Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: RogueBeaver on September 09, 2014, 09:55:46 AM



Title: MI-PPP: Snyder +1
Post by: RogueBeaver on September 09, 2014, 09:55:46 AM
43/42, 6% for minor candidates. (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_MI_909925.pdf)


Title: Re: MI-PPP: Snyder +1
Post by: Tender Branson on September 09, 2014, 09:59:30 AM
Quote
Horse race, with third-party supporters asked if they'd vote Snyder or Schauer:

Rick Snyder .................................................... 46%
Mark Schauer ................................................. 44%


Title: Re: MI-PPP: Snyder +1
Post by: backtored on September 09, 2014, 10:00:52 AM
That is an atrocious number for Snyder.  If you're an incumbent at 43%, you're not in a very good position.  If you're within the margin of error and at 43%, you're really not in a very good position.  The good news is that the GOP wave is building and it may be enough to pull Snyder and Walker over the line in races that they would not otherwise win.


Title: Re: MI-PPP: Snyder +1
Post by: dmmidmi on September 09, 2014, 10:26:46 AM
Right to Work is the albatross that we all thought it would be:

Q18 Would you support or oppose a ballot measure
to repeal the right-to-work law?
Support ........................................................... 48%
Oppose ........................................................... 36%
Not sure .......................................................... 17%


Title: Re: MI-PPP: Snyder +1
Post by: Gass3268 on September 09, 2014, 11:01:53 AM
That is an atrocious number for Snyder.  If you're an incumbent at 43%, you're not in a very good position.  If you're within the margin of error and at 43%, you're really not in a very good position.  The good news is that the GOP wave is building and it may be enough to pull Snyder and Walker over the line in races that they would not otherwise win.

There is no proof that there is a GOP wave building. Everyone and their mother could tell you 4 years ago that there was going to be a GOP wave. Right now the House Generic Poll is all over the place and governor races will either be a wash or a small DEM gain. Senate geography is the only reason there is the optics of a wave.


Title: Re: MI-PPP: Snyder +1
Post by: Fuzzybigfoot on September 09, 2014, 11:03:07 AM
That is an atrocious number for Snyder.  If you're an incumbent at 43%, you're not in a very good position.  If you're within the margin of error and at 43%, you're really not in a very good position.  The good news is that the GOP wave is building and it may be enough to pull Snyder and Walker over the line in races that they would not otherwise win.

There is no proof that there is a GOP wave building. Everyone and their mother could tell you 4 years ago that there was going to be a GOP wave. Right now the House Generic Poll is all over the place and governor races will either be a wash or a small DEM gain. Senate geography is the only reason there is the optics of a wave.

I tried to tell him this earlier, but I don't think he's listening.  :P 


Title: Re: MI-PPP: Snyder +1
Post by: Maxwell on September 09, 2014, 02:52:33 PM
Snyder's approvals are clearly moving in the right direction (last PPP poll had him in the mid 30s, now he's at 43, not good, but again, in the right direction), but this race is still a toss-up.