Atlas Forum

Election Archive => 2014 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Miles on September 11, 2014, 03:24:31 pm



Title: NC: SUSA: Hagan +3
Post by: Miles on September 11, 2014, 03:24:31 pm
Released by Civitas. (http://www.nccivitas.org/2014/nc-voters-bush-surpasses-obama-favorability/)

Hagan (D)- 46%
Tillis (R)- 43%
Haugh (L)- 5%

Hagan (D)- 47%
Tillis (R)- 46%


Title: Re: NC: SUSA: Hagan +3
Post by: dmmidmi on September 11, 2014, 03:28:48 pm
So, Hagan is up by six in a Rasmussen poll, tied in a GOP internal, and up by three here.

NO. Don't any of you pretend that Rassy is suddenly accurate. Pick a standard and stay with it. If this poll showed Tillis ahead by 6, we'd have had 4 people posting ">Rassy" and "It's happening!!!!1!" by now.

The NC race is a tossup. Hagan may very well win. But you don't get to throw out Rassy polls that show GOP candidates leading in battleground states, yet take them when they show Dems leading.

This is sounding more and more like sour grapes.


Title: NC: Survey USA: Hagan holding lead
Post by: Miles on September 11, 2014, 04:18:56 pm
New Poll: North Carolina Senator by Survey USA on 2014-09-10 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=37220140910019)

Summary: D: 46%, R: 43%, I: 5%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.nccivitas.org/2014/nc-voters-bush-surpasses-obama-favorability/)


Title: Re: NC: SUSA: Hagan +3
Post by: Miles on September 11, 2014, 04:37:13 pm
Also, notice how the Triangle is carrying the state for Hagan:

Charlotte: -3
Greensboro: -16
Raleigh: +22
Southern: -14

I'm guessing they put most of the heavily-GOP northwest (around NC-05) in with Greensboro. Its good for Hagan that the Raleigh metro tends to have the highest turnout rates.


Title: Re: NC: SUSA: Hagan +3
Post by: GaussLaw on September 11, 2014, 05:40:48 pm
Also, notice how the Triangle is carrying the state for Hagan:

Charlotte: -3
Greensboro: -16
Raleigh: +22
Southern: -14

I'm guessing they put most of the heavily-GOP northwest (around NC-05) in with Greensboro. Its good for Hagan that the Raleigh metro tends to have the highest turnout rates.

This reminds me of how McDaniel won with just the South-Central region being in his column. 

Tillis is very polarizing and toxic, so it's not surprising that Hagan has a slight lead.


Title: Re: NC: SUSA: Hagan +3
Post by: JRP1994 on September 11, 2014, 09:25:53 pm
So, Hagan is up by six in a Rasmussen poll, tied in a GOP internal, and up by three here.

NO. Don't any of you pretend that Rassy is suddenly accurate. Pick a standard and stay with it. If this poll showed Tillis ahead by 6, we'd have had 4 people posting ">Rassy" and "It's happening!!!!1!" by now.

The NC race is a tossup. Hagan may very well win. But you don't get to throw out Rassy polls that show GOP candidates leading in battleground states, yet take them when they show Dems leading.

LOL sour grapes. Rasmussen ≠ SUSA. SUSA is a pollster I trust much more than Rassy. I could be wrong, but Hagan +3% is MUCH more reasonable than double that margin right now.

This is sounding more and more like sour grapes.


Title: Re: NC: SUSA: Hagan +3
Post by: Holmes on September 11, 2014, 09:34:06 pm
Hagan will slay all ur problematic Republican faves and look #flawless doing it