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Title: VA-Quinnipiac: Gillespiementum? Post by: Senator Cris on September 25, 2014, 07:12:35 AM Warner (D) 48%
Gillespie (R) 39% Sarvis (L) 6% Without Sarvis: Warner (D) 50% Gillespie (R) 41% http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/virginia/release-detail?ReleaseID=2086 Title: Re: VA-Quinnipiac: Gillespiementum? Post by: Dixie Reborn on September 25, 2014, 07:28:40 AM Warner under 50!!!1!!!!1!! #Tossup/Tilt R #RepublicanWave #MakeDCListen
Title: Re: VA-Quinnipiac: Gillespiementum? Post by: Panda Express on September 25, 2014, 08:50:32 AM Quinnipiac is really going to take a beating after this election is all said and done
Title: Re: VA-Quinnipiac: Gillespiementum? Post by: KCDem on September 25, 2014, 08:56:48 AM HAHAHAHAHAHA
Title: Re: VA-Quinnipiac: Gillespiementum? Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on September 25, 2014, 09:03:08 AM I usually trust Quinnipiac, but this looks quite off. Especially with this:
"Independent voters are split with 43 percent for Gillespie, 41 percent for Warner and 9 percent for Sarvis." And this, which seems to contradict the fairly close horse race finding: "Warner has strong leads on character traits: Voters say 57 - 26 percent he is honest and trustworthy, compared to 39 - 19 percent for Gillespie; Warner cares about their needs and problems, voters say 55 - 35 percent, compared to 39 - 29 percent for Gillespie; Warner has strong leadership qualities, voters say 68 - 22 percent, compared to 41 - 21 percent for Gillespie." Title: Re: VA-Quinnipiac: Gillespiementum? Post by: DrScholl on September 25, 2014, 09:19:03 AM This confirms that Quinnipiac is producing outliers this cycle. You can pretty much dismiss their polling in Iowa and Colorado now, which already looked very off.
Title: Re: VA-Quinnipiac: Gillespiementum? Post by: Maxwell on September 25, 2014, 09:34:10 AM Quinnipiac is really going to take a beating after this election is all said and done The only other pollsters taking this race are Roanake, and they're terrible. I want to see a legit pollster tackle this before we call this an outlier. Title: Re: VA-Quinnipiac: Gillespiementum? Post by: Landslide Lyndon on September 25, 2014, 09:54:53 AM It seems that Quinnipiac's likely voters screen is extremely tight, hence the decidedly pro-Republican results.
Title: Re: VA-Quinnipiac: Gillespiementum? Post by: Negusa Nagast 🚀 on September 25, 2014, 10:09:36 AM Quinnipiac has quite the R-bias this year.
Title: Re: VA-Quinnipiac: Gillespiementum? Post by: Person Man on September 25, 2014, 10:17:32 AM I'll believe this as much as I believe that Gardner is up 8 and Ernst is up 6. Take 10 points off. That's probably more correct. It would make Iowa D+2 in turnout and Colorado R+2. Which is about where they are in terms of demographics.
Title: Re: VA-Quinnipiac: Gillespiementum? Post by: Never on September 25, 2014, 09:30:49 PM I'd take this poll with a grain of salt, but it would be great if Gillespie actually is closing the gap with Warner like Quinnipiac is indicating. Hopefully PPP will poll this race.
Title: Re: VA-Quinnipiac: Gillespiementum? Post by: IceSpear on September 25, 2014, 09:37:54 PM I think Quinnipiac's LV model this cycle is way too strict. I mean, Warner leading by only 1 more point than Gardner, really?
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