Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Miles on November 19, 2013, 11:50:08 AM



Title: MS-PPP: Cochran in danger in primary, but stronger than McDaniel in general
Post by: Miles on November 19, 2013, 11:50:08 AM
Report. (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2013/PPP_Release_MS_1119.pdf)

Cochran- 50%
Childers- 33%

Cochran- 45%
Hood- 43%

Cochran- 50%
Musgrove- 37%

Hosemann- 46%
Childers- 39%

Hosemann- 42%
Hood- 41%

Hosemann- 46%
Musgrove- 38%

McDaniel- 41%
Childers- 38%

McDaniel- 41%
Hood- 43%

McDaniel- 44%
Musgrove- 41%

In the primary, Cochran only leads McDaniel 44-38 and loses 35-55 to someone 'more conservative.'

Cochran's approval is 44/40 with Democrats is almost as good as with Republicans, 47/36.

Why in the world didn't they test Gene Taylor!?

Can we wait till Cochran announces his plans within the next week or so to enter this poll?


Title: Re: MS-PPP: Cochran in danger in primary, but stronger than McDaniel in general
Post by: Maxwell on November 19, 2013, 11:56:50 AM
Jim Hood could give it a shot. What's he got to lose? Even against Thad Cochran he trails by two points. Of course, this could just mean a ceiling.

Almost certainly Gene Taylor would be polling around Childers or Musgrove levels, maybe worse. Also, why on earth are Democrats hoping for a guy who just said he was thinking about running as a Republican? What's the point?


Title: Re: MS-PPP: Cochran in danger in primary, but stronger than McDaniel in general
Post by: windjammer on November 20, 2013, 07:18:41 AM
Well, MS could be in play ;D.
Likely rep with Cochran out, lean rep with Mcdaniel!


Title: Re: MS-PPP: Cochran in danger in primary, but stronger than McDaniel in general
Post by: Miles on November 20, 2013, 07:07:40 PM

Can we wait till Cochran announces his plans within the next week or so to enter this poll?

I guess not :P

Where did that 48-38 matchup that was entered into the database even come from?


Title: Re: MS-PPP: Cochran in danger in primary, but stronger than McDaniel in general
Post by: ElectionsGuy on November 20, 2013, 10:09:22 PM
Looks like republicans will have to worry about this race if Cochran retires. This could be an unexpectedly interesting seat here.


Title: Re: MS-PPP: Cochran in danger in primary, but stronger than McDaniel in general
Post by: IceSpear on November 20, 2013, 11:55:06 PM
Looks like republicans will have to worry about this race if Cochran retires. This could be an unexpectedly interesting seat here.

I highly doubt it. Mississippi was supposed to be a tight race in 2008, and the polls were tied all year, and then at the very end Wicker still won easily as the inelastic undecideds broke to their natural party.


Title: Re: MS-PPP: Cochran in danger in primary, but stronger than McDaniel in general
Post by: Miles on November 21, 2013, 04:08:48 AM
Looks like republicans will have to worry about this race if Cochran retires. This could be an unexpectedly interesting seat here.

I highly doubt it. Mississippi was supposed to be a tight race in 2008, and the polls were tied all year, and then at the very end Wicker still won easily as the inelastic undecideds broke to their natural party.

Yes, though Wicker at least had the benefit of being an incumbent and had Cochran's coattails helping him.


Title: Re: MS-PPP: Cochran in danger in primary, but stronger than McDaniel in general
Post by: Landslide Lyndon on November 21, 2013, 04:49:50 AM
A good Democratic candidate could easily get to mid-forties. But getting that extra 5% is an entirely different story.


Title: MS: Public Policy Polling: Cochran in danger in primary, but stronger than McDaniel in general
Post by: Queen Mum Inks.LWC on November 27, 2013, 02:28:57 PM
New Poll: Mississippi Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2013-11-17 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=28220131117108)

Summary: D: 33%, R: 50%, U: 17%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2013/PPP_Release_MS_1119.pdf)