Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Tender Branson on September 16, 2014, 09:13:40 AM



Title: RI-POS (R): Fung-internal shows him tied with Raimondo
Post by: Tender Branson on September 16, 2014, 09:13:40 AM
Public Opinion Strategies (R) for the Allan Fung (R) campaign:

42% Fung (R)
42% Raimondo (D)

Fung’s internal poll was conducted Sept. 10 through Sept. 11 by Virginia-based Public Opinion Strategies. The landline and cell phone survey included 500 likely voters and had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.38%.

The head-to-head section was asked “before any issue questions.”

The poll was conducted before Moderate Party candidate Robert Healey entered the race. There are also two Independent candidates in the race – Leon Kayarian and Kate Fletcher.

http://wpri.com/2014/09/15/fung-releases-poll-showing-close-race-with-raimondo


Title: Re: RI-POS (R): Fung-internal shows him tied with Raimondo
Post by: Maxwell on September 16, 2014, 09:15:59 AM
> Fung Internal

This could be close, but I think Raimondo is deeply favored. Though I have seen some Dem frustration over her being the candidate here, so maybe Fung could tap into that :P


Title: Re: RI-POS (R): Fung-internal shows him tied with Raimondo
Post by: Tender Branson on September 16, 2014, 09:16:42 AM
I think this could indeed be a race to watch.

I wouldn't be too surprised if Rasmussen releases a poll soon that has Fung ahead or shows a tie.

Chafee is quite unpopular as well.


Title: Re: RI-POS (R): Fung-internal shows him tied with Raimondo
Post by: Eraserhead on September 16, 2014, 09:29:40 AM
Is Fung liberal or at least fairly moderate?

Raimondo seems like a corporatist.


Title: Re: RI-POS (R): Fung-internal shows him tied with Raimondo
Post by: Tender Branson on September 16, 2014, 09:35:30 AM
From the Fung-internal:

Quote
• Allan Fung is well-known and well-liked. The Cranston Mayor has 96% name identification, with 64% having a favorable opinion of him and 21% having an unfavorable opinion.

• In contrast, the bruising Democratic primary has left Gina Raimondo as damaged goods: she also has near-total name identification, but only 54% have a favorable opinion of her while fully 35% have an unfavorable opinion.

• Note that Gina’s negatives are actually incrementally HIGHER among core members of the Democratic base. Thirty seven percent (37%) of base Democrats have negative opinions of Raimondo and fully half (50%) of the union voters in the state have a negative opinion of her.

• In contrast, Allan Fung has a 77%-12% favorable-unfavorable ratio among Republicans. 64%-19% among unaffiliated voters and 60%-25% among Democrats – effectively cutting a broad path across both ends of the electorate.

http://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/1301715/fungpoll.pdf


Title: Re: RI-POS (R): Fung-internal shows him tied with Raimondo
Post by: IceSpear on September 16, 2014, 10:35:13 AM
There was also a GOP internal showing them winning in Maryland. It's pretty obvious you can get whatever result you want, if you pay them enough money.

Would be interesting to see a real poll here though.


Title: Re: RI-POS (R): Fung-internal shows him tied with Raimondo
Post by: eric82oslo on September 16, 2014, 10:52:32 AM
Not even Hillary has 96% name identification lol. :P


Title: Re: RI-POS (R): Fung-internal shows him tied with Raimondo
Post by: windjammer on September 16, 2014, 10:55:42 AM
> Fung Internal

This could be close, but I think Raimondo is deeply favored. Though I have seen some Dem frustration over her being the candidate here, so maybe Fung could tap into that :P

Raimondo is indeed a corporatist.


Title: Re: RI-POS (R): Fung-internal shows him tied with Raimondo
Post by: eric82oslo on September 16, 2014, 11:00:36 AM
> Fung Internal

This could be close, but I think Raimondo is deeply favored. Though I have seen some Dem frustration over her being the candidate here, so maybe Fung could tap into that :P

Raimondo is indeed a corporatist.

Just because she wants to reform social security? Unless you want to triple the future cost of social security, there's no way around some kind of reform. Norway has already reformed its system a few years ago to make it more viable/cost-effective, and it seems most other industrialized countries are thinking about doing the same (or, I guess, have already done it). Either that or raising the retirement age. Or often both. The UK will increase its age of retirement in a few years from now.


Title: Re: RI-POS (R): Fung-internal shows him tied with Raimondo
Post by: Vega on September 16, 2014, 05:25:15 PM
Is Fung liberal or at least fairly moderate?

Raimondo seems like a corporatist.

Nah, he's more conservative than Ken Block if that tells you anything.

Raimondo is more conservative than some Democrats, but it's Rhode Island. I fear that had they nominated Clay Pell - who would have been a better Governor - he would loose.


Title: Re: RI-POS (R): Fung-internal shows him tied with Raimondo
Post by: Maxwell on September 16, 2014, 06:42:38 PM
Is Fung liberal or at least fairly moderate?

Raimondo seems like a corporatist.

Fung is pretty fiscally conservative, but he's also a social moderate (pro-choice, I think he's pro-gay marriage)

Ken Block would be receiving a lot of crossover support if he had the nomination, but he simply was not a good enough of a candidate for Republicans to really have confidence in him.


Title: Re: RI-POS (R): Fung-internal shows him tied with Raimondo
Post by: henster on September 16, 2014, 06:49:42 PM
Isn't Fung the one that admitted he killed a guy in a car crash a few years back and he caused it?


Title: Re: RI-POS (R): Fung-internal shows him tied with Raimondo
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on September 16, 2014, 08:40:08 PM
Not surprised that GOP may win RI, not MD again, after time and time again, it has been fools gold for Drms for GOV.