Talk Elections

46-38 Christie/Clinton
47-44 Paul/Clinton
45-43 Ryan/Clinton
44-44 Cruz/Clinton

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

36-59 disapprove

From November 15 - 18, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,206 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/colorado/release-detail?ReleaseID=1978

Cruz is TIED with Clinton? Wtf.  Either this poll is wrong, or there is good news for Republicans in Colorado.  Then again, doesn't CO usually have Republican leaning polls this far out?

Yes this, plus CO's hatred with the Clintons.

But nonetheless, those numbers are pretty bad for her (and Obama).

I'm not sure it really matters in the end though, if we're winning Colorado, but losing states like Arkansas. 

This is interesting, yeah.

Because PPP will release a poll today which shows Cruz just 2 points ahead of Clinton in Mississippi.

Of course, the fact that MS is relatively poor might help Hillary there (also among poorer/middle-class Whites (women), which were probably reluctant to vote for Obama).

Quinnipiac has gotten to be a joke lately.

There is a profound conservative renaissance in Colorado that the rest of the country is just getting wind of.

Did somebody just set their watch to 1994?

No, it's called CO getting tired of left wing politics and stride to be back in the center as the state is clearly purple.

Quinnipiac says that Obama's 36 percent approval rating is the lowest that he has gotten on any if its polls. Anywhere. Ever. That is probably indicative of the fact  that a lot of folks just badly misread Colorado.

I didn't misread the fact that several places in Colorado just voted to ban fracking.

Yes, three, and the fourth us being recoubted.  None i
of which have much fracking going on--if any at all. They were largely symbolic protest votes, and occured in liberal cities like collegiate Boulder and Fort Collins. This poll actually shows a majority if Coloradans supporting fracking. In a delicious twist of irony, the liberal governor has threatened to sue any city that bans fracking, which has hurt him with the Democratic base.

The Clintons were never good in Colorado. This state is like the reverse of Arkansas for Hillary.

why have the Clintons had trouble in Colorado?

Guys, it's a bad poll. Ted Cruz is still Ted Cruz and Hillary Clinton is still one of the most popular politicians in the country.

Besides, Quinnipiac was showing the Republicans overperforming in Colorado even before the strange drop in Obama's numbers recently.

Also, didn't Quinnipiac show Romney winning last year?

Yeah. This is about where Obama was in CO in terms of job approval this time in 2009.

Quinnipiac polls only Northeastern and swing states.  Barack Obama is way down in the polls for now, and probably as low as he will ever get. This is what one can expect when the President's approval rating is around 40%. It does not poll any former-Confederate states except Florida and Virginia. Just imagine how low its approvals of President Obama would be from Texas or Alabama. PPP has polled such states as Idaho, Utah, and Wyoming.

There's some question of whether President Obama will take the Democratic party down with him... and of course whether President Obama will stay down in the polls. He was in roughly the same territory about three and a half years ago before the 2010 Tea Party election. His approvals returned to about 50% before the 2012 election.

...Is there some 'profound conservative revival' in Colorado, let alone nationwide?  I doubt it. PPP just released a poll of Mississippi, a profoundly-conservative state culturally and otherwise (only 22% of the electorate would approve of the legalization of same-sex marriage). Hillary Clinton has no reasonable chance of winning the state, but she is not down by the 20% or so margins that President Obama lost by. The Colorado Right is very loud. The Democratic Senator (Udall) up for re-election in 2016 isn't in obvious danger, and Governor Hickenlooper is afloat.
 

Bill Clinton won 70% of the electoral college vote in 1996.  Colorado was in the 30%.

Christie and Hillary may well both be paper tigers, so they could cancel each other out. Nevertheless, she's an awful fit for the state.

I don't live in Colorado nor am I a political geography expert, but my best guess is that Colorado is simply following the Western anti-establishment/pro-libertarian streak of the Democratic Party.  A 2008 Hillary vs. Christie map will be very interesting, especially the swing map.

Some of the weighting is questionable. Sure, Christie is a strong fit in CO but Hillary will not lose the state if she loses whites by only 10. Obama lost them 54-44 and won by over 5. Q has been somewhat GOP biased in Colorado for awhile, kind of interesting but their previous polls back this up. That said, Hillary may have friendlier terrain in VA and FL.

So apparently Mississippi is now only two points more Republican than Colorado.

One (or both) of these polls are dead wrong.