35 Clinton
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on March 07, 2016, 04:12:40 pm
PPP polls Ohio.

()
Donald Trump: 37 (12) States
Ted Cruz: 8 (6) States
Marco Rubio: 2 (1) States + PR
Ben Carson: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 38-30 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
ID 30-19 Trump-Cruz
IL 38-21 Trump-Rubio
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 36-32 Trump-Cruz
LA 41-38 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 42-20 Trump-Kasich
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 41-17 Trump-Cruz
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 45-18-18 Trump-Kasich-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 38-35 Trump-Kasich
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 22-16 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz

-----

Territories:

PR 74-14 Rubio-Trump


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on March 07, 2016, 05:13:46 pm
CLINTON COLLAPSING IN MICHIGAN!!!!


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 54-24 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 52-47 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 56-35 Clinton
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Sorenroy on March 07, 2016, 05:25:38 pm
CLINTON COLLAPSING IN MICHIGAN!!!!

I would revert it back to the other map. That poll was conducted over 1-31 to 3-3. Even if we only look at the end date, the other polls are newer.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: IceSpear on March 07, 2016, 10:31:43 pm
Are you literally using a poll that started in January over ones that were conducted in the last 3 days? ayy lmao


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on March 07, 2016, 11:00:11 pm
Just to satisfy IceSpear in his little fantasy world, I averaged the Monmouth and MSU polls. Only boosts Clinton to +9 however, and I will not be surprised if the race is much closer than that. A Sanders win is unlikely but not implausible.


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 54-24 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 53.5 - 44.5 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 56-35 Clinton
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: IceSpear on March 07, 2016, 11:07:31 pm
Uh, please explain exactly how it's a "fantasy world" to think that the multiple polls conducted within the last week are more relevant than one that started 5 weeks ago.

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Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on March 07, 2016, 11:13:26 pm
Uh, please explain exactly how it's a "fantasy world" to think that the multiple polls conducted within the last week are more relevant than one that started 5 weeks ago.

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Img
)

If you look into the document for the MSU poll, it offers a day by day graphic. You can clearly see a Sanders gain in the last few days of their polling. I expect Sanders to hold Clinton to a single digit win tomorrow.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JerryArkansas on March 08, 2016, 12:03:39 am
Uh, please explain exactly how it's a "fantasy world" to think that the multiple polls conducted within the last week are more relevant than one that started 5 weeks ago.

(
Img
)

If you look into the document for the MSU poll, it offers a day by day graphic. You can clearly see a Sanders gain in the last few days of their polling. I expect Sanders to hold Clinton to a single digit win tomorrow.
Just admit your a hack and move on.  Then more people wont hate you.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on March 08, 2016, 09:57:37 am
Clinton +31 in Florida


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL -  61-30 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 58-28 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 53.5 - 44.5 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 56-35 Clinton
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on March 08, 2016, 10:29:39 am
SUSA polls Florida; Chicago Tribune polls Illinois; Mitchell polls Michigan.

()
Donald Trump: 37 (12) States
Ted Cruz: 8 (6) States
Marco Rubio: 2 (1) States + PR
Ben Carson: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 42-22 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
ID 30-19 Trump-Cruz
IL 32-22 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 36-32 Trump-Cruz
LA 41-38 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 41-23 Trump-Kasich
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 41-17 Trump-Cruz
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 45-18-18 Trump-Kasich-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 38-35 Trump-Kasich
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 22-16 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz

-----

Territories:

PR 74-14 Rubio-Trump


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: IceSpear on March 08, 2016, 12:03:24 pm
Wulfric, I think you missed the most recent Michigan poll which shows her up 26. I'm sure it was an honest mistake and you'll get right on fixing it. ;)


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on March 08, 2016, 12:09:31 pm
Wulfric, I think you missed the most recent Michigan poll which shows her up 26. I'm sure it was an honest mistake and you'll get right on fixing it. ;)

Mitchell is junk.

I'll go ahead and add the new MD poll


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL -  61-30 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 57-26 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 53.5 - 44.5 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 56-35 Clinton
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: IceSpear on March 08, 2016, 12:48:38 pm
Yeah, it's a junk, but so what? You included a literal fake pollster (Overtime) and a poll that started in January that interviewed like 8 people per day. Clearly that's much worse.

I think we need to transfer control of the map over to a non hack. Any takers?


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Wiz in Wis on March 08, 2016, 12:58:09 pm
Wulfric, I think you missed the most recent Michigan poll which shows her up 26. I'm sure it was an honest mistake and you'll get right on fixing it. ;)

Mitchell is junk.

I'll go ahead and add the new MD poll


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL -  61-30 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 57-26 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 53.5 - 44.5 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 56-35 Clinton
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)

Monmouth? ARG? How do you determine bad polls?


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on March 08, 2016, 01:03:53 pm
Wulfric, I think you missed the most recent Michigan poll which shows her up 26. I'm sure it was an honest mistake and you'll get right on fixing it. ;)

Mitchell is junk.

I'll go ahead and add the new MD poll


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL -  61-30 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 57-26 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 53.5 - 44.5 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 56-35 Clinton
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)

Monmouth? ARG? How do you determine bad polls?

I added Monmouth originally, and would still be including it if it wasn't for the MSU Poll.

In any case, it's the day of the primary. It's probably getting colored blue soon enough. Icespear, enjoy.

