Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Miles on April 17, 2013, 02:06:31 PM



Title: PPP: Hagan still in good shape
Post by: Miles on April 17, 2013, 02:06:31 PM
I originally entered the poll but linked it over to my LA/NC 2014 thread; this poll should have its own thread though.

Hagan- 48%
Berger- 39%

Hagan- 46%
Berry- 41%

Hagan- 49%
Brannon- 36%

Hagan- 48%
Ellmers- 40%

Hagan- 47%
Embler- 37%

Hagan- 48%
Foxx- 39%

Hagan- 49%
Tillis- 39%

Her approvals are 39/37. Burr is similarly anonymous at 36/38.


Title: Re: PPP: Hagan still in good shape
Post by: The world will shine with light in our nightmare on April 17, 2013, 02:28:35 PM
They didn't poll her against McHenry?


Title: Re: PPP: Hagan still in good shape
Post by: Miles on April 17, 2013, 03:26:22 PM

He already said last week that he won't be running. (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=166195.msg3689369#msg3689369) It was easy to miss that though.


Title: Re: PPP: Hagan still in good shape
Post by: Vosem on April 17, 2013, 03:29:43 PM
I don't know about the other candidates, but it seems clear that the candidates, in electability order (coincidentally both in the primary and general election), are Berry then Ellmers then Berger then Tillis. Foxx is obviously not running and I don't know who Embler and Brannon even are.


Title: Re: PPP: Hagan still in good shape
Post by: Maxwell on April 17, 2013, 03:58:07 PM
Tillis' primary numbers have been improving very steadily (wasn't he at 2% last time?), that's probably not a good thing because he is the face of what a lot of people in North Carolina really disapprove of.


Title: Re: PPP: Hagan still in good shape
Post by: Miles on April 17, 2013, 03:59:14 PM
Tillis' primary numbers have been improving very steadily (wasn't he at 2% last time?), that's probably not a good thing because he is the face of what a lot of people in North Carolina really disapprove of.

LOL, I mentioned that in the other thread. Yeah, the TV spots he was featured in since then look like they're actually raising his name rec.


Title: Re: PPP: Hagan still in good shape
Post by: Vern on April 17, 2013, 10:23:07 PM
If Berry or run, she would win. She is only down by five and a lot of people don't know who she is.


Title: Re: PPP: Hagan still in good shape
Post by: Miles on April 17, 2013, 11:25:07 PM
Berry's portrait is in every elevator in the state. I think more people than this poll would indicate actually know who she is, they just haven't put two and two together.


Title: Re: PPP: Hagan still in good shape
Post by: Miles on April 18, 2013, 02:14:28 AM
Berry's favorables are 33/18 with Democrats, which mirrors exactly what here overall favorables are. Obviously, when push comes to shove, she'll lose much of her support with Democrats.


Title: Re: PPP: Hagan still in good shape
Post by: illegaloperation on April 30, 2013, 11:10:51 PM
Part of the problem is that North Carolina is a states that doesn't like to reelect its senator. This could be a problem for Hagan, but she has better approval numbers than Burr.

Burr was reelected, but that was during the 2010 Republican wave.