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Election Archive => 2014 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Tender Branson on September 11, 2014, 10:35:27 am



Title: NC-Rasmussen: Hagan pulls ahead by 6
Post by: Tender Branson on September 11, 2014, 10:35:27 am
45% Hagan (D)
39% Tillis (R)

Link later.


Title: Re: NC-Rasmussen: Hagan pulls ahead by 6
Post by: eric82oslo on September 11, 2014, 10:40:51 am
Wow. :D


Title: Re: NC-Rasmussen: Hagan pulls ahead by 6
Post by: Tender Branson on September 11, 2014, 10:42:22 am
Tillis loses 6%, Hagan gains 5% compared with last month's Rassy poll ...


Title: Re: NC-Rasmussen: Hagan pulls ahead by 6
Post by: IceSpear on September 11, 2014, 10:47:36 am
Odd, since Ras tends to give better results for Tillis. Maybe the race really is moving away from him. It would explain him releasing that internal showing him tied.


Title: Re: NC-Rasmussen: Hagan pulls ahead by 6
Post by: eric82oslo on September 11, 2014, 10:50:02 am
Odd, since Ras tends to give better results for Tillis. Maybe the race really is moving away from him. It would explain him releasing that internal showing him tied.

Exactly. :P That was such an odd internal release.


Title: Re: NC-Rasmussen: Hagan pulls ahead by 6
Post by: Invisible Obama on September 11, 2014, 10:50:06 am
I'm thinking that Hagan wins this one, at this stage, she should be able to lock in a lead.


Title: Re: NC-Rasmussen: Hagan pulls ahead by 6
Post by: Lief 🐋 on September 11, 2014, 11:10:13 am
The Republican wave is building!!!!


Title: Re: NC-Rasmussen: Hagan pulls ahead by 6
Post by: Gass3268 on September 11, 2014, 11:17:10 am
:D


Title: Re: NC-Rasmussen: Hagan pulls ahead by 6
Post by: Secret Cavern Survivor on September 11, 2014, 11:28:53 am
So in the same day, PPP shows Ernst leading and Rasmussen shows Hagan with a 6 point lead? This is bizarre.


Title: Re: NC-Rasmussen: Hagan pulls ahead by 6
Post by: JRP1994 on September 11, 2014, 11:48:20 am
NO. Don't any of you pretend that Rassy is suddenly accurate. Pick a standard and stay with it. If this poll showed Tillis ahead by 6, we'd have had 4 people posting ">Rassy" and "It's happening!!!!1!" by now.

The NC race is a tossup. Hagan may very well win. But you don't get to throw out Rassy polls that show GOP candidates leading in battleground states, yet take them when they show Dems leading.


Title: Re: NC-Rasmussen: Hagan pulls ahead by 6
Post by: King Francis I on September 11, 2014, 11:49:31 am
Lol Rasmussen


Title: Re: NC-Rasmussen: Hagan pulls ahead by 6
Post by: Invisible Obama on September 11, 2014, 11:53:43 am
Rasmussen almost never shows numbers too favorable to Democrats, it's almost a Republican internal. It's good news if Hagan is leading in their poll.


Title: Re: NC-Rasmussen: Hagan pulls ahead by 6
Post by: Senator Cris on September 11, 2014, 12:00:20 pm
The rule isn't "> Rasmussen" ??


Title: Re: NC-Rasmussen: Hagan pulls ahead by 6
Post by: Edgar Suit Larry on September 11, 2014, 12:00:52 pm
The Republican wave is building!!!!

Canada looks better by the day...:P


Title: Re: NC-Rasmussen: Hagan pulls ahead by 6
Post by: Miles on September 11, 2014, 12:03:09 pm
Oddly Hagan leads even though "someone else" is only at 6%; Haugh has been higher in recent polls.

But, yes, I'm skeptical of this poll because of the fairly large swing.


