Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Lief 🗽 on September 17, 2014, 10:55:26 AM



Title: AK-Hays Research: Begich +4
Post by: Lief 🗽 on September 17, 2014, 10:55:26 AM
Begich 40.6
Sullivan 36.4

http://197eb33abb8d79465c20-7c4d711436af115dc55a5055e027ec79.r85.cf1.rackcdn.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/K421-AFL-CIO-Sept-Poll-RESULTS.pdf


Title: Re: AK-Hays Research: Begich +4
Post by: eric82oslo on September 17, 2014, 10:57:30 AM
Splendid! The 538 update tonight could get interesting.


Title: Re: AK-Hays Research: Begich +4
Post by: Never on September 17, 2014, 11:01:08 AM
Decimals? Also, I have my doubts that any pollster (including Hays Research) will manage to get an accurate reading of this race; Alaska is notorious for inaccurate polling.


Title: Re: AK-Hays Research: Begich +4
Post by: Gass3268 on September 17, 2014, 11:03:22 AM
Decimals? Also, I have my doubts that any pollster (including Hays Research) will manage to get an accurate reading of this race; Alaska is notorious for inaccurate polling.

Agreed, they are so hard to poll along with Dakota and Montana.


Title: Re: AK-Hays Research: Begich +4
Post by: SPQR on September 17, 2014, 11:03:40 AM
I wonder how nervous AK politicans must be on election days given the complete unreliability of polls.


Title: Re: AK-Hays Research: Begich +4
Post by: eric82oslo on September 17, 2014, 11:09:32 AM
According to the poll, only 15% of Alaska voters surveyed identified themselves as Democrats and yet Begich manages to attract almost 41% of the electorate already - talk about having cross over appeal. :D
At least we can't talk about Democrats being overrepresented in this poll. Of those self-identifying with either party, almost 2 out of 3 identified with Republicans.


Title: Re: AK-Hays Research: Begich +4
Post by: Mehmentum on September 17, 2014, 11:34:20 AM
I was so happy when I saw this poll, then I saw the decimals


Title: AK: Hays Research: Begich with Slight Lead in Alaska
Post by: ElectionAtlas on September 17, 2014, 12:29:43 PM
New Poll: Alaska Senator by Hays Research on 2014-09-14 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=2220140914150)

Summary: D: 41%, R: 36%, I: 0%, U: 23%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://197eb33abb8d79465c20-7c4d711436af115dc55a5055e027ec79.r85.cf1.rackcdn.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/K421-AFL-CIO-Sept-Poll-RESULTS.pdf)


Title: Re: AK-Hays Research: Begich +4
Post by: Free Bird on September 17, 2014, 12:35:41 PM
Decimals in Alaska


Title: Re: AK-Hays Research: Begich +4
Post by: backtored on September 17, 2014, 01:36:20 PM
Here’s a question:

Why is Alaska so hard to poll?  I mean, most people are in the population centers of Anchorage and Juneau, right?  So a big, western state with most of its population in two metro areas—Utah, Colorado, New Mexico, etc.  Why is Alaska so hard?  Is it the sea fishing population that votes absentee and isn’t home to answer the phone?  The native population that doesn’t have telephone service?


Title: Re: AK-Hays Research: Begich +4
Post by: Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort on September 17, 2014, 02:03:44 PM
How has the earth not cracked open when an Alaska poll was combined with decimal usage.


Title: Re: AK-Hays Research: Begich +4
Post by: pendragon on September 17, 2014, 02:09:16 PM
Conducted for the AFL-CIO, so basically an internal. And junk pollster to end all junk pollsters (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=87507.0).


Title: Re: AK-Hays Research: Begich +4
Post by: The Other Castro on September 17, 2014, 03:40:55 PM


Title: Re: AK-Hays Research: Begich +4
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on September 17, 2014, 03:43:52 PM

That sounds like a good movie title. :P