Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: IceSpear on June 08, 2014, 03:00:03 AM



Title: Washington Post National: Hillary leads all by double digits
Post by: IceSpear on June 08, 2014, 03:00:03 AM
Clinton 53
Paul 43

Clinton 53
Bush 41

Clinton 53
Christie 41

http://apps.washingtonpost.com/g/page/national/poll-hillary-clinton-a-strong-leader/1087/


Title: Re: Washington Post National: Hillary leads all by double digits
Post by: Frozen Sky Ever Why on June 08, 2014, 07:41:12 AM
Has any non-incumbent candidate ever started out this strong, this early out?


Title: Re: Washington Post National: Hillary leads all by double digits
Post by: Maxwell on June 08, 2014, 03:05:52 PM
Rand Paul proving once again to be the most electable candidate.


Title: Re: Washington Post National: Hillary leads all by double digits
Post by: Beet on June 08, 2014, 03:23:24 PM
Has any non-incumbent candidate ever started out this strong, this early out?

In September 1999 (http://cgi.cnn.com/ALLPOLITICS/stories/1999/09/15/president.2000/poll/), Bush led Gore 56 to 39, and Bill Bradley 57 to 37.


Title: Re: Washington Post National: Hillary leads all by double digits
Post by: Frozen Sky Ever Why on June 08, 2014, 04:11:42 PM
Has any non-incumbent candidate ever started out this strong, this early out?

In September 1999 (http://cgi.cnn.com/ALLPOLITICS/stories/1999/09/15/president.2000/poll/), Bush led Gore 56 to 39, and Bill Bradley 57 to 37.

Maybe I'm becoming beyond hackish at this point, but I don't think the situations are that similar because everyone in America already has an opinion on Hillary and is very familiar with her. Bush certainly wasn't in that position in 1999.


Title: Re: Washington Post National: Hillary leads all by double digits
Post by: IceSpear on June 08, 2014, 04:20:57 PM
Has any non-incumbent candidate ever started out this strong, this early out?

In September 1999 (http://cgi.cnn.com/ALLPOLITICS/stories/1999/09/15/president.2000/poll/), Bush led Gore 56 to 39, and Bill Bradley 57 to 37.

Maybe I'm becoming beyond hackish at this point, but I don't think the situations are that similar because everyone in America already has an opinion on Hillary and is very familiar with her. Bush certainly wasn't in that position in 1999.

The argument could be made that greatly increased political polarization has increased the value of early polls.


Title: Re: Washington Post National: Hillary leads all by double digits
Post by: Maxwell on June 08, 2014, 04:52:10 PM
Has any non-incumbent candidate ever started out this strong, this early out?

In September 1999 (http://cgi.cnn.com/ALLPOLITICS/stories/1999/09/15/president.2000/poll/), Bush led Gore 56 to 39, and Bill Bradley 57 to 37.

Maybe I'm becoming beyond hackish at this point, but I don't think the situations are that similar because everyone in America already has an opinion on Hillary and is very familiar with her. Bush certainly wasn't in that position in 1999.

Everyone knew who Gore was though, and they were soundly rejecting him. Bush had the added advantage of his name, and while he wasn't in as solid of a place name-wise as Hillary, he was pretty solid by mid-late 1999.


Title: Re: Washington Post National: Hillary leads all by double digits
Post by: King on June 08, 2014, 05:11:45 PM
Christie, Paul, and Bush probably have similar name recognition to VP Gore.

They have similar name recognition to VP Biden.


Title: Re: Washington Post National: Hillary leads all by double digits
Post by: pbrower2a on June 08, 2014, 05:44:34 PM
Has any non-incumbent candidate ever started out this strong, this early out?

Eisenhower in 1952 -- maybe.


Title: Re: Washington Post National: Hillary leads all by double digits
Post by: Bandit3 the Worker on June 09, 2014, 10:20:42 AM
Has any non-incumbent candidate ever started out this strong, this early out?

Eisenhower apparently did.


Title: Re: Washington Post National: Hillary leads all by double digits
Post by: Maxwell on June 11, 2014, 07:58:26 AM
Michael Dukakis led Bush by 17. That didn't pan out.


Title: Re: Washington Post National: Hillary leads all by double digits
Post by: King on June 11, 2014, 07:37:48 PM
Michael Dukakis led Bush by 17. That didn't pan out.

Dukakis lead the incumbent Vice President by 17 after a stock market crash where Reagan's popularity dipped significantly.