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Election Archive => 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: The state that can run an election on August 30, 2014, 01:08:12 pm



Title: PA-BehaviorMatrix (R-Corbett): Wolf by 7
Post by: The state that can run an election on August 30, 2014, 01:08:12 pm
http://www.politicspa.com/pa-gov-internal-memo-corbett-down-7-points/60034/

Not sure where to put this (closer to an election model than a model) but I'll put it here. No specific numbers. Here's his projected map (with county numbers):

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Needless to say if Corbett's own simulation of the election is him down 7, the PAGOP needs to work on saving their legislative majorities.


Title: Re: PA-BehaviorMatrix (R-Corbett): Wolf by 7
Post by: Dirty Dan on August 30, 2014, 01:19:32 pm
I am inclined to say that it will be similar to Santorum v. Casey if 2006 was neutral  instead of D+4. So... 56-43?


Title: Re: PA-BehaviorMatrix (R-Corbett): Wolf by 7
Post by: The state that can run an election on August 30, 2014, 02:04:34 pm
^Sounds about right.


Title: Re: PA-BehaviorMatrix (R-Corbett): Wolf by 7
Post by: Landslide Andy on August 30, 2014, 06:50:50 pm
lol