Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: Tender Branson on November 13, 2013, 12:05:58 PM



Title: Quinnipiac: Christie gets big re-election bounce, leads Hillary by 1 nationally
Post by: Tender Branson on November 13, 2013, 12:05:58 PM
43% Christie (+7 compared with previous poll)
42% Clinton (-7)

Ms. Clinton has leads of nine points or more against other possible Republican contenders, the independent Quinnipiac University poll finds:

49 - 40 percent over U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin.
49 - 40 percent over U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky
51 - 36 percent over U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas

...

From November 6 - 11, Quinnipiac University surveyed 2,545 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 1.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=1976


Title: Re: Quinnipiac: Christie gets big re-election bounce, leads Hillary by 1 nationally
Post by: Tender Branson on November 13, 2013, 12:08:26 PM
Assuming this is "the reality" right now nationally, the recent PPP polls in ME and NC make sense.


Title: Re: Quinnipiac: Christie gets big re-election bounce, leads Hillary by 1 nationally
Post by: Tender Branson on November 13, 2013, 12:15:45 PM
The sample of this poll is D+6 btw.

Christie leads Indies by 16 points.


Title: Re: Quinnipiac: Christie gets big re-election bounce, leads Hillary by 1 nationally
Post by: tmthforu94 on November 13, 2013, 12:20:59 PM
Hopefully once Christie starts campaigning and folks see he's pretty conservative on most issues, they'll swallow their pride and we'll nominate him in 2016. This is starting to look like 2012 in terms of there being one candidate greatly superior to the others in terms of electability.


Title: Re: Quinnipiac: Christie gets big re-election bounce, leads Hillary by 1 nationally
Post by: Bandit3 the Worker on November 13, 2013, 01:30:41 PM
This is bogus. Quinnipiac just released a huge poll showing Obama's approvals to be worse than in any other poll, and with the 2 major parties tied on a generic congressional ballot - even though other pollsters have the Democrats leading by 6 to 8 points.

Also, NBC just put out a poll that had Clinton leading Christie by 10.

Remember, Quinnipiac is the same pollster that has Tom Tancredo about to be elected in Colorado.


Title: Re: Quinnipiac: Christie gets big re-election bounce, leads Hillary by 1 nationally
Post by: morgieb on November 13, 2013, 06:04:06 PM
Just need to hope they don't nominate him then :P


Title: Re: Quinnipiac: Christie gets big re-election bounce, leads Hillary by 1 nationally
Post by: IceSpear on November 13, 2013, 06:38:17 PM

I'm not scared even if they do nominate him. Consider that he's going to be completely savaged by the right during the primary. That's going to take him off his pedestal in short order. This is his high water mark, glowing media coverage for a week after his landslide re-election.


Title: Re: Quinnipiac: Christie gets big re-election bounce, leads Hillary by 1 nationally
Post by: Bandit3 the Worker on November 13, 2013, 06:43:58 PM
If it's any consolation, the Tea Party absolutely hates Chris Christie's guts. At least we won't have another Tea Party member like Bush in the White House.


Title: Re: Quinnipiac: Christie gets big re-election bounce, leads Hillary by 1 nationally
Post by: Deus Naturae on November 13, 2013, 06:48:37 PM
If it's any consolation, the Tea Party absolutely hates Chris Christie's guts. At least we won't have another Tea Party member like Bush in the White House.

...what?


Title: Re: Quinnipiac: Christie gets big re-election bounce, leads Hillary by 1 nationally
Post by: IceSpear on November 13, 2013, 07:03:15 PM
If it's any consolation, the Tea Party absolutely hates Chris Christie's guts.

Which is why he's going to come out of the primary as damaged goods if he does win.

You thought what the TP did to Romney was bad? Just wait until they get done with Christie.


Title: Re: Quinnipiac: Christie gets big re-election bounce, leads Hillary by 1 nationally
Post by: Mr. Morden on November 13, 2013, 08:55:17 PM
Do you think the following would make a good president or not? (yes/no %)
Christie 49/31% for +18
Clinton 54/40% for +14
Ryan 34/46% for -12
Paul 32/47% for -15
Cruz 24/51% for -27
Biden 25/65% for -40

Christie vs. Clinton crosstabs:
men: Christie +12
women: Clinton +9
whites: Christie +15
blacks: Clinton +65
Hispanics: Clinton +8
income < $50k: Clinton +11
income $50-100k: Christie +6
income > $100k: Christie +18
age 18-29: Clinton +5
age 30-49: Clinton +1
age 50-64: tie
age 65+: Christie +10

However, in the Paul vs. Clinton matchup, Paul's best age group is the under 30 crowd:
age 18-29: Clinton +4
age 30-49: Clinton +11
age 50-64: Clinton +12
age 65+: Clinton +7


Title: Re: Quinnipiac: Christie gets big re-election bounce, leads Hillary by 1 nationally
Post by: Bandit3 the Worker on November 13, 2013, 08:57:55 PM
However, in the Paul vs. Clinton matchup, Paul's best age group is the under 30 crowd:

That's another reason why I don't trust Quinnipiac.


Title: Re: Quinnipiac: Christie gets big re-election bounce, leads Hillary by 1 nationally
Post by: ElectionsGuy on November 16, 2013, 01:19:15 PM
However, in the Paul vs. Clinton matchup, Paul's best age group is the under 30 crowd:

That's another reason why I don't trust Quinnipiac.

Actually, Paul has always been good with the Younger crowd.


Title: Re: Quinnipiac: Christie gets big re-election bounce, leads Hillary by 1 nationally
Post by: pbrower2a on November 17, 2013, 11:20:23 AM
If it's any consolation, the Tea Party absolutely hates Chris Christie's guts. At least we won't have another Tea Party member like Bush in the White House.

Dubya was a big-government right-winger. The Tea Party may have liked the right-wing part, but it has never liked Big Government whatever its ideology.