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Title: NC-PPP: Tossup with all except Cruz Post by: Miles on January 16, 2014, 02:35:05 PM Report. (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_NC_115.pdf)
Christie- 43% Clinton -42% Clinton- 46% Bush- 44% Clinton- 47% Cruz- 41% Clinton- 47% Paul- 43% Title: Re: NC-PPP: Tossup with all except Cruz Post by: pbrower2a on January 17, 2014, 11:20:50 AM It looks like 2012 again if Christie is the GOP nominee and Clinton is the Republican nominee. It looks like a landslide if Clinton is the Democratic nominee and someone other than Christie is the Republican nominee.
Title: Re: NC-PPP: Tossup with all except Cruz Post by: IceSpear on January 17, 2014, 11:43:50 AM It looks like 2012 again if Christie is the GOP nominee and Clinton is the Republican nominee. It looks like a landslide if Clinton is the Democratic nominee and someone other than Christie is the Republican nominee. Most Christie vs. Clinton matchups have a lot of undecideds though, so there's more room for it to swing one way or the other. Title: Re: NC-PPP: Tossup with all except Cruz Post by: MATTROSE94 on January 18, 2014, 05:31:22 PM Keep in mind that North Carolina has a very unpopular Republican governor and asomewhat unpopular Republican Senator up for re-election in 2016. If their popularity continues to decline to the pointwhere they are almost assured to lose re-election, then Hillary Clinton could have some reverse coattails that allow her to win the state by a better than expected margin.
Title: Re: NC-PPP: Tossup with all except Cruz Post by: moderatevoter on January 18, 2014, 06:14:58 PM Keep in mind that North Carolina has a very unpopular Republican governor and asomewhat unpopular Republican Senator up for re-election in 2016. If their popularity continues to decline to the pointwhere they are almost assured to lose re-election, then Hillary Clinton could have some reverse coattails that allow her to win the state by a better than expected margin. From what I'm understanding, I wouldn't call Burr "unpopular." I think he's more anonymous, than unpopular. Both Senators from NC seem to be "Generic D" or "Generic R," so I think both of their fates ultimately get tied into the national environment more than anything else. Title: Re: NC-PPP: Tossup with all except Cruz Post by: MATTROSE94 on January 18, 2014, 06:42:43 PM Keep in mind that North Carolina has a very unpopular Republican governor and asomewhat unpopular Republican Senator up for re-election in 2016. If their popularity continues to decline to the pointwhere they are almost assured to lose re-election, then Hillary Clinton could have some reverse coattails that allow her to win the state by a better than expected margin. From what I'm understanding, I wouldn't call Burr "unpopular." I think he's more anonymous, than unpopular. Both Senators from NC seem to be "Generic D" or "Generic R," so I think both of their fates ultimately get tied into the national environment more than anything else. |