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Election Archive => 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: RogueBeaver on January 22, 2014, 06:44:36 am



Title: FL-PPP: Crist up 2
Post by: RogueBeaver on January 22, 2014, 06:44:36 am
43/41. Scott's at 36/51 disapprove, Crist at 36/46. (http://images.politico.com/global/2014/01/21/flgovresults.html) Might a "who do you hate slightly less" strategy work for Scott? Mini-VA. :P


Title: Re: FL-PPP: Crist up 2
Post by: Flake on January 22, 2014, 06:46:58 am
:I


Title: Re: FL-PPP: Crist up 2
Post by: morgieb on January 22, 2014, 06:55:37 am
I'm not one to judge polls, but this seems off in comparison to the ones I've seen.

And actually this poll seems Democratic-leaning. What's caused such a fall for Crist?


Title: Re: FL-PPP: Crist up 2
Post by: Tender Branson on January 22, 2014, 06:57:37 am
I'm not one to judge polls, but this seems off in comparison to the ones I've seen.

And actually this poll seems Democratic-leaning. What's caused such a fall for Crist?

He only has 66% of Democrats.

20% of them back Scott ? Laughable. Scott can be happy if he gets 10% of them in the end.


Title: Re: FL-PPP: Crist up 2
Post by: Tender Branson on January 22, 2014, 07:04:16 am
This poll actually understates Crist's lead by at least 6 points (assuming 81% of Dems back Crist):

The last Quinnipiac poll had Crist at 86% with Democrats, this poll has an abnormally low 66%.

With 86%, his lead increases by about 8 points to a 10-point lead.

Must be a weird Democratic sample.


Title: Re: FL-PPP: Crist up 2
Post by: olowakandi on January 22, 2014, 07:07:31 am
It's gonna come down to MI, Pa and FL as well as ME as to which are the three most likely inc are gonna go down and we need MI more than FL to keep control of Senate. Crist is a turncoat, that might be reflected in soft Dem support.


Title: Re: FL-PPP: Crist up 2
Post by: Landslide Lyndon on January 22, 2014, 07:26:41 am
This poll actually understates Crist's lead by at least 6 points (assuming 81% of Dems back Crist):

The last Quinnipiac poll had Crist at 86% with Democrats, this poll has an abnormally low 66%.

With 86%, his lead increases by about 8 points to a 10-point lead.

Must be a weird Democratic sample.

Yeah, in the end no matter how many reservations partisan Democrats have regarding Crist, they will vote for him. Scott is just too hated by everybody to survive.


Title: Re: FL-PPP: Crist up 2
Post by: IceSpear on January 22, 2014, 11:35:02 am
Looks like an outlier. 20% of Democrats will not vote for Scott.


Title: Re: FL-PPP: Crist up 2
Post by: King Francis I on January 22, 2014, 11:40:31 am
43/41. Scott's at 36/51 disapprove, Crist at 36/46. (http://images.politico.com/global/2014/01/21/flgovresults.html) Might a "who do you hate slightly less" strategy work for Scott? Mini-VA. :P

Well, maybe Scott will be  our 2014 Reid :P


Title: FL: Public Policy Polling: Crist +2
Post by: Miles on January 22, 2014, 01:35:15 pm
New Poll: Florida Governor by Public Policy Polling on 2014-01-21 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=1220140121108)

Summary: D: 43%, R: 41%, U: 15%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_FL_122.pdf)


Title: Re: FL-PPP: Crist up 2
Post by: ElectionsGuy on January 22, 2014, 10:23:49 pm
Realistic approvals, however I expect Crist to be up by a little more.


Title: Re: FL-PPP: Crist up 2
Post by: Mayor Steve Pearce on January 22, 2014, 10:31:00 pm
I'm not one to judge polls, but this seems off in comparison to the ones I've seen.

And actually this poll seems Democratic-leaning. What's caused such a fall for Crist?

People realize he's an opportunist.