Title: Re: NC-Rasmussen: Hagan pulls ahead by 6
Post by: RogueBeaver on September 11, 2014, 12:05:39 pm
Lol Rasmussen


Title: Re: NC-Rasmussen: Hagan pulls ahead by 6
Post by: Devils30 on September 11, 2014, 12:39:39 pm
If the GOP loses North Carolina they probably lose Iowa and Colorado. Still could win senate at 51-49 with Alaska but their majority would be doomed in 2016 from the first second the new congress takes office.


Title: Re: NC-Rasmussen: Hagan pulls ahead by 6
Post by: Mayor Steve Pearce on September 11, 2014, 12:55:28 pm
Lol Rasmussen


Title: Re: NC-Rasmussen: Hagan pulls ahead by 6
Post by: Maxwell on September 11, 2014, 01:01:57 pm
If the GOP loses North Carolina they probably lose Iowa and Colorado. Still could win senate at 51-49 with Alaska but their majority would be doomed in 2016 from the first second the new congress takes office.

Why?  A bunch of those seats were picked up during a Republican year.  The Democrats could easily hold all the seats they did win, and possibly pick up Wisconsin, Illinois, etc.

I think you're just agreeing with him. He's saying the possible Republican majority is doomed.


Title: Re: NC-Rasmussen: Hagan pulls ahead by 6
Post by: Fuzzybigfoot on September 11, 2014, 01:13:29 pm
If the GOP loses North Carolina they probably lose Iowa and Colorado. Still could win senate at 51-49 with Alaska but their majority would be doomed in 2016 from the first second the new congress takes office.

Why?  A bunch of those seats were picked up during a Republican year.  The Democrats could easily hold all the seats they did win, and possibly pick up Wisconsin, Illinois, etc.

I think you're just agreeing with him. He's saying the possible Republican majority is doomed.

Oh, whoops.  I thought he was talking about a Democratic majority.  Sorry Devils!


Title: Re: NC-Rasmussen: Hagan pulls ahead by 6
Post by: Free Bird on September 11, 2014, 02:03:04 pm
NO. Don't any of you pretend that Rassy is suddenly accurate. Pick a standard and stay with it. If this poll showed Tillis ahead by 6, we'd have had 4 people posting ">Rassy" and "It's happening!!!!1!" by now.

The NC race is a tossup. Hagan may very well win. But you don't get to throw out Rassy polls that show GOP candidates leading in battleground states, yet take them when they show Dems leading.


Title: NC: Rasmussen: Hagan pulls out to 6-point lead
Post by: Miles on September 11, 2014, 04:23:43 pm
New Poll: North Carolina Senator by Rasmussen on 2014-09-10 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=37220140910016)

Summary: D: 45%, R: 39%, I: 6%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/north_carolina/election_2014_north_carolina_senate)


Title: Re: NC-Rasmussen: Hagan pulls ahead by 6
Post by: mypalfish on September 11, 2014, 06:34:15 pm
Rasmussen also has Obama's approval rating in NC at 48%, which seems a little suspect.



Title: Re: NC-Rasmussen: Hagan pulls ahead by 6
Post by: olowakandi on September 11, 2014, 06:51:12 pm
Nice to see he has come around on NC.


Title: Re: NC-Rasmussen: Hagan pulls ahead by 6
Post by: Panda Express on September 11, 2014, 06:52:12 pm

omg


Title: Re: NC-Rasmussen: Hagan pulls ahead by 6
Post by: Free Bird on September 11, 2014, 10:42:33 pm
Nice to see he has come around on NC.

NO. Don't any of you pretend that Rassy is suddenly accurate. Pick a standard and stay with it. If this poll showed Tillis ahead by 6, we'd have had 4 people posting ">Rassy" and "It's happening!!!!1!" by now.

The NC race is a tossup. Hagan may very well win. But you don't get to throw out Rassy polls that show GOP candidates leading in battleground states, yet take them when they show Dems leading.