Atlas Forum

Election Archive => 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Tender Branson on August 31, 2014, 11:24:23 am



Title: AZ-Rasmussen: Tie
Post by: Tender Branson on August 31, 2014, 11:24:23 am
Arizona Governor: Ducey (R) 40%, DuVal (D) 40%

The survey of 850 Likely Voters in Arizona was conducted on August 27-28 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/arizona/election_2014_arizona_governor


Title: Re: AZ-Rasmussen: Tie
Post by: Vega on August 31, 2014, 11:28:53 am
Well this is good news.


Title: Re: AZ-Rasmussen: Tie
Post by: IceSpear on August 31, 2014, 11:32:33 am
Immediately post primary + Ras. I'll wait to see what others say.


Title: Re: AZ-Rasmussen: Tie
Post by: Maxwell on August 31, 2014, 11:35:04 am
This was a very negative primary, so I don't think the post-primary bump will be here for a while. Ducey's numbers, as seen in the PPP, are fairly poor. That being said, he has room to grow, and there are plenty of undecideds, so I doubt its going to stay this way this long.

I don't think a DuVal win is out of the question, but it's going to take a lot of work, and a lot of Ducey screwing it up.


Title: Re: AZ-Rasmussen: Tie
Post by: olowakandi on August 31, 2014, 06:10:40 pm
Probably not.


Title: Re: AZ-Rasmussen: Tie
Post by: Lief 🐋 on August 31, 2014, 09:02:20 pm
You fools never listen to ol' Lief.


Title: Re: AZ-Rasmussen: Tie
Post by: Never on August 31, 2014, 09:19:36 pm
Immediately post primary + Ras. I'll wait to see what others say.


Title: Re: AZ-Rasmussen: Tie
Post by: backtored on September 01, 2014, 09:59:55 am
Why not?

The polling in this race has consistently shown a pretty close one, which makes sense for a state that is as much to the right as Wisconsin and Michigan are to the left--which is to say, not much at all.  In other words, it really is much more of a swing state that a lot of people think.  And if the Dems were really willing to make a play for Texas and Georgia, both generally blood red states, then why not aim for more purple Arizona?  I'd love for them to concede the state to the GOP, though.

For what it's worth, I think that Ducey probably still has the advantage, but it isn't a terribly strong one at this point in the campaign.