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Election Archive => 2014 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Tender Branson on February 06, 2014, 12:08:45 pm



Title: CO-Quinnipiac: Udall already sees GOP opponents in his rear-view mirror
Post by: Tender Branson on February 06, 2014, 12:08:45 pm
43-41 Udall/Baumgardner
43-41 Udall/Stephens
45-42 Udall/Buck
44-39 Udall/Hill
45-38 Udall/McMillan

With large gender gaps, Colorado voters approve 45 - 41 percent of the job Sen. Mark Udall is doing, but are divided 42 - 42 percent on whether he deserves reelection this year. Women approve 51 - 32 percent and say 48 - 31 percent he deserves reelection. Men disapprove 49 - 40 percent and say 52 - 36 percent he does not deserve reelection.

"Democratic incumbent U.S. Sen. Mark Udall may be the front-runner, but he can hear the footsteps of three challengers, all within a few percentage points of him," Malloy said.

Colorado voters disapprove 59 - 37 percent of the job President Barack Obama is doing, close to his worst approval rating in any Quinnipiac University state or national poll since he was elected. Men disapprove 67 - 32 percent while women disapprove 51 - 44 percent

Colorado voters support 67 - 31 percent raising the national minimum wage. The only negative is from Republicans who are opposed 52 - 44 percent. Offered several options:

33 percent say increase the minimum wage to $10.10 per hour;
14 percent say increase it beyond the current $7.25 to something less than $10.10;
18 percent say increase it to more than $10.10;
31 percent say don't increase the minimum wage.

Colorado voters oppose the 2010 Affordable Care Act 60 - 37 percent.

From January 29 - February 2, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,139 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.  

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/colorado/release-detail?ReleaseID=2004


Title: Re: CO-Quinnipiac: Udall already sees GOP opponents as a trouble
Post by: 5280 on February 06, 2014, 12:32:47 pm
Fixed your title, secondly Udall is vulnerable.  Stop up playing the polls for your own benefit.


Title: Re: CO-Quinnipiac: Udall already sees GOP opponents as a trouble
Post by: Tender Branson on February 06, 2014, 12:35:34 pm
Secondly Udall is vulnerable.

That's exactly what I wrote in my title ...


Title: Re: CO-Quinnipiac: Udall already sees GOP opponents as a trouble
Post by: backtored on February 06, 2014, 01:42:15 pm
Fixed your title, secondly Udall is vulnerable.  Stop up playing the polls for your own benefit.

Especially when they look pretty bad for Udall, who is looking like one if the five most vulnerable Dem senators at this point. Were it not for a weak GOP field and a massive war chest, he would be in very bad shape.


Title: Re: CO-Quinnipiac: Udall already sees GOP opponents in his rear-view mirror
Post by: olowakandi on February 06, 2014, 02:20:55 pm
Hickenlooper won't lose to Tancredo but Buck can definitely win.


Title: Re: CO-Quinnipiac: Udall already sees GOP opponents in his rear-view mirror
Post by: olowakandi on February 06, 2014, 03:00:43 pm
We will have to wait until Rassy polls CO to see just how vulnerable D's are in CO.


Title: Re: CO-Quinnipiac: Udall already sees GOP opponents in his rear-view mirror
Post by: henster on February 06, 2014, 03:15:42 pm
Dems seem to always over perform their poll numbers in CO and I don't believe Buck is within 3 points of Udall for a second.


Title: Re: CO-Quinnipiac: Udall already sees GOP opponents in his rear-view mirror
Post by: morgieb on February 06, 2014, 06:40:38 pm
Odd that Qunnipiac had Hickenlooper looking decent but Udall in a sh**t load of trouble.


Title: Re: CO-Quinnipiac: Udall already sees GOP opponents in his rear-view mirror
Post by: henster on February 06, 2014, 06:46:28 pm
Buck couldn't even knock Bennett off in the wave why do you think he'd take out Udall.


Title: Re: CO-Quinnipiac: Udall already sees GOP opponents in his rear-view mirror
Post by: SamInTheSouth on February 06, 2014, 06:57:13 pm
I never considered Udall to be in that much trouble.  He certainly can lose, but he wasn't at the top of my list.  I suppose he could end up being this year's Russ Feingold.


