Title: HI-Civil Beat: Ige up 11 Post by: RogueBeaver on June 12, 2014, 07:17:08 PM 48/37 though they caution the lead is anti-Abercrombie, not pro-Ige. (http://www.civilbeat.com/2014/06/ige-holds-healthy-lead-over-abercrombie-in-hawaii-governors-race/) Ergo still fluid, for a guy who hasn't aired any TV ads.
Title: Re: HI-Civil Beat: Ige up 17 Post by: Miles on June 12, 2014, 10:34:14 PM RRH has different numbers; 51/34 looks like disapproval/approval for Abercombie.
Quote Democratic Primary Governor Ige 48% Abercrombie 37% General Election Aiona (R) 33% Abercrombie (D) 27% Hanneman (I) 18% Aiona (R) 31% Ige (D) 31% Hanneman (I) 17% Title: Re: HI-Civil Beat: Ige up 17 Post by: Maxwell on June 12, 2014, 11:05:16 PM Thank you Mufi Hanneman :)
Title: Re: HI-Civil Beat: Ige up 11 Post by: Flake on June 15, 2014, 05:39:55 PM I did a bit of math and for every statewide election since 2010 (except for 2010 Senator, the Civil Beat didn't poll that), the Civil Beat has averaged 11.7% more republican in their final poll than the actual results :P (It ranged from 9% more republican to 15% republican), so it doesn't seem like a reputable polling source.
Title: Re: HI-Civil Beat: Ige up 11 Post by: TX Conservative Dem on June 23, 2014, 08:23:04 AM What did Abercrombie do to piss off Hawaiians ?
Title: Re: HI-Civil Beat: Ige up 11 Post by: SWE on June 23, 2014, 04:39:51 PM What did Abercrombie do to piss off Hawaiians ? Title: Re: HI-Civil Beat: Ige up 11 Post by: Miles on June 23, 2014, 04:49:43 PM What did Abercrombie do to piss off Hawaiians ? He made a bad first impression during his first year as Governor (http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2011/oct/11/hawaii-is-no-paradise-for-abercrombie/?page=all) and the old Asian guard has never liked him. Title: Re: HI-Civil Beat: Ige up 11 Post by: Bojack Horseman on July 07, 2014, 12:13:43 PM I'm not certain, but the thought of Duke Aiona as a governor scares me. Surprisingly with as big a lead as Ige has over Abercrombie, Aiona has a 17-point lead over Ige, but an 8-point lead over Abercrombie. In all fairness, those polls were taken from January-February
Title: Re: HI-Civil Beat: Ige up 11 Post by: Vega on July 18, 2014, 07:53:47 AM Bumping. Has there ever been an election recently in Hawaii Hannerman HASN'T run for?
That being said, Civil Beat is very iffy in their polling. Aiona really doesn't have much of a chance. There'd have to be a major scandal with the Democrats for the race to become a toss-up. Title: Re: HI-Civil Beat: Ige up 11 Post by: TX Conservative Dem on July 19, 2014, 10:58:36 AM If the Democrats lose the Hawaii Governor's Mansion in November to the GOP, I'm going to laugh .
Title: Re: HI-Civil Beat: Ige up 11 Post by: Vega on July 19, 2014, 11:00:31 AM If the Democrats lose the Hawaii Governor's Mansion in November to the GOP, I'm going to laugh . It's happened before. (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Linda_Lingle) |