Atlas Forum

Election Archive => 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Lizzzard on September 16, 2014, 08:38:29 am



Title: KS-PPP: Davis leads Brownback by 4
Post by: Lizzzard on September 16, 2014, 08:38:29 am
Paul Davis....................................................... 42%
Sam Brownback.............................................. 38%
Keen Umbehr.................................................. 7%
Undecided....................................................... 14%

Combined Horse race, with Umbehr supporters allocated to whether they'd vote for Brownback or Davis:

Paul Davis....................................................... 45%
Sam Brownback.............................................. 39%
Not sure .......................................................... 15%

http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/KansasResultsPPP916.pdf


Title: Re: KS-PPP: Davis leads Brownback by 4
Post by: Landslide Andy on September 16, 2014, 10:31:19 am
I will never trust the Democrat Party shills at Piss Poor Polling.  I Trust YouGov.


Title: Re: KS-PPP: Davis leads Brownback by 4
Post by: Chief Justice windjammer on September 16, 2014, 10:56:20 am
It's already tightening, Brownback will probably win.


Title: Re: KS-PPP: Davis leads Brownback by 4
Post by: Lief 🐋 on September 16, 2014, 10:57:56 am
It's already tightening, Brownback will probably win.

No, Davis's lead has increased by 2% since PPP's last Kansas poll.


Title: Re: KS-PPP: Davis leads Brownback by 4
Post by: backtored on September 16, 2014, 10:58:49 am
Beautiful.  Kansas just realized that the alternative to Brownback is a Democrat.  They've decided to come home just in time for November.


Title: Re: KS-PPP: Davis leads Brownback by 4
Post by: Lief 🐋 on September 16, 2014, 10:59:14 am
Beautiful.  Kansas just realized that the alternative to Brownback is a Democrat.  They've decided to come home just in time for November.

No, Davis's lead has increased by 2% since PPP's last Kansas poll.


Title: Re: KS-PPP: Davis leads Brownback by 4
Post by: Chief Justice windjammer on September 16, 2014, 11:00:44 am
It's already tightening, Brownback will probably win.

No, Davis's lead has increased by 2% since PPP's last Kansas poll.

Ooops,
Soooooooorrrrrrrrrrry lief :P


Title: Re: KS-PPP: Davis leads Brownback by 4
Post by: Dixie Reborn on September 16, 2014, 01:17:36 pm
In 2015, Republicans won't be in Kansas anymore.


Title: Re: KS-PPP: Davis leads Brownback by 4
Post by: Landslide Lyndon on September 16, 2014, 01:20:10 pm
It's already tightening, Brownback will probably win.

No, Davis's lead has increased by 2% since PPP's last Kansas poll.

Ooops,
Soooooooorrrrrrrrrrry lief :P

You mixed this poll with the SurveyUSA one that had Davis up by 7.


Title: Re: KS-PPP: Davis leads Brownback by 4
Post by: badgate on September 16, 2014, 02:22:04 pm
It's already tightening, Brownback will probably win.

No, Davis's lead has increased by 2% since PPP's last Kansas poll.

Ooops,
Soooooooorrrrrrrrrrry lief :P

You're certainly living up to your username.


Title: Re: KS-PPP: Davis leads Brownback by 4
Post by: Chief Justice windjammer on September 16, 2014, 02:34:46 pm
It's already tightening, Brownback will probably win.

No, Davis's lead has increased by 2% since PPP's last Kansas poll.

Ooops,
Soooooooorrrrrrrrrrry lief :P

You're certainly living up to your username.
I don't understand?


Title: Re: KS-PPP: Davis leads Brownback by 4
Post by: KCDem on September 16, 2014, 06:56:53 pm
Beautiful.  Kansas just realized that the alternative to Brownback is a Democrat.  They've decided to come home just in time for November.

Is the lack of oxygen where you live contributing to your dementia? Please descend to a lower elevation.


Title: Re: KS-PPP: Davis leads Brownback by 4
Post by: SWE on September 16, 2014, 07:03:14 pm
Davis's lead growing is clearly proof of Republicans coming home to Brownback. Safe R.


Title: Re: KS-PPP: Davis leads Brownback by 4
Post by: Keystone Phil on September 16, 2014, 07:19:49 pm
I love the thought process here: Davis went from a two point to four point lead in a still overwhelmingly GOP state, against a supposedly horrendous incumbent, with a sizable amount of voters undecided. Definitely a Dem pickup!


Title: Re: KS-PPP: Davis leads Brownback by 4
Post by: KCDem on September 16, 2014, 07:28:56 pm
I love the thought process here: Davis went from a two point to four point lead in a still overwhelmingly GOP state, against a supposedly horrendous incumbent, with a sizable amount of voters undecided. Definitely a Dem pickup!

Are you capable of putting more than one piece of data in your head at the same time? Serious question.


