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Title: ME-PPP: Clinton leads Christie by 8%, other GOPs by 23% or more Post by: JRP1994 on November 13, 2013, 09:34:07 AM http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2013/11/maine-miscellany.html
Clinton 47, Christie 39 Clinton 55, Bush 32 Clinton 57, Paul 32 Clinton 57, Cruz 30 Also, in the GOP primary, Christie leads Cruz 47-0 among moderates. Title: Re: ME-PPP: Clinton leads Christie by 8%, other GOPs by 23% or more Post by: eric82oslo on November 13, 2013, 03:54:38 PM Exciting. :)
I'm surprised that Jeb and Rand do almost as hourrible as Ted Cruz. Title: Re: ME-PPP: Clinton leads Christie by 8%, other GOPs by 23% or more Post by: Mr. Morden on November 13, 2013, 05:36:09 PM How close does Maine have to get before you could conceivably see a split between the two CDs?
Title: Re: ME-PPP: Clinton leads Christie by 8%, other GOPs by 23% or more Post by: IceSpear on November 13, 2013, 05:45:35 PM How close does Maine have to get before you could conceivably see a split between the two CDs? Looking at the CD results from the past 3 elections...6 points or closer. 2004: ME-AL: Kerry +9 ME-02: Kerry +6 2008: ME-AL: Obama +18 ME-02: Obama +12 2012: ME-AL: Obama +15 ME-02: Obama +9 In 2000, the gap between the CDs was also a lot lower, more similar to 2004 than 2008/2012. So I expect if Clinton is the nominee the gap will be lower as well. Realistically, Christie will probably have to come within 4-5 points to win CD 2. Title: Re: ME-PPP: Clinton leads Christie by 8%, other GOPs by 23% or more Post by: Mr. Morden on November 13, 2013, 07:00:06 PM Wouldn't there have been redistricting in both 2000 and 2010? I would think the only relevant numbers would be the 2012 numbers, since those had the same district lines as 2016.
Title: Re: ME-PPP: Clinton leads Christie by 8%, other GOPs by 23% or more Post by: Mr. Morden on November 13, 2013, 08:29:52 PM Christie vs. Clinton by age:
18-29: Clinton +44 30-45: tie 46-65: Clinton +9 65+: Christie +2 Title: Re: ME-PPP: Clinton leads Christie by 8%, other GOPs by 23% or more Post by: Mopsus on November 14, 2013, 08:11:19 AM Christie vs. Clinton by age: 18-29: Clinton +44 I had to check the crosstabs myself to be sure that this wasn't a typo... Title: Re: ME-PPP: Clinton leads Christie by 8%, other GOPs by 23% or more Post by: IceSpear on November 14, 2013, 03:27:26 PM PPP's age crosstabs are usually funky.
Title: Re: ME-PPP: Clinton leads Christie by 8%, other GOPs by 23% or more Post by: TheDeadFlagBlues on November 14, 2013, 05:54:52 PM Fat man could play well here, who knows. I suppose Maine has a weird intersection of Obama-Christie voters and Romney-Clinton voters though.
Title: Re: ME-PPP: Clinton leads Christie by 8%, other GOPs by 23% or more Post by: Mr. Morden on November 14, 2013, 07:46:14 PM Fat man could play well here, who knows. Consistent with what we're seeing in other state polls. In Christie vs. Clinton, most of the Democratic states are trending Republican and vice versa. |