Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Tender Branson on July 26, 2014, 12:02:34 PM



Title: MI-Mitchell Research (R) for MIRSNews: Gov. Snyder+4
Post by: Tender Branson on July 26, 2014, 12:02:34 PM
43% Snyder (R)
39% Schauer (D)

http://wkzo.com/news/articles/2014/jul/26/polls-show-the-states-two-biggest-races-are-still-competitive


Title: Re: MI-Mitchell Research (R) for MIRSNews: Gov. Snyder+4
Post by: Tender Branson on July 26, 2014, 12:08:53 PM
The previous MIRS poll was Snyder+5 and the one before was Snyder+12.

Schauer is chipping away more and more of the lead it seems, as he gets more known.

Plus, the Schauer-campaign has reserved 9 Mio. $ in ads for October, so he might peak just at the right time and defeat Snyder after all.


Title: Re: MI-Mitchell Research (R) for MIRSNews: Gov. Snyder+4
Post by: free my dawg on July 26, 2014, 12:36:09 PM
Considering Mitchell is an R pollster, Schauer is in good shape.


Title: Re: MI-Mitchell Research (R) for MIRSNews: Gov. Snyder+4
Post by: dmmidmi on July 27, 2014, 08:50:03 PM
I wonder what Snyder's campaign strategy will be after Labor Day, and what they'll hit Schauer with. Snyder very openly pushed for Medicaid expansion, so the ACA is quite literally a non-issue.


Title: Re: MI-Mitchell Research (R) for MIRSNews: Gov. Snyder+4
Post by: ElectionsGuy on July 28, 2014, 08:46:16 PM
Considering Mitchell is an R pollster, Schauer is in good shape.

Why is it that R Pollster = inaccurate result all the time? Are there any republican polls we can trust?


Title: Re: MI-Mitchell Research (R) for MIRSNews: Gov. Snyder+4
Post by: Illuminati Blood Drinker on July 28, 2014, 08:55:26 PM
Considering Mitchell is an R pollster, Schauer is in good shape.

Why is it that R Pollster = inaccurate result all the time? Are there any republican polls we can trust?
Less "inaccurate all the time" and more "R pollsters will probably produce results more favorable to the GOP than the reality on the ground".


Title: Re: MI-Mitchell Research (R) for MIRSNews: Gov. Snyder+4
Post by: free my dawg on July 28, 2014, 09:28:09 PM
Considering Mitchell is an R pollster, Schauer is in good shape.

Why is it that R Pollster = inaccurate result all the time? Are there any republican polls we can trust?

Because it has a history of inflating R numbers (unlike PPP's nonpartisan polls).


Title: Re: MI-Mitchell Research (R) for MIRSNews: Gov. Snyder+4
Post by: ElectionsGuy on July 29, 2014, 08:07:29 AM
Considering Mitchell is an R pollster, Schauer is in good shape.

Why is it that R Pollster = inaccurate result all the time? Are there any republican polls we can trust?

Because it has a history of inflating R numbers (unlike PPP's nonpartisan polls).

Many R pollsters do, but there are also times where they get it right. I don't think this poll is terribly inaccurate, if at all. Its very similar to the other polls we've seen. I just don't like assuming republicans are doing better than they should in the poll just because the pollster happens to be R.


Title: Re: MI-Mitchell Research (R) for MIRSNews: Gov. Snyder+4
Post by: free my dawg on July 29, 2014, 08:12:21 AM
Considering Mitchell is an R pollster, Schauer is in good shape.

Why is it that R Pollster = inaccurate result all the time? Are there any republican polls we can trust?

Because it has a history of inflating R numbers (unlike PPP's nonpartisan polls).

Many R pollsters do, but there are also times where they get it right. I don't think this poll is terribly inaccurate, if at all. Its very similar to the other polls we've seen. I just don't like assuming republicans are doing better than they should in the poll just because the pollster happens to be R.

Nah, it's pretty inaccurate. (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/08/27/mi-2012-president-47-obam_n_1833080.html) It's not even because "R POLL EQUALS BAD." It's because in every single race they've had they've skewed to the right, even if the narrative doesn't fit their polls.


Title: Re: MI-Mitchell Research (R) for MIRSNews: Gov. Snyder+4
Post by: dmmidmi on July 29, 2014, 03:14:07 PM
Considering Mitchell is an R pollster, Schauer is in good shape.

Why is it that R Pollster = inaccurate result all the time? Are there any republican polls we can trust?

Because it has a history of inflating R numbers (unlike PPP's nonpartisan polls).

Many R pollsters do, but there are also times where they get it right. I don't think this poll is terribly inaccurate, if at all. Its very similar to the other polls we've seen. I just don't like assuming republicans are doing better than they should in the poll just because the pollster happens to be R.

Mitchell's final poll results for both the 2012 Presidential (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election,_2012#Michigan) and Senate (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Michigan,_2012) races in Michigan were Republican-friendly.

Presidential...Mitchell: Obama by 5; Actual: Obama by 9
Senate...Mitchell: Stabenow by 14; Actual: Stabenow by 21


Title: MI: Mitchell Research: Snyder still favored, race tightening
Post by: Flake on July 30, 2014, 07:00:06 AM
New Poll: Michigan Governor by Mitchell Research on 2014-07-17 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=2620140717226)

Summary: D: 39%, R: 43%, U: 17%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/Mitchell_MI_0714.pdf)