Title: CO: Quinnipiac University: Udall with Slight Lead in Colorado
Post by: Dave Leip on February 06, 2014, 09:07:34 pm
New Poll: Colorado Senator by Quinnipiac University on 2014-02-02 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=8220140202015)

Summary: D: 44%, R: 41%, U: 14%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/colorado/release-detail?ReleaseID=2004)


Title: Re: CO-Quinnipiac: Udall already sees GOP opponents in his rear-view mirror
Post by: ElectionsGuy on February 07, 2014, 12:11:01 am
I'm surprised by how massive the gender gap is. And voters disapprove of Obama 59-37? Considering Obama won 51% of the vote here in 2012, that's really bad. I think Udall is likely to win but he has to hold his ground and/or hope republicans screw up with Buck.

I never considered Udall to be in that much trouble.  He certainly can lose, but he wasn't at the top of my list.  I suppose he could end up being this year's Russ Feingold.

Eh, I think that title would be more applicable to Begich, Landrieu or Hagan. More likely Udall will resemble Nevada 2010 where Harry Reid won by 5 points against a horrible opponent.

Fixed your title, secondly Udall is vulnerable.  Stop up playing the polls for your own benefit.

Um.... he's not "playing the polls". He's reporting facts.


Title: Re: CO-Quinnipiac: Udall already sees GOP opponents in his rear-view mirror
Post by: 5280 on February 07, 2014, 03:22:47 am
Ok, so he is reporting the facts, that's good.  The title is off track though.


Title: Re: CO-Quinnipiac: Udall already sees GOP opponents in his rear-view mirror
Post by: publicunofficial on February 07, 2014, 04:04:51 am
Ok, so he is reporting the facts, that's good.  The title is off track though.


So when Hickenlooper and Udall win re-election, and Coffman is defeated, will you flee to Wyoming and admit Colorado has been seized by the Californians?


Title: Re: CO-Quinnipiac: Udall already sees GOP opponents in his rear-view mirror
Post by: King Francis I on February 07, 2014, 04:10:00 am
Of course he can be beaten but not with Buck


Title: Re: CO-Quinnipiac: Udall already sees GOP opponents in his rear-view mirror
Post by: 5280 on February 07, 2014, 12:34:32 pm
Ok, so he is reporting the facts, that's good.  The title is off track though.


So when Hickenlooper and Udall win re-election, and Coffman is defeated, will you flee to Wyoming and admit Colorado has been seized by the Californians?
I'm not moving to Wyoming, why should I move because some politically polarizing people move from California to Colorado?  Nobody is forcing me to move, I stand my ground.


Title: Re: CO-Quinnipiac: Udall already sees GOP opponents in his rear-view mirror
Post by: backtored on February 07, 2014, 01:14:22 pm
Ok, so he is reporting the facts, that's good.  The title is off track though.


So when Hickenlooper and Udall win re-election, and Coffman is defeated, will you flee to Wyoming and admit Colorado has been seized by the Californians?

Yes, I would admit that, though I wouldn't move,  because it would take forcible seizure by California to get Udall, Hick, and Romanoff elected. Worst case for the GOP is losing Senate and Gov. Romanoff won't win without a substantial Democratic wave. If anything, we're looking at a GOP wave nationally, and an even bigger one locally. The polling turned dramatically against the Democrats once they started going bonkers in the legislature.

Right now I'd say that they'll win at least the state senate and everything else would stay the same. That is a really conservative prediction based on how badly the GOP under performs here. But a win against Udall or even a clean sweep is completely within the realm of possibility.

Why? Because, you know, we haven't been seized by Californians after all.


Title: Re: CO-Quinnipiac: Udall already sees GOP opponents in his rear-view mirror
Post by: King on February 07, 2014, 02:44:43 pm
The Udalls are good enough at this whole political thing that a slight lead this far out likely means a solid victory.


Title: Re: CO-Quinnipiac: Udall already sees GOP opponents in his rear-view mirror
Post by: sg0508 on February 13, 2014, 08:44:26 am
Udall: 56-43% in November
Hickenlooper: 53-44% in November

I'm leaving a few points for third parties.  The races won't be that competitive.


Title: Re: CO-Quinnipiac: Udall already sees GOP opponents in his rear-view mirror
Post by: pbrower2a on February 25, 2014, 04:11:01 pm
Colorado usually breaks late for Democrats.