Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Tender Branson on August 06, 2014, 07:13:16 AM



Title: NJ-Quinnipiac: Sen. Booker (D) up by 10
Post by: Tender Branson on August 06, 2014, 07:13:16 AM
47% Booker (D)
37% Bell (R)

From July 31 - August 4, 2014 Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,148 registered voters in New Jersey with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/new-jersey/release-detail?ReleaseID=2068


Title: Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Sen. Booker (D) up by 10
Post by: Tender Branson on August 06, 2014, 07:21:46 AM
I noticed that all of the recent polls from NJ, IL, NC, AK, AR etc. are backing up YouGov's internet polls.

Maybe they are not as bad as the haters thought ?


Title: Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Sen. Booker (D) up by 10
Post by: Senator Cris on August 06, 2014, 07:22:50 AM
I noticed that all of the recent polls from NJ, IL, NC, AK, AR etc. are backing up YouGov's internet polls.

Maybe they are not as bad as the haters thought ?


Title: Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Sen. Booker (D) up by 10
Post by: JRP1994 on August 06, 2014, 08:42:00 AM
Tilt R


Title: NJ: Quinnipiac University: Booker Tops Little-Known Challenger By 10 Points
Post by: Lief 🗽 on August 06, 2014, 12:15:19 PM
New Poll: New Jersey Senator by Quinnipiac University on 2014-08-04 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=34220140804015)

Summary: D: 47%, R: 37%, I: 1%, U: 16%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/new-jersey/release-detail?ReleaseID=2068)


Title: Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Sen. Booker (D) up by 10
Post by: IceSpear on August 06, 2014, 04:38:26 PM
Man, Booker has to be the biggest paper tiger ever. Only barely wins by double digits against a complete joke like Lonegan, and now looks set to win by a similar margin against a complete some dude even with much higher turn out.


Title: Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Sen. Booker (D) up by 10
Post by: Never on August 06, 2014, 10:56:25 PM
I noticed that all of the recent polls from NJ, IL, NC, AK, AR etc. are backing up YouGov's internet polls.

Maybe they are not as bad as the haters thought ?


Title: Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Sen. Booker (D) up by 10
Post by: DrScholl on August 06, 2014, 11:03:31 PM
YouGov's methodology was called out as flawed. It's hardly hateful to call out a poll that might be wrong, it's just speculation.


Title: Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Sen. Booker (D) up by 10
Post by: Tender Branson on August 07, 2014, 02:11:15 AM
YouGov's methodology was called out as flawed. It's hardly hateful to call out a poll that might be wrong, it's just speculation.

But: If the "flawed" methodology produces accurate results (often better than other pollsters), like the YouGov polls showed in 2008 and 2012, is the methodology still "flawed" ?


Title: Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Sen. Booker (D) up by 10
Post by: ElectionsGuy on August 07, 2014, 01:21:36 PM
Wow, this is pretty pathetic for Booker.


Title: Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Sen. Booker (D) up by 10
Post by: Small Business Owner of Any Repute on August 07, 2014, 02:00:45 PM
Man, Booker has to be the biggest paper tiger ever. Only barely wins by double digits against a complete joke like Lonegan, and now looks set to win by a similar margin against a complete some dude even with much higher turn out.

The Republican floor in New Jersey has always been around 40%. It's not like Booker is doing noticeably better or worse than Frank Lautenberg or Bob Menendez.


Title: Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Sen. Booker (D) up by 10
Post by: Lief 🗽 on August 07, 2014, 02:01:51 PM
Democrats always poll poorly in New Jersey in the summer. By November most of these "undecided" will be voting for Booker and he'll win easily.


Title: Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Sen. Booker (D) up by 10
Post by: Eraserhead on August 08, 2014, 11:02:10 PM
Blah blah blah. Booker is gonna win so who cares?


Title: Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Sen. Booker (D) up by 10
Post by: Suburbia on August 12, 2014, 01:05:34 PM
If this is true, Booker will have to put up ads by September. Bell is unknown, but he's doing well. Booker will likely win by 10-20 points, unless the national environment affects New Jersey, which is unlikely at this point except for NJ-3 (Outgoing GOP Representative Jon Runyan's seat).


Title: Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Sen. Booker (D) up by 10
Post by: SWE on August 12, 2014, 01:23:02 PM
Too bad Booker's going to win anyway


Title: Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Sen. Booker (D) up by 10
Post by: Maxwell on August 12, 2014, 01:31:46 PM
I think Booker is pretty close to his floor.


Title: Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Sen. Booker (D) up by 10
Post by: Suburbia on August 12, 2014, 06:59:27 PM
Too bad Booker's going to win anyway
I know he's going to win. By 10-20 points.