Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: RogueBeaver on September 11, 2014, 02:53:54 PM



Title: CO-SUSA: Udall +4
Post by: RogueBeaver on September 11, 2014, 02:53:54 PM
46/42. Weirdly, Udall leads by only 2 among Hispanics but 14 among women. (http://www.denverpost.com/election2014/ci_26514434/colorado-senate-udall-holds-lead-but-race-could)


Title: Re: CO-SUSA: Udall +4
Post by: henster on September 11, 2014, 03:04:32 PM
No way Udall is only up 2 with Hispanics.


Title: Re: CO-SUSA: Udall +4
Post by: RogueBeaver on September 11, 2014, 03:06:49 PM
^ Yeah, that's what I found fishy about this poll. Will wait for PPP.


Title: Re: CO-SUSA: Udall +4
Post by: Person Man on September 11, 2014, 03:08:33 PM
It looks like Udall should be OK. Up 4 with 7 left undecided...

But if this underestimates Udall amongst Hispanics, maybe he will do very well.


Title: Re: CO-SUSA: Udall +4
Post by: Negusa Nagast 🚀 on September 11, 2014, 03:11:46 PM
Now where did that Colorado Republican hack who thinks that time stopped flowing in his state in 2000 go?


Title: Re: CO-SUSA: Udall +4
Post by: backtored on September 11, 2014, 03:26:34 PM
Now where did that Colorado Republican hack who thinks that time stopped flowing in his state in 2000 go?

Between Udall being destroyed by local media for ducking out of debates and his debate gaffe last weekend, I'm pretty sure Gardner isn't terribly concerned about this poll. As it happens, neither am I.


Title: Re: CO-SUSA: Udall +4
Post by: backtored on September 11, 2014, 03:29:35 PM
http://denver.cbslocal.com/2014/09/10/sen-udall-questioned-over-tv-debate-strategy/#at_pco=cfd-1.0


Title: Re: CO-SUSA: Udall +4
Post by: Person Man on September 11, 2014, 04:35:36 PM
And Gardner is having ethics issues after having failed in accusing Udall of them.


Title: CO: Survey USA: Udall holds lead but race could go "either way"
Post by: Lief 🗽 on September 11, 2014, 05:59:59 PM
New Poll: Colorado Senator by Survey USA on 2014-09-10 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=8220140910019)

Summary: D: 46%, R: 42%, I: 5%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.denverpost.com/election2014/ci_26514434/colorado-senate-udall-holds-lead-but-race-could)


Title: Re: CO-SUSA: Udall +4
Post by: DrScholl on September 11, 2014, 06:12:19 PM
Looks like Republicans won't be picking up any seats in states that Obama won.


Title: Re: CO-SUSA: Udall +4
Post by: KCDem on September 11, 2014, 07:27:24 PM
Now where did that Colorado Republican hack who thinks that time stopped flowing in his state in 2000 go?

Between Udall being destroyed by local media for ducking out of debates and his debate gaffe last weekend, I'm pretty sure Gardner isn't terribly concerned about this poll. As it happens, neither am I.

Debate participation (or lack thereof) doesn't shift votes. Udall will win comfortably.


Title: Re: CO-SUSA: Udall +4
Post by: Bacon King on September 11, 2014, 07:45:01 PM
It's been a known problem for a while now that pollsters can't into Colorado hispanics. Look at 2012 polls vs the actual result


Title: Re: CO-SUSA: Udall +4
Post by: Lief 🗽 on September 11, 2014, 09:20:14 PM
It's been a known problem for a while now that pollsters can't into Colorado hispanics. Look at 2012 polls vs the actual result

Yeah Colorado is like Nevada. Add 2-4% to the democrat's margin to get the true result.


Title: Re: CO-SUSA: Udall +4
Post by: Person Man on September 12, 2014, 02:16:44 PM
It's been a known problem for a while now that pollsters can't into Colorado hispanics. Look at 2012 polls vs the actual result

Yeah Colorado is like Nevada. Add 2-4% to the democrat's margin to get the true result.

...even up 6, 7 or even 8, Udall may not crack 50%.

Udall 49%
ConMan Cory 41%
Green 5%
Lib 5%


Title: Re: CO-SUSA: Udall +4
Post by: SWE on September 12, 2014, 02:27:01 PM
It's been a known problem for a while now that pollsters can't into Colorado hispanics. Look at 2012 polls vs the actual result

Yeah Colorado is like Nevada. Add 2-4% to the democrat's margin to get the true result.

...even up 6, 7 or even 8, Udall may not crack 50%.

Udall 49%
ConMan Cory 41%
Green 5%
Lib 5%

There's no green or libertarian in this race


Title: Re: CO-SUSA: Udall +4
Post by: Person Man on September 12, 2014, 02:40:07 PM
There are two other candidates that are taking up a good 100-42-46-7 = 5% of the vote. Well maybe Udall will get to 50.