Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Miles on May 27, 2014, 11:40:58 PM



Title: MI: Glengariff Group: Peters (D) leads but 25% undecided
Post by: Miles on May 27, 2014, 11:40:58 PM
Report. (http://www.clickondetroit.com/blob/view/-/26187796/data/2/-/12gk7m6/-/Michigan-races-and-mood-Questions-4-15-pdf.pdf)

Peters (D)- 40%
Land (R)- 35%
Unsure- 25%


Title: Re: MI: Glengariff Group: Peters (D) leads but 25% undecided
Post by: Lief 🗽 on May 28, 2014, 12:00:37 AM
Safe D.


Title: Re: MI: Glengariff Group: Peters (D) leads but 25% undecided
Post by: windjammer on May 28, 2014, 05:07:21 AM
Glengariff Group? Good pollster?


Title: Re: MI: Glengariff Group: Peters (D) leads but 25% undecided
Post by: JRP1994 on May 28, 2014, 08:20:59 AM

Their final 2012 poll (5/10 - 5/11) showed Obama +5% (45% to 40%)


Title: Re: MI: Glengariff Group: Peters (D) leads but 25% undecided
Post by: Oldiesfreak1854 on May 28, 2014, 08:32:51 AM
I'm pretty skeptical of this.  I still rate this as a Toss-up, and I guarantee it will be close.


Title: Re: MI: Glengariff Group: Peters (D) leads but 25% undecided
Post by: Gass3268 on May 28, 2014, 08:46:51 AM


Title: Re: MI: Glengariff Group: Peters (D) leads but 25% undecided
Post by: windjammer on May 28, 2014, 09:04:12 AM
Please :D


Title: Re: MI: Glengariff Group: Peters (D) leads but 25% undecided
Post by: RogueBeaver on May 28, 2014, 09:05:37 AM
This was always Likely D.


Title: Re: MI: Glengariff Group: Peters (D) leads but 25% undecided
Post by: Person Man on May 28, 2014, 09:07:34 AM
I'd think this race would a good candidate as a harbinger for 2016 or is Peters a poor candidate or Land pretty moderate?


Title: Re: MI: Glengariff Group: Peters (D) leads but 25% undecided
Post by: Niemeyerite on May 28, 2014, 01:49:14 PM
I'm pretty skeptical of this.  I still rate this as a Toss-up, and I guarantee it will be close.

Yes, in the same way OH-Gov is a toss-up for AdamFitzGewahetever.


Title: Re: MI: Glengariff Group: Peters (D) leads but 25% undecided
Post by: publicunofficial on May 28, 2014, 02:42:17 PM
I'd think this race would a good candidate as a harbinger for 2016 or is Peters a poor candidate or Land pretty moderate?


Land has statewide recognition, Peters was only known to the citizens of his CD aka 1/14th of the state. As Peters' recognition has gone up, so has his numbers against Land. Something every non-hack knew would happen as soon as this race started.


Title: Re: MI: Glengariff Group: Peters (D) leads but 25% undecided
Post by: windjammer on May 28, 2014, 02:43:35 PM
I think this pollster is relatively accurate (they polled the gubernational as well: Snyder +10 with of course many undecided)


Title: MI: Glengariff Group: Slight Lead for Peters in Michigan
Post by: ElectionAtlas on May 28, 2014, 04:49:29 PM
New Poll: Michigan Senator by Glengariff Group on 2014-05-22 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=26220140522149)

Summary: D: 40%, R: 35%, U: 25%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.clickondetroit.com/blob/view/-/26187796/data/2/-/12gk7m6/-/Michigan-races-and-mood-Questions-4-15-pdf.pdf)


Title: Re: MI: Glengariff Group: Peters (D) leads but 25% undecided
Post by: Person Man on May 28, 2014, 05:30:01 PM
I'd think this race would a good candidate as a harbinger for 2016 or is Peters a poor candidate or Land pretty moderate?


Land has statewide recognition, Peters was only known to the citizens of his CD aka 1/14th of the state. As Peters' recognition has gone up, so has his numbers against Land. Something every non-hack knew would happen as soon as this race started.

I see. So, this is a race where most undecideds will go with one candidate over another.


Title: Re: MI: Glengariff Group: Peters (D) leads but 25% undecided
Post by: dmmidmi on May 30, 2014, 12:27:18 PM
I'd think this race would a good candidate as a harbinger for 2016 or is Peters a poor candidate or Land pretty moderate?


Land has statewide recognition, Peters was only known to the citizens of his CD aka 1/14th of the state. As Peters' recognition has gone up, so has his numbers against Land. Something every non-hack knew would happen as soon as this race started.

This, pretty much. Peters' name recognition was probably slightly higher than the 400,000 people in his district, but not by much.

Now that people are learning who he is, he's starting to lead in polls. This isn't surprising, and will likely continue to be the trend.