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Title: MI-PPP: Peters (D) surges to 5-point lead Post by: Tender Branson on April 08, 2014, 10:14:27 AM Gary Peters..................................................... 41%
Terri Lynn Land ............................................... 36% Quote PPP's newest Michigan poll finds that Gary Peters has reclaimed the lead over Terri Lynn Land in the Senate race as perceptions about the rollout of Obamacare have dramatically improved during the last four months. In early December Land led Peters by a 2 point margin in our polling. Now Peters is ahead by 5 points at 41/36. The race has moved largely because what was a 17 point lead for Land with independents is now a tie between the two candidates. Early attacks ads on Land have taken a toll on her favorability rating- it's declined a net 14 points since our last poll from a +11 spread at 34/23 to now a -3 spread at 28/31. There hasn't been much change in feelings about Peters with voters who have an opinion about him still pretty evenly divided. One thing that's helped make the terrain better for Peters as he tries to keep the seat Democratic is that opinions about how the Obamacare rollout has gone have improved dramatically since our last poll. In December 63% of voters rated the rollout as having been unsuccessful, compared to just 30% who thought it had gone well. Now it's down to 52% who rate the rollout as unsuccessful with those saying it's been a success up to 40%. Voters are still opposed to the Affordable Care Act overall- 37% support it to 48% who are opposed- but it's not as problematic an issue for Democrats as it was late last year. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_MI_408.pdf Title: Re: MI-PPP: Peters (D) surges to 5-point lead Post by: RogueBeaver on April 08, 2014, 10:24:29 AM A bit earlier than expected, but I still expect Peters to win by 6-8. LOL @ those who say this is in league with CO/IA.
Title: Re: MI-PPP: Peters (D) surges to 5-point lead Post by: Lief 🗽 on April 08, 2014, 10:33:42 AM This race is not competitive. Michigan always does this song and dance a year before the election (though part of it is because of the bizarre abundance of horrible, Republican-leaning Michigan polling firms), but in the end Peters will win comfortably enough.
Title: Re: MI-PPP: Peters (D) surges to 5-point lead Post by: DrScholl on April 08, 2014, 10:40:39 AM Not a toss-up.
Title: Re: MI-PPP: Peters (D) surges to 5-point lead Post by: Vosem on April 08, 2014, 05:20:05 PM Weird outlier result (especially considering the lack of corresponding movement in the Governor's race), but PPP is generally a good pollster. I'd want to see some other poll agreeing, but while it's possible that Peters leads now, there are still certain advantages that Land has, like a strong upper ticket and much greater electoral experience, that will enable her to compete to the end, and this remains one of the best Republican opportunities on Obama territory. (And the reason it's "one of the" instead of "the" is not because it has gotten less competitive, but because of events elsewhere, notably Braley's gaffing and the recruitment of Gardner).
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