Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Tender Branson on July 31, 2014, 11:05:22 AM



Title: MI-Rasmussen: Gov. Snyder (R) up 3
Post by: Tender Branson on July 31, 2014, 11:05:22 AM
Michigan Governor: Snyder (R) 45%, Schauer (D) 42%

Link (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/michigan/election_2014_michigan_governor)


Title: MI: Rasmussen: Snyder up three
Post by: Flake on July 31, 2014, 02:50:21 PM
New Poll: Michigan Governor by Rasmussen on 2014-07-29 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=2620140729016)

Summary: D: 42%, R: 45%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/michigan/election_2014_michigan_governor)


Title: Re: MI-Rasmussen: Gov. Snyder (R) up 3
Post by: dmmidmi on August 01, 2014, 07:38:39 AM
If any reasonable person were to take a guess at where the Gubernatorial and Senate races in Michigan currently stand, Peters by six and Snyder by three would sound completely reasonable.

But, now Rasmussen is showing Peters up by six, and Snyder up by three?

Now, I'm not so sure about that.


Title: Re: MI-Rasmussen: Gov. Snyder (R) up 3
Post by: ShadowRocket on August 01, 2014, 03:55:06 PM
After the last few polls, I've become cautiously optimistic that Schauer may be able to pull this off. Though Snyder still has the advantage.


Title: Re: MI-Rasmussen: Gov. Snyder (R) up 3
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on August 02, 2014, 03:57:17 AM
Yeah, being up 3 in a Rassy poll isn't exactly good news for Snyder...


Title: Re: MI-Rasmussen: Gov. Snyder (R) up 3
Post by: pbrower2a on August 02, 2014, 06:39:14 AM
I don't know how to judge a Rasmussen poll. I'm unwilling to pay for proprietary information from an entity with no track record because it has new management.

A 3-point lead for a Republican incumbent in Michigan is extremely shaky. A strong GOTV drive by Democrats, which usually appears around Labor Day if the race is tight, can often smash an early and puny lead by an incumbent. Count upon Big Labor and the large African-American vote to smash this 3-point R lead into smithereens. Unions will never forgive Rick Snyder for signing a Right to Work (for much less) law. Tea Party pols broke one of the usual agreements of Michigan politics that often allows Republicans a majority in the State House.

Michigan is on the brink of becoming either the Massachusetts of the Midwest or the Oklahoma of the Great Lakes. 


Title: Re: MI-Rasmussen: Gov. Snyder (R) up 3
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on August 02, 2014, 03:42:29 PM
Dem pickup, Synder as well as Rauner both need to be leading outside margin of error, but they arent.