Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Miles on September 09, 2014, 10:23:22 PM



Title: MI: Glengariff Group: Snyder clings to lead
Post by: Miles on September 09, 2014, 10:23:22 PM
Article. (http://www.detroitnews.com/article/20140909/POLITICS01/309090155/Poll-Michigan-governor-s-race-close-Peters-widens-lead)

Snyder (R)- 43.6%
Schauer (D)- 41.8%


Title: Re: MI: Glengariff Group: Snyder clings to lead
Post by: TJ in Oregon on September 09, 2014, 10:26:56 PM
Never heard of this firm, but the fact that they included decimal places is not encouraging.


Title: Re: MI: Glengariff Group: Snyder clings to lead
Post by: Miles on September 09, 2014, 10:58:38 PM
^ They're one of those local pollsters, but they have a decent record. They had Snyder winning by 18 in 2010, (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2010/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=2620101026149) which was just right.


Title: Re: MI: Glengariff Group: Snyder clings to lead
Post by: TJ in Oregon on September 09, 2014, 11:19:19 PM
Fair enough. The margin looks believable if nothing else.


Title: Re: MI: Glengariff Group: Snyder clings to lead
Post by: backtored on September 10, 2014, 09:46:41 AM
The same poll has Peters up ten, which might be a little high for where it will probably end up.  If anything, Snyder might be up by even a little more than a point.  The fact that he might actually survive after passing right-to-work probably says more about the plight of unions in the country than it does about Michigan, but that would truly be one of the most striking wins of the year if Snyder pulls it off, especially if his Senate candidate gets demolished in an otherwise strong GOP year.  Amazing.


Title: Re: MI: Glengariff Group: Snyder clings to lead
Post by: pbrower2a on September 11, 2014, 04:17:15 PM
The same poll has Peters up ten, which might be a little high for where it will probably end up.  If anything, Snyder might be up by even a little more than a point.  The fact that he might actually survive after passing right-to-work probably says more about the plight of unions in the country than it does about Michigan, but that would truly be one of the most striking wins of the year if Snyder pulls it off, especially if his Senate candidate gets demolished in an otherwise strong GOP year.  Amazing.

The unions will have a strong GOTV effort in place. They are loaded for bear.