Atlas Forum

Election Archive => 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Senator Cris on September 17, 2014, 01:19:46 pm



Title: CO-Suffolk: Hick (D) barely ahead.
Post by: Senator Cris on September 17, 2014, 01:19:46 pm
43/41

http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2014/09/17/usa-today-suffolk-colorado-poll-senate-governor-races-too-close-to-call/15764355/


Title: Re: CO-Suffolk: Hick (D) barely ahead.
Post by: Reluctant Berniebro on September 17, 2014, 01:21:44 pm
Looks more realistic.


Title: Re: CO-Suffolk: Hick (D) barely ahead.
Post by: backtored on September 17, 2014, 01:43:32 pm
43% for an incumbent only four weeks away from ballots dropping?

Ouch.


Title: Re: CO-Suffolk: Hick (D) barely ahead.
Post by: Gass3268 on September 17, 2014, 02:21:12 pm
43% for an incumbent only four weeks away from ballots dropping?

Ouch.

You mean ballots being mailed in?


Title: CO: Suffolk University: Close Contest for Colorado Governor
Post by: Dave Leip on September 18, 2014, 05:17:21 am
New Poll: Colorado Governor by Suffolk University on 2014-09-16 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=820140916063)

Summary: D: 43%, R: 41%, I: 6%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.suffolk.edu/academics/10740.php)


Title: Re: CO-Suffolk: Hick (D) barely ahead.
Post by: backtored on September 19, 2014, 01:23:55 pm
43% for an incumbent only four weeks away from ballots dropping?

Ouch.


You mean ballots being mailed in?

Clerks start mailing ballots Oct. 14.


Title: Re: CO-Suffolk: Hick (D) barely ahead.
Post by: Dirty Dan on September 19, 2014, 07:23:06 pm
43% for an incumbent only four weeks away from ballots dropping?

Ouch.


You mean ballots being mailed in?

Clerks start mailing ballots Oct. 14.

That's good to know. Do you think if the Republicans win they will do away with it? What are their priorities anyways? I mean, this campaign has focused so much on swiftboating Hick...


Title: Re: CO-Suffolk: Hick (D) barely ahead.
Post by: backtored on September 19, 2014, 09:18:25 pm
43% for an incumbent only four weeks away from ballots dropping?

Ouch.


You mean ballots being mailed in?

Clerks start mailing ballots Oct. 14.

That's good to know. Do you think if the Republicans win they will do away with it? What are their priorities anyways? I mean, this campaign has focused so much on swiftboating Hick...

I'd almost expect them do away with same-day registration and create a new voter ID law.  But the advantage of running against a generally unpopular incumbent governor is that you are able to simply talk about his policies the whole time.  To be fair, Beauprez has outlined a lot on energy development, education, and cutting the state's regulatory burden.  But he hasn't had to deal with anything truly controversial because Hick as created enough controversy for the both of them.

Beauprez will be hit pretty hard I'm imagine over the next few weeks to try to bring his numbers down.  I don't know if that will work or not, but that's what the left will do to keep the seat.


Title: Re: CO-Suffolk: Hick (D) barely ahead.
Post by: Dirty Dan on September 19, 2014, 10:27:17 pm
43% for an incumbent only four weeks away from ballots dropping?

Ouch.


You mean ballots being mailed in?

Clerks start mailing ballots Oct. 14.

That's good to know. Do you think if the Republicans win they will do away with it? What are their priorities anyways? I mean, this campaign has focused so much on swiftboating Hick...

I'd almost expect them do away with same-day registration and create a new voter ID law.  But the advantage of running against a generally unpopular incumbent governor is that you are able to simply talk about his policies the whole time.  To be fair, Beauprez has outlined a lot on energy development, education, and cutting the state's regulatory burden.  But he hasn't had to deal with anything truly controversial because Hick as created enough controversy for the both of them.

Beauprez will be hit pretty hard I'm imagine over the next few weeks to try to bring his numbers down.  I don't know if that will work or not, but that's what the left will do to keep the seat.

The Rs are overextended and if Quin and Gravis inflate Republican numbers yet arouse spending in Colorado, it could be very tough for Republicans going into the home stretch. But Beauprez is basically "Drill Baby Drill" and Rove-style "NCLB", then?  Education might be tough for Republicans to go on because of the controversy they are milling up in the burbs already.


Title: Re: CO-Suffolk: Hick (D) barely ahead.
Post by: KCDem on September 20, 2014, 01:07:38 am
43% for an incumbent only four weeks away from ballots dropping?

Ouch.


