Talk Elections

Tillis 47, Hagan 40

Brannon 43, Hagan 39

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/north_carolina/election_2014_north_carolina_senate

I would have liked to see Harris tested. This will change once their 'Generic R' veneer fades away.

New Poll: North Carolina Senator by Rasmussen on 2014-01-23 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=37220140123016)

Summary: D: 40%, R: 47%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/north_carolina/election_2014_north_carolina_senate)

The strangest thing about this is that PPP has Obama's approval much lower, but Hagan doing much better. This has Obama's approval as break even (49-49) but Hagan doing much worse. I'm more inclined to believe the former.

Ouch. Wasn't expecting her to be this much down. But maybe this is an exceptional poll.

Bye.

And santorum will win :p

(Phil says that water is wet.)

"LOL AND SANTORUM WILL WIN RIGHT?! BWAHAHA MORON!"

Great news!

One poll 10 months out is as irrefutable or unchangeable as water being wet? ???

The basic point is that the running joke of basically tying everything Phil says to Santorum's `06 loss is getting pretty old.

Though it is worth noting that Santorum never even led against Casey Jr.

Perfect Moderate Hero post. Bravo.

But thank you for correcting the comment that so brutally twisted what I was getting at.

You're not ready for the Hagan slayage.

Given your post, I'm not sure this is getting pretty old.

Welcome to the neighborhood. Krazen will be waiting for you in the land of Make Believe!

And whether that Tillis +7 lead is true or not, it won't last long. The NC Legislature recently just started back and by summer time, they're likely to get national attention and more bad publicity over their extremities. Brannon is possibly even worse and will destroy himself. This will hurt Republicans here as will the competitive, "Who can be more krazey?" primary. Let's also keep in mind, this is Jesse Helms old seat, so I'm going to hope NC doesn't do something stupid that they know they would regret and place some racist neocon in there again. Hagan will hold on. I'm calling it. It will be the 2012 McCaskill seat of 2014.

What happened with Rasmussen though? ??? They got rid of Scotty back in July, yet this poll looks like something he would be responsible for.

Let's stop saying "Santorum will win". I'll start saying "and Sarkozy will win. Mark my words" =P.

I said, "Sarkozy will be re- elected"...and he will be. You can thank me later.

Still a long way from midnight, but it's not looking good for Ds in R-states.

Unless the GOP nominee starts opining on the female reproductive system, the turnout in a midterm will likely doom Hagan. Dems' best chance to hold the Senate is by holding Louisiana, Michigan, and Alaska.

Unless the GOP nominee starts opining on the female reproductive system, the turnout in a midterm will likely doom Hagan. Dems' best chance to hold the Senate is by holding Louisiana, Michigan or Mnt, Alaska, and winning KY or NC.

Not at all. A lot of Democrats/Independents who don't normally vote in the midterms are angry and will be trying to vote out the Republicans in the general assembly and a lot of them will probably vote for Hagan (and anyone else with a D).

Hagan's biggest task is to get the marginal Romney voters (especially Obama 2008/Romney 2012) to vote for her.

I'm also wondering this. They're Generic Congressional Ballot and Approval Rating Polls have been pretty D-friendly, but this poll is way R-friendly.

Imprisoned people don't get reelected :P Let's talk about this in 2017...

We'll see. Edwin Edwards is eyein' a comeback.

Moderate Hero wasn't my aim - my goal with the second part wasn't to "rub it in" like so many has. My goal was just to point out that not only is it an old "joke", but it doesn't even make sense or apply to this race.

Dominating!