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Title: GA: Rasmussen: Perdue (R) enters general election up 6 Post by: Miles on July 25, 2014, 11:18:30 AM Link. (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/georgia/election_2014_georgia_senate)
Perdue (R)- 46% Nunn (D)- 40% Title: Re: GA: Rasmussen: Perdue (R) enters general election up 6 Post by: Warren 4 Secretary of Everything on July 25, 2014, 11:22:33 AM That's way too big a bump to just come from him winning the primary.
Title: Re: GA: Rasmussen: Perdue (R) enters general election up 6 Post by: moderatevoter on July 25, 2014, 11:24:44 AM I'm certain Perdue will win, but nevertheless...
>Rasmussen Title: Re: GA: Rasmussen: Perdue (R) enters general election up 6 Post by: Tender Branson on July 25, 2014, 11:34:43 AM The polls in this race are bouncing around like sh*t.
I only trust SurveyUSA in GA. Title: Re: GA: Rasmussen: Perdue (R) enters general election up 6 Post by: Miles on July 25, 2014, 12:03:46 PM Rassy always had big primary bounces. Perdue might well be up, but only by a few points, IMO.
Title: Re: GA: Rasmussen: Perdue (R) enters general election up 6 Post by: Dixie Reborn on July 25, 2014, 12:27:29 PM I'm certain Perdue will win, but nevertheless... >Rasmussen Title: Re: GA: Rasmussen: Perdue (R) enters general election up 6 Post by: Adam Griffin on July 25, 2014, 06:47:20 PM Rassy has blacks at 25% in this poll. It was 28% in 2010 and 30% in 2008/2012...
Title: Re: GA: Rasmussen: Perdue (R) enters general election up 6 Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on July 25, 2014, 07:00:47 PM I think Rassy poll missed its mark. Nunn, I do believe is even or slightly ahead, despite what Rassy says.
Title: Re: GA: Rasmussen: Perdue (R) enters general election up 6 Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on July 25, 2014, 07:33:55 PM Rassy has blacks at 25% in this poll. It was 28% in 2010 and 30% in 2008/2012... While Black support probably drops modestly for Nunn when compared to Obama, the percentage of the electorate is probably more likely to be 27-29 than 25. Title: Re: GA: Rasmussen: Perdue (R) enters general election up 6 Post by: Miles on July 25, 2014, 07:44:31 PM ^ Cohn says the composition of the electorate will likely be similar to 2008.
30% is possible. Title: Re: GA: Rasmussen: Perdue (R) enters general election up 6 Post by: GaussLaw on July 25, 2014, 07:53:41 PM ^ Cohn says the composition of the electorate will likely be similar to 2008. 30% is possible. 2012 seems a bit more likely to me. Regardless, this is decent news for Perdue given that he just needs to keep Nunn under 50. Title: Re: GA: Rasmussen: Perdue (R) enters general election up 6 Post by: Never on July 25, 2014, 08:50:56 PM ^ Cohn says the composition of the electorate will likely be similar to 2008. 30% is possible. 2012 seems a bit more likely to me. Regardless, this is decent news for Perdue given that he just needs to keep Nunn under 50. I agree that lower black turnout than 2008 is more likely. 30% is definitely possible, but it's worth noting that Chambliss still beat back Martin in November '08 by three points with that number, and if a runoff happens this election, turnout will surely nosedive, largely to the benefit of Perdue. Title: Re: GA: Rasmussen: Perdue (R) enters general election up 6 Post by: Adam Griffin on July 26, 2014, 12:06:34 PM ^ Cohn says the composition of the electorate will likely be similar to 2008. 30% is possible. 2012 seems a bit more likely to me. Regardless, this is decent news for Perdue given that he just needs to keep Nunn under 50. It was 30% in both 2008 and 2012. I agree that lower black turnout than 2008 is more likely. 30% is definitely possible, but it's worth noting that Chambliss still beat back Martin in November '08 by three points with that number, and if a runoff happens this election, turnout will surely nosedive, largely to the benefit of Perdue. Just keep in mind that "low" black turnout (using 2010 as the reference point) is 28%. Also, there will be a greater number of non-whites who aren't black who vote in this election than in 2008. Title: GA: Rasmussen: Perdue with Slight Lead in Georgia Post by: ElectionAtlas on July 29, 2014, 02:14:45 PM New Poll: Georgia Senator by Rasmussen on 2014-07-24 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=13220140724016)
Summary: D: 40%, R: 46%, I: 4%, U: 10% Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/georgia/election_2014_georgia_senate) |