()



Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Wiz in Wis on March 08, 2016, 01:08:36 pm
Wulfric, I think you missed the most recent Michigan poll which shows her up 26. I'm sure it was an honest mistake and you'll get right on fixing it. ;)

Mitchell is junk.

I'll go ahead and add the new MD poll


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL -  61-30 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 57-26 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 53.5 - 44.5 Clinton
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 65-11 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 51-36 Clinton
OH - 56-35 Clinton
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)

Monmouth? ARG? How do you determine bad polls?

I added Monmouth originally, and would still be including it if it wasn't for the MSU Poll.

In any case, it's the day of the primary. It's probably getting colored blue soon enough. Icespear, enjoy.

()



The system works.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on March 09, 2016, 04:15:41 am
At this time, per the New York Times, we have 100% of precincts reporting in Hawaii, 99% in Michigan and Mississippi, and 98% in Idaho. The last named state has gone to Ted Cruz by a wide margin, while the other three have all been won by Donald TRUMP, also by large margins. Should the margins change slightly when the last few precincts come in, I will of course edit this post.

()
Donald Trump: 37 (15) States
Ted Cruz: 9 (7) States
Marco Rubio: 2 (1) States + PR
Ben Carson: 2 States

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 43-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 36-34 Cruz-Trump
AR 33-31 Trump-Cruz
AZ 35-23 Trump-Rubio
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 42-22 Trump-Rubio
GA 39-24 Trump-Rubio
HI 42-33 Trump-Cruz
ID 45-28 Cruz-Trump
IL 32-22 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 48-23 Cruz-Trump
KY 36-32 Trump-Cruz
LA 41-38 Trump-Cruz
ME 46-33 Cruz-Trump
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 49-18 Trump-Kasich
MI 37-25 Trump-Cruz
MN 37-29 Rubio-Cruz
MS 47-36 Trump-Cruz
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 46-24 Trump-Rubio
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 38-11 Trump-Rubio
NM 25-24 Cruz-Trump
NY 45-18-18 Trump-Kasich-Rubio
NC 28-19 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 38-35 Trump-Kasich
OK 34-28 Cruz-Trump
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 22-16 Trump-Rubio
RI 43-25 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-22 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 39-25 Trump-Cruz
TX 44-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 24-22 Rubio-Cruz
VT 33-30 Trump-Kasich
VA 35-32 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 40-20 Trump-Cruz
WI 30-20 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz

-----

Territories:

PR 74-14 Rubio-Trump


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on March 09, 2016, 06:24:42 am
Due to a busy schedule, I will be unable to continue contributing to this thread on a regular basis, at least for the next few weeks. If someone else would take over, your assistance would be greatly appreciated. Thank you.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Sorenroy on March 09, 2016, 07:43:00 am
Due to a busy schedule, I will be unable to continue contributing to this thread on a regular basis, at least for the next few weeks. If someone else would take over, your assistance would be greatly appreciated. Thank you.

I think, rather than just one person taking over, it would be better if whomever saw the most recent poll went on here and made the edits. Otherwise, I can take over when I remember.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on March 09, 2016, 12:10:05 pm
MI/MS split!
Clinton +23 in NC, 30 in FL, 9 in OH


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL -  62-32 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 57-26 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 50-48 Sanders (actual result)
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 83-16 Clinton (actual result)
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 57-34 Clinton
OH - 52-43 Clinton
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Gass3268 on March 09, 2016, 05:20:48 pm
Wulfric: Do you know when that Clinton +5 poll was taken in Missouri? I really feel like that's a state that should be polled here soonish.


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on March 09, 2016, 05:26:00 pm
Wulfric: Do you know when that Clinton +5 poll was taken in Missouri? I really feel like that's a state that should be polled here soonish.

January


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on March 10, 2016, 12:06:44 pm
Clinton with large leads in PA and NC


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states:

AL -  78-19 Clinton (actual result)
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 66-30 Clinton (actual result)
AZ-  56-22 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 59-40 Sanders (actual result)
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL -  62-32 Clinton
GA - 71-28 Clinton (actual result)
ID - 47-45 Sanders
IL - 57-28 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 68-32 Sanders (actual result)
KY - 43-38 Clinton
LA - 71-23 Clinton (actual result)
ME - 64-36 Sanders (actual result)
MD - 57-26 Clinton
MA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
MI - 50-48 Sanders (actual result)
MN - 62-38 Sanders (actual result)
MS - 83-16 Clinton (actual result)
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NE - 57-43 Sanders (actual result)
NV - 53-47 Clinton (actual result)
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NM - 47-33 Clinton
NJ - 55-32 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 57-28 Clinton
OH - 52-43 Clinton
OK - 52-42 Sanders (actual result)
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 57-27 Clinton
RI - 49-40 Clinton
SC - 73-26 Clinton (actual result)
TN - 66-32 Clinton (actual result)
TX - 65-33 Clinton (actual result)
UT - 51-44 Clinton
VT - 86-14 Sanders (actual result)
VA - 64-35 Clinton (actual result)
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 57-29 Sanders
WI - 44-43 Sanders

-----

American Samoa - 68-26 Clinton (actual result)


Title: Re: 2016 Primary Map Thread
Post by: JonathanSwift on March 10, 2016, 03:04:42 pm
Kasich takes the lead in Ohio, as per Fox News. MBQF Consulting polls Arizona; Smith Johnson Research polls California; Opinion Savvy polls Florida; We Ask America polls Illinois; Civitas polls North Carolina; Harper polls Pennsylvania.

(