You mean ballots being mailed in?

Clerks start mailing ballots Oct. 14.

That's good to know. Do you think if the Republicans win they will do away with it? What are their priorities anyways? I mean, this campaign has focused so much on swiftboating Hick...

I'd almost expect them do away with same-day registration and create a new voter ID law.  But the advantage of running against a generally unpopular incumbent governor is that you are able to simply talk about his policies the whole time.  To be fair, Beauprez has outlined a lot on energy development, education, and cutting the state's regulatory burden.  But he hasn't had to deal with anything truly controversial because Hick as created enough controversy for the both of them.

Beauprez will be hit pretty hard I'm imagine over the next few weeks to try to bring his numbers down.  I don't know if that will work or not, but that's what the left will do to keep the seat.

Except Hickenlooper isn't unpopular...


Title: Re: CO-Suffolk: Hick (D) barely ahead.
Post by: Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon on September 20, 2014, 01:34:47 am
43% for an incumbent only four weeks away from ballots dropping?

Ouch.


You mean ballots being mailed in?

Clerks start mailing ballots Oct. 14.

That's good to know. Do you think if the Republicans win they will do away with it? What are their priorities anyways? I mean, this campaign has focused so much on swiftboating Hick...

I'd almost expect them do away with same-day registration and create a new voter ID law.  But the advantage of running against a generally unpopular incumbent governor is that you are able to simply talk about his policies the whole time.  To be fair, Beauprez has outlined a lot on energy development, education, and cutting the state's regulatory burden.  But he hasn't had to deal with anything truly controversial because Hick as created enough controversy for the both of them.

Beauprez will be hit pretty hard I'm imagine over the next few weeks to try to bring his numbers down.  I don't know if that will work or not, but that's what the left will do to keep the seat.

Except Hickenlooper isn't unpopular...
Uh, if he was popular, he'd be in a Likely D race. He's in a Tossup race.


Title: Re: CO-Suffolk: Hick (D) barely ahead.
Post by: henster on September 20, 2014, 10:06:17 am
Even if Beauprez wins I still expect the CO House to stay in Democratic hands because the lines are drawn favorably towards them. They won't let him repeal anything they've passed especially the new voter laws.


Title: Re: CO-Suffolk: Hick (D) barely ahead.
Post by: Dirty Dan on September 20, 2014, 10:23:33 am
Even if Beauprez wins I still expect the CO House to stay in Democratic hands because the lines are drawn favorably towards them. They won't let him repeal anything they've passed especially the new voter laws.

The CO legislature would only go R in a landslide election?


Title: Re: CO-Suffolk: Hick (D) barely ahead.
Post by: backtored on September 20, 2014, 11:32:02 am
Even if Beauprez wins I still expect the CO House to stay in Democratic hands because the lines are drawn favorably towards them. They won't let him repeal anything they've passed especially the new voter laws.

The CO legislature would only go R in a landslide election?

Probably.  The Dems have likely already lost the Senate, but the House is a steep climb for the GOP.

Then again, the two generic ballot polls in Colorado that I've seen were R +7 (PPP) and R +6 (Suffolk).  Those are massive numbers.  But I also recall the GOP having a generic test ballot lead in 2012, and that didn't work out so well, either.  My hunch is that the GOP will have a slim majority in the Senate and the Dems will lose a few House seats but keep a slim majority.


Title: Re: CO-Suffolk: Hick (D) barely ahead.
Post by: Dirty Dan on September 20, 2014, 11:49:00 am
Even if Beauprez wins I still expect the CO House to stay in Democratic hands because the lines are drawn favorably towards them. They won't let him repeal anything they've passed especially the new voter laws.

The CO legislature would only go R in a landslide election?

Probably.  The Dems have likely already lost the Senate, but the House is a steep climb for the GOP.

Then again, the two generic ballot polls in Colorado that I've seen were R +7 (PPP) and R +6 (Suffolk).  Those are massive numbers.  But I also recall the GOP having a generic test ballot lead in 2012, and that didn't work out so well, either.  My hunch is that the GOP will have a slim majority in the Senate and the Dems will lose a few House seats but keep a slim majority.

So, in the long run, Colorado will probably stay at parity? I'd rather lose this election and keep at least part of the Legislature so that Democrats get the chance to regroup without losing their achievements so far. To be honest, they went too far on gun control and aren't giving the devil its due on fracking (it is cleaner than oil and coal) but I don't want Republicans passing  personhood laws, allowing drilling near neighborhoods or near good hunting and fishing areas or believing its the public school's job to make sure kids become Republican.