Talk Elections

Secretary Clinton tops Governor-next-door Christie 45 - 41 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. She leads 51 - 37 percent among women, while men go to Christie 45 - 38 percent.

The Democrat tops other Republicans:

    51 - 37 percent over U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky. Women back Clinton 56 - 30 percent while men are divided 45 - 45 percent;
    51 - 36 percent over former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee. Clinton leads 56 - 32 percent among women and 46 - 41 percent among men;
    51 - 35 percent over former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, including 57 - 31 percent among women and 45 - 39 percent among men;
    50 - 38 percent over U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin. Women go Democratic 55 - 31 percent, while men are divided, with 44 percent for Clinton and 45 percent for Ryan.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/pennsylvania/release-detail?ReleaseID=2048

Clinton 45%
Christie 41%

Clinton 51%
Paul 37%

Clinton 51%
Huckabee 36%

Clinton 51%
Bush 35%

Clinton 50%
Ryan 38%

Why are PAns still riding the Christie-train (that has already derailed) ?

Probably a fair few like what he's done as governor and are willing to look past his scandals.

fav / unfav %

Clinton 55/40% for +15%
Christie 45/36% for +9%
Huckabee 31/30% for +1%
Ryan 32/33% for -1%
Paul 29/33% for -4%
Bush 27/36% for -9%

I addressed this question in the last PA poll that Christie was doing well in: First, his name recognition is higher here than in most other states, so he's inevitably going to do better.  Second, in most of the country, he's largely defined by Bridgeghazi now.  But in the Philly media market, he's actually covered in terms of his job as governor, not just that one event.  Look at NJ itself, where his job approval is now even, even though it's a Democratic state.

Christie vs. Clinton by party:
Dems: Clinton +69%
GOP: Christie +65%
Indies: Christie +10%

Christie vs. Clinton by age:
18-29: Clinton +3%
30-49: Clinton +7%
50-64: Clinton +7%
65+: Clinton +4%

Christie fav/unfav by party:
Dems: 30/52% for -22%
GOP: 64/18% for +46%
Indies: 48/31% for +17%

"His" scandals?  The correct answer is that the only people who are clinging to the bridge incident are Democrats who wouldn't want to face a recovered Christie.

So Republicans can either nominate Bush and be screwed in PA, or nominate Christie and be screwed in FL. Or nominate somebody else and be screwed everywhere. Wonderful news!