Talk Elections

Clinton 43%, Christie 41%

Clinton has the support of 77% of Democrats, while 73% of Republicans back Christie. Among voters not affiliated with either major party, it’s Christie 42%, Clinton 33%.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on November 7-8, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/2016_clinton_43_christie_41

Didn't Rasmussen insist Romney would win in 2012?

Yes, but in the meantime they kicked out Scott Rasmussen.

Maybe they start producing good polls now ... ;)

They had another poll recently that said 42% of America supports the Tea Party. I can't trust a word they say.

It doesn't matter what poll we're looking at because it's 3 years before the election.

So after all the glowing media coverage after his landslide win, he still can't lead Hillary in a poll.

This is his ceiling. Once his Republican primary rivals start taking their pounds of flesh off him (no pun intended), he'll look a lot less formidable.

Do you remember Obama coming out of nowhere to beat Hillary Clinton? Do you remember 2008? Did you follow politics then? Are you unaware of how quickly things can change?

Obama didn't come out of nowhere. He was bounced around a presidential contender after his 2004 DNC speech.

Also, Clinton was the frontrunner then, but she never enjoyed anything close to the polling advantage she has right now. She's polling almost as well as an incumbent President.

No one expected anyone other than Hillary Clinton to be president elect in 2008. As for polling, I'd like to see numbers of her strength in 2006 and 2007 compared to now.

Last time around, her fiercest competitor was in the Democratic primary, this time around he'll be in the Republican one. Also, Obama was nt very well known to the general public in 2005 and 2006, unlike what's the case With Christie now. Christie has shown that he's perfectly capable to win over Democratic (and independent) voters. Hillary probably showed the same in her NY Senate elections, and clearly shows the same symtoms in early Appalachian polls. Still it's a much bigger question mark how much cross-over appeal Hillary will have, compared to Christie. At the same time, noone even comes close to Hillary nationwide when it comes to cross over appeal among women. 2016 could easily turn out as a Women versus Independent election, where Hillary will win women overwhelmingly, while Christie will win independents by a Clear margin as well. Thus is might ultimately come down to battleground state latinos, where both candidates have shown exception strenghts, but where Hillary is even stronger. My prediction is that Christie would/will get between 37 & 41% of the latino vote and Hillary between 58% & 62%. But it Depends on many other factors as well, especially on their picks of vice presidential candidates. Which of the two will pick latin VPs or will both do so? It will be the biggest surprise of 2016 if none ends up doing so.