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Election Archive => 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: JRP1994 on September 21, 2014, 07:46:11 am



Title: MA-Rasmussen: Tied race
Post by: JRP1994 on September 21, 2014, 07:46:11 am
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/massachusetts/election_2014_massachusetts_governor

Coakley: 42%
Baker: 42%

Scott Brown probably made a huge mistake not running for this rather than NH Sen.


Title: Re: MA-Rasmussen: Tied race
Post by: Tender Branson on September 21, 2014, 10:27:57 am
CoakleyLOL.


Title: Re: MA-Rasmussen: Tied race
Post by: Maxwell on September 21, 2014, 10:35:48 am

Meh, I think this race was Toss-up or Lean D with or without Coakley. It's just a better narrative for Democrats if Coakley loses because of Coakley, instead of Baker winning because of his merits as a candidate.


Title: Re: MA-Rasmussen: Tied race
Post by: Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon on September 21, 2014, 11:09:31 am
Yeah, not having Coakley wouldn't make this Safe D. According to hypothetical polling, the democrats having Berwick, Kayeem, or Avellone as their nominee would have actually made this a Likely R race. With everyone else, it'd be a tossup, or at the low end of Lean D/Lean R. The only democrat that looks they would have defeated Baker easily would be (congressman) Joseph P. Kennedy II.

MA is purple-blue when it comes to gubernatorial elections. Democrats have their huge registration advantage, but the right sort of republican can still do quite well.





Title: Re: MA-Rasmussen: Tied race
Post by: Landslide Andy on September 21, 2014, 12:40:39 pm
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/massachusetts/election_2014_massachusetts_governor

Coakley: 42%
Baker: 42%

Scott Brown probably made a huge mistake not running for this rather than NH Sen.

Brown didn't want to be governor, because then he'd actually have to govern. He prefers to be a senator, where all you have to do is show up and vote the way the Kochs tell you to.


Title: Re: MA-Rasmussen: Tied race
Post by: GaussLaw on September 21, 2014, 05:19:05 pm
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/massachusetts/election_2014_massachusetts_governor

Coakley: 42%
Baker: 42%

Scott Brown probably made a huge mistake not running for this rather than NH Sen.

Eh, he might actually win that senate race and that's his preferred job (as IceSpear pointed out).  Also, a Baker-Brown primary might not have ended well for the MAGOP.


Title: Re: MA-Rasmussen: Tied race
Post by: Mister Mets on September 21, 2014, 09:34:37 pm
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/massachusetts/election_2014_massachusetts_governor

Coakley: 42%
Baker: 42%

Scott Brown probably made a huge mistake not running for this rather than NH Sen.

Eh, he might actually win that senate race and that's his preferred job (as IceSpear pointed out).  Also, a Baker-Brown primary might not have ended well for the MAGOP.
It could work out better for Republicans to have two competitive races rather than just one.


Title: Re: MA-Rasmussen: Tied race
Post by: pendragon on September 22, 2014, 11:29:35 pm
If Brown wanted to be a senator he probably should have stayed here too; it's not like Markey is super-popular, and if he lost he could always come back, whereas if he loses after carpetbagging to NH his career is over.

I do have to say that I found his move to NH pretty mystifying.


Title: Re: MA-Rasmussen: Tied race
Post by: ElectionsGuy on September 22, 2014, 11:48:09 pm
Sort of skeptical of this. I think Coakley is leading, but she's on a trend to blow another race in a deep blue state.


Title: Re: MA-Rasmussen: Tied race
Post by: Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon on September 22, 2014, 11:57:28 pm
If Brown wanted to be a senator he probably should have stayed here too; it's not like Markey is super-popular, and if he lost he could always come back, whereas if he loses after carpetbagging to NH his career is over.

I do have to say that I found his move to NH pretty mystifying.
Scott Brown wants to have a seat that can be kept long-term much easier than one in Massachusetts. It's much easier to get reelected as a republican in NH then it is as a republican in MA. The problem is that the act of getting the office in the first place is hard when you're up against a popular senator and are carpetbagging. Hillary Clinton could do it because NY is deeply blue and Lazio was a mediocre candidate - and even then, she ran significantly behind Al Gore. Unfortunately for Brown, NH is not deeply red, and Shaheen remains a formidable candidate.


Title: Re: MA-Rasmussen: Tied race
Post by: SWE on September 23, 2014, 05:25:55 am
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/massachusetts/election_2014_massachusetts_governor

Coakley: 42%
Baker: 42%

Scott Brown probably made a huge mistake not running for this rather than NH Sen.

Eh, he might actually win that senate race and that's his preferred job (as IceSpear pointed out).  Also, a Baker-Brown primary might not have ended well for the MAGOP.
No he can't. He could've won MA-Gov, but he has no chance in New Hampshire


Title: MA: Rasmussen: Tied race in Massachusetts
Post by: Lief 🐋 on September 26, 2014, 10:18:34 pm
New Poll: Massachusetts Governor by Rasmussen on 2014-09-17 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=2520140917016)

Summary: D: 42%, R: 42%, I: 5%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/massachusetts/election_2014_massachusetts_governor)