Title: Re: KS-PPP: Davis leads Brownback by 4
Post by: Keystone Phil on September 16, 2014, 08:38:08 pm
I love the thought process here: Davis went from a two point to four point lead in a still overwhelmingly GOP state, against a supposedly horrendous incumbent, with a sizable amount of voters undecided. Definitely a Dem pickup!

Are you capable of putting more than one piece of data in your head at the same time? Serious question.

Great job refuting my point!


Title: Re: KS-PPP: Davis leads Brownback by 4
Post by: KCDem on September 16, 2014, 08:52:36 pm
I love the thought process here: Davis went from a two point to four point lead in a still overwhelmingly GOP state, against a supposedly horrendous incumbent, with a sizable amount of voters undecided. Definitely a Dem pickup!

Are you capable of putting more than one piece of data in your head at the same time? Serious question.

Great job refuting my point!

PPP is the only pollster to show such a small lead for Davis. Davis is ahead by about 7 points currently.


Title: Re: KS-PPP: Davis leads Brownback by 4
Post by: Keystone Phil on September 16, 2014, 09:00:14 pm
I love the thought process here: Davis went from a two point to four point lead in a still overwhelmingly GOP state, against a supposedly horrendous incumbent, with a sizable amount of voters undecided. Definitely a Dem pickup!

Are you capable of putting more than one piece of data in your head at the same time? Serious question.

Great job refuting my point!

PPP is the only pollster to show such a small lead for Davis. Davis is ahead by about 7 points currently.

Not sure how that suggests I can't compute more than one piece of data at once but ok.

And I like how PPP just suddenly isn't credible when it doesn't show what you want.


Title: Re: KS-PPP: Davis leads Brownback by 4
Post by: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on September 16, 2014, 09:02:04 pm
I don't get it... it's Kansas... and a Democrat is in the lead.

At this point, I don't care if it's by 4 or 7.


Title: Re: KS-PPP: Davis leads Brownback by 4
Post by: Cory Booker on September 16, 2014, 09:07:56 pm
KS will be the bellweather of the night. Dems or indy winning will show a good night in GOVs and Senate for us.


Title: Re: KS-PPP: Davis leads Brownback by 4
Post by: SWE on September 16, 2014, 09:10:10 pm
I love the thought process here: Davis went from a two point to four point lead in a still overwhelmingly GOP state, against a supposedly horrendous incumbent, with a sizable amount of voters undecided. Definitely a Dem pickup!

Are you capable of putting more than one piece of data in your head at the same time? Serious question.

Great job refuting my point!

PPP is the only pollster to show such a small lead for Davis. Davis is ahead by about 7 points currently.
"The only poll that has Davis ahead by 4 is the most accurate one! "


Title: Re: KS-PPP: Davis leads Brownback by 4
Post by: KCDem on September 16, 2014, 09:18:27 pm
I love the thought process here: Davis went from a two point to four point lead in a still overwhelmingly GOP state, against a supposedly horrendous incumbent, with a sizable amount of voters undecided. Definitely a Dem pickup!

Are you capable of putting more than one piece of data in your head at the same time? Serious question.

Great job refuting my point!

PPP is the only pollster to show such a small lead for Davis. Davis is ahead by about 7 points currently.

Not sure how that suggests I can't compute more than one piece of data at once but ok.

And I like how PPP just suddenly isn't credible when it doesn't show what you want.

No one said it wasn't credible, just that its result is on the low end of the range of Davis' margin.


Title: Re: KS-PPP: Davis leads Brownback by 4
Post by: Vosem on September 16, 2014, 09:38:09 pm
KCDem's reaction on Election Night might turn out even better than Dr. Scholl's. Stay tuned.


Title: Re: KS-PPP: Davis leads Brownback by 4
Post by: Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon on September 16, 2014, 09:39:36 pm
KS will be the bellweather of the night. Dems or indy winning will show a good night in GOVs and Senate for us.

Not really. The situation in Kansas is odd enough that there's no guarantee it will reflect what it is happening in the rest of the country.


Title: Re: KS-PPP: Davis leads Brownback by 4
Post by: KCDem on September 16, 2014, 09:41:48 pm
KCDem's reaction on Election Night might turn out even better than Dr. Scholl's. Stay tuned.

I will certainly be pleasantly surprised when Democrats accomplish a statewide sweep in the Sunflower State.


Title: Re: KS-PPP: Davis leads Brownback by 4
Post by: Vosem on September 16, 2014, 10:17:44 pm
KCDem's reaction on Election Night might turn out even better than Dr. Scholl's. Stay tuned.

I will certainly be pleasantly surprised when Democrats accomplish a statewide sweep in the Sunflower State.

Considering Republican nominees for Attorney General, Treasurer, and Insurance Commissioner are ahead by double-digits; and for Secretary of State by single-digits (and the nominees for Governor and the U.S. Senate are only trailing by single-digits) and polling indicating Republican candidates have significantly more room to grow?...

I'll be unpleasantly surprised if Democrats manage to pull a race or two off (which I doubt will happen in the end, but it can't be ruled out).