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Election Archive => 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: Tender Branson on April 24, 2014, 01:03:40 pm



Title: WI-PPP: Hillary leads everyone
Post by: Tender Branson on April 24, 2014, 01:03:40 pm
April 17-20, 2014 - Survey of 1,144 Wisconsin voters:

Hillary Clinton.................................................. 50%
Paul Ryan ....................................................... 45%

Hillary Clinton.................................................. 51%
Scott Walker ................................................... 44%

Hillary Clinton.................................................. 50%
Rand Paul ....................................................... 39%

Hillary Clinton.................................................. 50%
Jeb Bush......................................................... 39%

Hillary Clinton.................................................. 50%
Mike Huckabee ............................................... 38%

Hillary Clinton.................................................. 49%
Chris Christie .................................................. 36%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_WI_424.pdf


Title: Re: WI-PPP: Hillary leads everyone
Post by: eric82oslo on April 24, 2014, 02:23:12 pm
Truely amazing numbers.
I guess this will put to rest the Walker euphoria once and for all. :P


Title: Re: WI-PPP: Hillary leads everyone
Post by: Lief 🐋 on April 24, 2014, 04:04:49 pm
Not surprising that Midwesterners don't like a loudmouth asshole like Christie.


Title: Re: WI-PPP: Hillary leads everyone
Post by: IceSpear on April 24, 2014, 04:23:37 pm
#Dominating


Title: Re: WI-PPP: Hillary leads everyone
Post by: pbrower2a on April 24, 2014, 09:51:56 pm
Truely amazing numbers.
I guess this will put to rest the Walker euphoria once and for all. :P

I asked PPP to poll on Walker vs. Clinton.  See the comments.

In my case it was more morbid curiosity about whether Scott Walker could establish a 'heroic crusade' against liberalism.

I also suggested the baseball preference. After 'only' 40-some years the Brewers are about as well-entrenched in Wisconsin as the Detroit Tigers are entrenched in Michigan after a century.


Title: Re: WI-PPP: Hillary leads everyone
Post by: pbrower2a on April 24, 2014, 10:10:35 pm
Truely amazing numbers.
I guess this will put to rest the Walker euphoria once and for all. :P

The Favorite Son effect is usually worth about 10% -- before-after (both ways -- see Texas between 1996 and 2008), neighboring-but-similar states (contrast Michigan and Ohio in 1976), and effective campaigns/candidates vs. ineffective campaigns/candidates. South Dakota was one of the strongest states for George McGovern in 1972. The only condition in which it seems to not apply is max-out situations (Obama actually outdid Kerry in Massachusetts).


From Iowa came one portent:

45.9% HILLARY CLINTON
40.4% SCOTT WALKER

by a right-wing media site.

Republicans aren't going to lose Iowa by 6% or Wisconsin by 7% and win the Presidential election. 


Title: Re: WI-PPP: Hillary leads everyone
Post by: Mr. Morden on April 24, 2014, 11:51:27 pm
favorability of Paul Ryan:
favorable: 45%
unfavorable: 44%

Should Ryan run for president?
yes 33%
no 52%

Should Walker run for president?
yes 29%
no 61%