Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: RogueBeaver on October 23, 2013, 01:25:41 PM



Title: AR-University of Arkansas: All tied up
Post by: RogueBeaver on October 23, 2013, 01:25:41 PM
Pryor 34/32 among registered, Cotton 37/36 among likely voters (http://plsc.uark.edu/7129.php). Some numbers: Pryor at 44/34 disapprove; 51% of Indies (in a 37I/30D/27R electorate) are R-leaning; 48% of voters identify as conservative and Pryor's approvals have dropped nearly 20% in a year.



Title: Re: AR-University of Arkansas: All tied up
Post by: The world will shine with light in our nightmare on October 23, 2013, 01:30:03 PM
27% of likely voters undecided?


Title: Re: AR-University of Arkansas: All tied up
Post by: Conflicted Progressive on October 23, 2013, 03:53:16 PM
The demographic breakdown of the poll look strange. Only 9% black seems low...


Title: Re: AR-University of Arkansas: All tied up
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on October 23, 2013, 04:28:25 PM
If Pryor isn't trailing, but tied to Cotton, when all pundits have his political career over, good news.


Title: Re: AR-University of Arkansas: All tied up
Post by: Maxwell on October 23, 2013, 04:33:35 PM
It's never a good thing, even if you're leading to have TWENTY PERCENT UNDECIDED.


Title: Re: AR-University of Arkansas: All tied up
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on October 23, 2013, 04:40:42 PM
Yeah, but we haven't seen 3 consecutive polls having consistently behind. All of polls have him tied.


Title: Re: AR-University of Arkansas: All tied up
Post by: Mehmentum on October 23, 2013, 08:20:10 PM
This seems pretty much in line with other polls, but the amount of undecided is ugly.


Title: Re: AR-University of Arkansas: All tied up
Post by: ElectionsGuy on October 23, 2013, 11:45:16 PM
Weird poll, but we've seen the overall tied theme of this race so far.


Title: Re: AR-University of Arkansas: All tied up
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on October 24, 2013, 02:23:19 PM
Growing more confident about Pryor's chances.


Title: Re: AR-University of Arkansas: All tied up
Post by: ElectionsGuy on October 24, 2013, 03:19:38 PM
Growing more confident about Pryor's chances.

Why? We've seen practically the same results from all the polls and the primary season is far from beginning.


Title: Re: AR-University of Arkansas: All tied up
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on October 24, 2013, 03:55:05 PM
A runoff in La or Ga and a combo of the two MnT and Ak or Ark gives us continued control of senate.


Title: AR: University of Arkansas: Pryor and Cotton Close in Arkansas
Post by: ElectionAtlas on October 26, 2013, 07:47:34 AM
New Poll: Arkansas Senator by University of Arkansas on 2013-10-17 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=5220131017089)

Summary: D: 36%, R: 37%, U: 27%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://plsc.uark.edu/2013_Arkansas_Poll_summary_report.docx)


Title: Re: AR-University of Arkansas: All tied up
Post by: Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee on November 02, 2013, 06:43:31 AM
Growing more confident about Pryor's chances.

Nothing screams confidence like a popular two term incumbent barely ahead/tied, well below fifty and with numerous undecideds in three polls. A sure road to dominating the race if ever there was one.


Title: Re: AR-University of Arkansas: All tied up
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on November 02, 2013, 07:19:51 AM
I should of said more confident about D's holdings senate. PPP showed the D's holding up following shutdown against GOP and in this race showed Pryor up 3. But all we have to do is keep 51 senators and win either MnT or AK and win a runoff in Ga or La.